PBS Drops Another Bombshell: Wall Street Is Gobbling Up Two-Thirds of Your 401(k)

Oldgamer

Diamond Member
Jan 15, 2013
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If you work for 50 years and receive the typical long-term return of 7 percent on your 401(k) plan and your fees are 2 percent, almost two-thirds of your account will go to Wall Street. This was the bombshell dropped by Frontline’s Martin Smith in this Tuesday evening’s PBS program, The Retirement Gamble.

This is not so much a gamble as a certainty: under a 2 percent 401(k) fee structure, almost two-thirds of your working life will go toward paying obscene compensation to Wall Street; a little over one-third will benefit your family – and that’s before paying taxes on withdrawals to Uncle Sam.

To put it another way – you work for Wall Street. You are their slave, their lackey and as long as their toadies dominate in Congress, nothing is going to change on the legislative front to stop the looting. Wall Street seized millions of homes through illegal foreclosures and stripped the equity from the owners. They got away with it. Some Wall Street firms further enriched themselves making bets that the housing market would collapse, using their inside knowledge of the bogus loans they had made. They got away with that also. Now Wall Street is busy asset stripping the retirement plans of the working class in America while President Obama proposes to cut Social Security benefits through a discredited calculation called Chained CPI – conveniently causing people to save more in their 401(k) plans to make up for the potential loss. But the more you save, the more Wall Street asset strips.

The Retirement Gamble was written by the outstanding team of Martin Smith and Marcela Gaviria, who exposed in January that when it came to Wall Street, the U.S. Justice Department had “no investigations going on. There were no subpoenas, no document reviews, no wiretaps.” The head of the criminal division of the Justice Department, Lanny Breuer, announced he was stepping down one day after that program aired. He returned to Covington & Burling, the corporate law firm representing Wall Street firms.

The revelation of the two-thirds wealth transfer machinery was delivered by none other than John Bogle, the legendary founder of The Vanguard Group, a low-load mutual fund firm, who served as its Chairman and CEO from 1974 to 1996. Bogle is no slouch. He’s one of the most highly respected men in finance and graduated magna cum laude from Princeton University with a degree in Economics.

This is the relevant portion of the transcript from the program:

Bogle: Costs are a crucial part of the equation. It doesn’t take a genius to know that the bigger the profit of the management company, the smaller the profit that investors get. The money managers always want more, and that’s natural enough in most businesses, but it’s not right for this business.

Smith: Bogle gave me an example. Assume you’re invested in a fund that is earning a gross annual return of 7 percent. They charge you a 2 percent annual fee. Over 50 years, the difference between your net of 5 percent — the red line — and what you would have made without fees — the green line — is staggering. Bogle says you’ve lost almost two thirds of what you would have had.

Bogle: What happens in the fund business is the magic of compound returns is overwhelmed by the tyranny of compounding costs. It’s a mathematical fact. There’s no getting around it. The fact that we don’t look at it— too bad for us.

Smith: What I have a hard time understanding is that 2 percent fee that I might pay to an actively managed mutual fund is going to really have a great impact on my future retirement savings.

Bogle: Well, you have to rely on somebody to get out a compound interest table and look at the impact over an investment lifetime. Do you really want to invest in a system where you put up 100 percent of the capital, you the mutual fund shareholder, you take 100 percent of the risk and you get 30 percent of the return?

Smith takes Bogle’s advice and pulls up a compounding calculator on his laptop. On air, he shows the viewer the results:

Smith: Take an account with a $100,000 balance and reduce it by 2 percent a year. At the end of 50 years, that 2 percent annual charge would subtract $63,000 from your account, a loss of 63 percent, leaving you with just a little over $36,000.

There’s another way to prove the point. Pull up a compounding calculator on line. Take an account with a $100,000 balance and compound it at 7 percent for 50 years. That gives you a return of $ 3,278,041.36. Now change the calculation to a 5 percent return (reduced by the 2 percent annual fee) for the same $100,000 over the same 50 years. That delivers a return of $1,211,938.32. That’s a difference of $2,066,103.04 – the same 63 percent reduction in value that Smith’s example showed.

Presently, 70 percent of Americans who have any kind of retirement plan at their place of employment have a 401(k) plan. Not everyone is paying 2 percent fees. Some are paying more and others are paying less – sometimes much less if using passively managed index funds. But, historically, Wall Street has preyed on the least informed and the least educated, which tends to be the poor and middle class.

