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POLL: Will SETI succeed during the 2002 calendar year?

Smoke

Distributed Computing Elite Member
Sam Donaldson's prediction for the year 2002, on ABC?s This Week TV Program, ?The Great Array in New Mexico or one of the other great radio telescopes listening for intelligent life from outer space will get it. We?ll hear it?We are not alone and we will celebrate it. And then whether it will be dangerous or not?we will see.? He said he has been making this prediction for many years and one of these years he will be right.

Though Sam Donaldson is one of my least favorite news reporters/commentators, I sincerely agree with him on this and hope he is right. I?d certainly like to see this in my lifetime as I?m sure you do. 🙂

Let's see what we all think on this question.
 
Alf is a sneaky little fellow & will continue to elude us for a least another year.



<< Though Sam Donaldson is one of my least favorite news reporters/commentators >>



@the bottom of my list also.

🙂
 
It depends upon how you define 'succeed'.

If SETI is used to find evidence of ET life, then it may have suceeded in one sence - but the search will still go on. To me its job is never ending really, as there will always be more space to analyse.
 
bob970...ROFLMAO!!!! Maybe that explains why he is so frustrating, the mothership gave him the news and he can't report it yet!
 
This is the way I see it...

A prehistoric tribe on the other side of the mountain is attempting to determine if they are alone or not. The most advanced form of communication they know of is smoke signals therefor the patiently scan the skies for smoke signals.

We, on this side of the mountain communicate via invisable waves throught the ether, a concept our prehistoric tribe knows absolutely nothing of. Smoke in the sky means nothing to us. Therefor they will never discover our existance nor will we ever discover theirs (unless, of course, we can travel to the other side of the world. For the sake of this argument, we can't).

We will discover other intelligent beings only when we advance our technology to the level at which we can detect theirs.

We are not there....yet.
 
"A Declaration of Principles has been agreed upon by SETI researchers around the world. First, other SETI researchers will independently verify the signal. If the signal is real and can't be explained by man-made sources (satellites, reflections etc.) then press agencies and governments will be notified in a systematic way." This is my definition of SUCCESS. 🙂
 
Dudes, when we find that we're really not alone in this universe, life as we know it will change forever. Just knowing for sure that there is life out among the stars will focus us like nothing has before. Problem is, we're still savages playing with toys that are far beyond our wisdom to have. My bet is that there's life out there that's just waiting for us to mature as a species before letting us out to play...
 
I doubt an ET signal will be found during any of our lifetimes. It will be found eventually (more than likely when we begin exploring deep space) but not any time soon. I would hope, for our sake and theirs, that we don't find it until we have a greater sense of acceptance for that which is different from us. If ET were found today, then by next month the interstellar nukes would be on their way to the alien home world.
 
In many ways the project has already succeeded.
No we haven't found any aliens (that we know of), but we have managed to get something like 3.5 million computer owners to volunteer their computer time to something bigger than themselves. We have shown that a widely distributed project can be managed and important scientific discoveries are possible through this kind of a shared project.
I would guess that there are somewhere between 6 to 10 million computers running this project, given that 3.5 million members each have at least one and many of us have more than one computer running under our names.
I have to think that there are people out there who are dreaming up new and useful things to do with this kind of computing power, the future should be very bright.
In the last 6 months we have seen new uses for the data we are crunching, with Stephan Hawking coming out about the study of black holes and other phenomena using this project. It would be cool to see applications related to watching for asteroids and other space objects headed for earth.
 
I don't think a signal will be found, although I agree with Wiz that the project itself is a success with so many people participating.
 
I'll go out on a limb and say "YES" we will find a signal this year! 🙂

And when we do, do you have any idea how many things will change? How monies will be allocated? How many other projects will explode with possibilities?

It's an exciting time to be alive! 😀
 
I hope so!

I think of it this way: Either we are alone, and will never find a signal from another world, or we are not alone, and there are other civilazions amoung the stars. Either way, the thought is astounding. 🙂
 
I wish I could tell you the truth but ... I'll leave you in suspense that I might actually know anything.


First this project has accomplished Distributed Computing.
Second, my opinion, we should temparily dump all our computer time into humanity projects and here is the reason. First DC on cancer says their current time will be cut from 10 years to 5 years using DC. I think that if we temperarily Did DC on cancer and finished them there would be a precedent set. The precedent would be that other projects would be started that are on a back burner. Next would be the fold program though I am not sure if they have enough developed data.

For a final analysis; in a short time our computers will be more powerful to outstrip research programs unless they are started now.

For the coup de gra; it will be manditory that UNIVERSITIES/Government/Public Schools paid for by the PUBLIC use their idle computer time for distributed research.

GEORGIA you are THE ESTABLISHMENT a cats hairball, an administration that kicks against the pricks. THE ESTABLISHMENT either lives by the spirit of the law or your jobs are on the line. You are not a team player that is what 'distributed computing' is about. When ones loved ones die will people be able possibly to say you might have been the cause, you could have said lets do cancer research and made attention for the worth of maximizing expenditures and other cudoz but now you have just cost The Great State of Georgia legal occurances and tied up court time and states resources for your claim.

Best regards,
Bruce


 
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