Originally posted by: DurocShark
Originally posted by: WinstonSmith
Semi other...
We should be spending more than we are, and much of that on robotic exploration. The rest goes towards research on advanced propulsion. In 50 years or so we will be in a better technological position for manned flight (maybe)
You really think that without the challenge of getting a human there and back that development will happen at the kind of pace that new tech was developed for Apollo?
Look how long it took to get an ion drive! The theory has been around for decates, but we just built it a few years ago.
As for profit, I think the technology developed for Apollo and other programs jumpstarted our tech industries. Good for the country and the economy!
I don't necessarily believe that just throwing money at medical research will make cures come any faster... If any of you work in IT, you know that it often happens that the more money a project has in the budget, the more screwed up the project gets.
I'm not saying that increasing medical research spending is a bad thing! Far from it! But it won't magically make cures appear either. A moderate increase would be nice, however, to help attract the best researchers to the most important causes.
Consider how the world works
There is what we would like to happen
There is what can happen
There is what will happen
I would like to have a more vital space program, but one that puts a person on a planet then hauls them back without the capability to create long term facility makes no sense to me. An extended stay ought to be a real option.
I would like to have seen the money spent attacking iraq to be divided up for research. A great deal for non-fossil fuel research, space research, physics, etc. however it is more valuable to the American public to harm than to learn. So be it.
So, since we are not (in the real world) going to spend a half trillion (or whatever) to do this, what can be done? First, not try to cross the Pacific Ocean in a canoe. We need to have advanced propulsion systems in place, and a way to deliver them to orbit for lauch. You can believe that the general public is not going to allow an earth based nuclear rocket to launch. So, we get a hundred old Saturn V's to do this? Try sending that bill to Congress. Now, if the Space Elevator were to be feasable (and it is looking better all the time) you can get ten thousand Sat V's worth of payload into orbit in short order, and for practically nothing outside of the cost of construction and maintance.
Once you have the ability to move men and machine into space, and back again, it is nothing to send a crew of workers up with modular components and assemble them. With that capability, you could construct an enormous nuclear powered ship in the more traditional sense. A vessel like that in SF, not some disposable tin can. You could send a continuous supply of resources to Mars. They could take low power orbits, and be low tech. Just shoot a lot of stuff in a tin can with attitude adjusters and a heat shield. Unmanned, who cares is water/food hits the ground hard as long as the container doesnt rupture. I am sure there are a whole host of alternative ideas that would be more efficient, but this is what COULD happen. So let's do it!!! Well, no, lets not. Why? Because the stuff does not exist. It has to be researched, then developed, then constructed. This takes two things. Time and money. If researchers are not attracted to this kind of project, it is because they wont have enough of both to bother with. The American people, like all others are impatient on the whole. They want Star Wars now, and they want it free, or at least cheap. They aren't going to get it.
Which brings us to what WILL happen.
I think Presidents and other leaders will push occasionally, mostly for political self gratification. A trifling sum will be procured, General Dynamics or Boeing or some company will look at it as a cash cow. We will have little innovation, because business cares not about progress, but about the annual stockholder meetings, and THEY care only if their shares are doing well this quarter. The public will rebel, the funding decreased. Then others will get on to the pols. to increase funding and the whole cycle continue. In the meantime, the general pool of knowlege will increase, and eventually the technology required to do this will come about anyway, but in an inefficient way and much delayed.
I think the smarter approach is a long term COMMITMENT. That will only be tolerated if it is not too costly, and not too visible. It makes too good a target for those with an agenda otherwise. This way we could have a substantial and permanent program in 50 years, not 150.