Consider the testimony of Gail Kubiniec, a former Assistant Manager at CitiFinancial, a unit of mega Wall Street firm Citigroup, to the Federal Trade Commission in 2001 concerning the premise on which she loaded on extra charges to loans:

“I and other employees would often determine how much insurance could be sold to a borrower based on the borrower’s occupation, race, age, and education level. If someone appeared uneducated, inarticulate, was a minority, or was particularly old or young, I would try to include all the coverages CitiFinancial offered. The more gullible the consumer appeared, the more coverages I would try to include in the loan…”

Link to article here
 

Doppel

Lifer
Feb 5, 2011
13,306
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This isn't news necessarily but I admit I never looked at it this way. Is historical return that bad? I had hoped maybe it was 8. I know the 10% that used to be thrown around was BS.

Wall street will never be reigned in because they one of the biggest owners of the government.
 

First

Lifer
Jun 3, 2002
10,518
271
136
That isn't a very serious article. For one, doing basic research is a simple matter of responsibility, and generally if you're poor, sadly, part of the reason is because of bad decisions you made, not just the unfortunate circumstances you were brought up under. As a result, 401K managers that manage all the investment decisions for policy holders and get significant compensation seems obvious to me, so that revelation alone is not surprising. Secondly, I see no credible source that says 401K's average 2% fees (which is the implication, otherwise no point in even bringing it up).

In any case, right now I can purchase the following Vanguard mutual funds for 0.35% or less with a mere $3000 initial investment:

Health Care Inv (VGHCX), expense ratio 0.35%
Equity Income Inv (VEIPX), expense ratio 0.30%
CA Interm-Term T-E Inv (VCAIX), expense ratio 0.20%

EDIT: All those funds have performed very well too, see here.

Not to mention the multitude of index funds out there with basically no fees that would be better investments anyway given that the vast majority of mutual funds underperform their indices by about 1% historically (from my recollection), making index funds the best of both worlds in terms of low fees and good yield.

Of course, there's also no mention of the fact that 401K's are tax free until the moment you withdraw, meaning decades worth of compound interest on those untaxed dollars adding significantly to your 401K retirement. That has nothing to do with Wall Street itself, but it's important because Wall Street is a business you have the option not to participate in. If you're not informed enough to save the most with the least amount of fees, the solution isn't to reduce Wall Street compensation. At least not in any significant way. Probably at the margins makes sense, as they are indeed overpaid, greedy assholes.
 
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First

Lifer
Jun 3, 2002
10,518
271
136
This isn't news necessarily but I admit I never looked at it this way. Is historical return that bad? I had hoped maybe it was 8. I know the 10% that used to be thrown around was BS.

Wall street will never be reigned in because they one of the biggest owners of the government.

The historical return is somewhere around 6%-6.5% compounded annually assuming dividend reinvestment.
 

Conscript

Golden Member
Mar 19, 2001
1,751
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The math here is so shockingly incorrectly used to support a bias, I don't even know where to begin
 

First

Lifer
Jun 3, 2002
10,518
271
136
The math here is so shockingly incorrectly used to support a bias, I don't even know where to begin

Yeah, also just noticed they even got the compound interest result on 7% over 50 years wrong. It's $2,945,702.5, not $3,278,041.36; though to be fair, maybe they're assuming bi-monthly contributions of a certain, unknown to us, amount, which would be a good real world assumption obviously. Not to mention it's unclear how they're subtracting 2%, mathematically, at least to me, or why they assumed someone would start with $100K in their 401K in a 50 year timescale scenario, which is totally unrealistic in the extreme.
 
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michal1980

Diamond Member
Mar 7, 2003
8,019
43
91
50 year time frame, with a 100k head start? who the fuck gets that? certainly not anyone normal.
50 years, starting at 21 would mean you are retiring at 71. I guess that's somewhat possilbe but where do you get 100k?
 

piasabird

Lifer
Feb 6, 2002
17,168
60
91
That does not count getting layed off and the extra tax and penalty you pay for withdrawing money from your retirement account. Getting kicked out of your house when they repossess it or moving in with your parents. It is a stupid assumption to say you will make stable employment for 50 years. That seldom happens. Some people make more and some people lose their job 10 times.

I started at my current job after getting layed off and going to school and then started my job for $19,000 per year.

I also worked for a factory at a union job where I was layed off almost every year I worked there.

Life sucks and then you die.
 
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stlc8tr

Golden Member
Jan 5, 2011
1,106
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Yeah, also just noticed they even got the compound interest result on 7% over 50 years wrong. It's $2,945,702.5, not $3,278,041.36; though to be fair, maybe they're assuming bi-monthly contributions of a certain, unknown to us, amount, which would be a good real world assumption obviously. Not to mention it's unclear how they're subtracting 2%, mathematically, at least to me, or why they assumed someone would start with $100K in their 401K in a 50 year timescale scenario, which is totally unrealistic in the extreme.

Try doing the math at a monthly compound rate. It should come out to $3,278,041.37 (7%) and $1,211,938.32 (5%).

Also, does it really matter what the starting amount is? The math and ratio remains the same. Use $10,000 or $1,000 if you feel that's more realistic.
 

Pr0d1gy

Diamond Member
Jan 30, 2005
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Wow, the mega banks are working together to screw the world....big shocker.
 

Exterous

Super Moderator
Jun 20, 2006
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TSecondly, I see no credible source that says 401K's average 2% fees (which is the implication, otherwise no point in even bringing it up).

Most credible sources put it much closer to 1.46%* This is a rather significant statistical difference especially when taking compound interest into account But I guess they think thats ok because:

Not everyone is paying 2 percent fees. Some are paying more and others are paying less

Wallstreet is costing you elevendy billion dollars!
If your 401k fees are 5%
Not everyone pays 5% - some pay less
most people pay far less

I expected better from PBS - they don't need to propagandize the numbers to make their point. Not to mention Wall Street isn't forcing people to take high fee funds

*http://www.401ksource.com/
 
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Exterous

Super Moderator
Jun 20, 2006
20,569
3,762
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This isn't news necessarily but I admit I never looked at it this way. Is historical return that bad? I had hoped maybe it was 8. I know the 10% that used to be thrown around was BS.

The historical return is somewhere around 6%-6.5% compounded annually assuming dividend reinvestment.

These answers depend on whether you take inflation into account or not. 1970 -2013 earned about 10% returns but inflation takes the real return down to around 7%
 

actuarial

Platinum Member
Jan 22, 2009
2,814
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71
This math is terrible bad and used to exaggerate. Different math:
45 years working, 6% return, 1% MER (even that is high these days if you even half know what you're doing), annual contribution starting at 10K and rising with inflation at 2% each year.

Balance at end of 45 years w/o MER: $2.9M
Balance at end of 45 years w MER: $2.2M

Still 25% of final balance but at least argue honestly.
 

michal1980

Diamond Member
Mar 7, 2003
8,019
43
91
Try doing the math at a monthly compound rate. It should come out to $3,278,041.37 (7%) and $1,211,938.32 (5%).

Also, does it really matter what the starting amount is? The math and ratio remains the same. Use $10,000 or $1,000 if you feel that's more realistic.

The time frame still seems unrealstic.

given there 2% difference

30years = 45%

40years = 55%

using the more average, 1.36 fee

30years = 34%
40years = 42%
50years = 51%

----------

See you dont even need to use exaggerated numbers to see how much you lose.
 

actuarial

Platinum Member
Jan 22, 2009
2,814
0
71
The time frame still seems unrealstic.

given there 2% difference

30years = 45%

40years = 55%

using the more average, 1.36 fee

30years = 34%
40years = 42%
50years = 51%

----------

See you dont even need to use exaggerated numbers to see how much you lose.

Is there a single person that made their entire 401K investment on the day they started their working careers and never made another contribution?
 

Leymenaide

Senior member
Feb 16, 2010
752
368
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The historical return is somewhere around 6%-6.5% compounded annually assuming dividend reinvestment.

My Northwester Mutual whole life has paid 8% for the last 47 years and provided protection for my family.
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
That isn't a very serious article. For one, doing basic research is a simple matter of responsibility, and generally if you're poor, sadly, part of the reason is because of bad decisions you made, not just the unfortunate circumstances you were brought up under. As a result, 401K managers that manage all the investment decisions for policy holders and get significant compensation seems obvious to me, so that revelation alone is not surprising. Secondly, I see no credible source that says 401K's average 2% fees (which is the implication, otherwise no point in even bringing it up).

In any case, right now I can purchase the following Vanguard mutual funds for 0.35% or less with a mere $3000 initial investment:

Health Care Inv (VGHCX), expense ratio 0.35%
Equity Income Inv (VEIPX), expense ratio 0.30%
CA Interm-Term T-E Inv (VCAIX), expense ratio 0.20%

EDIT: All those funds have performed very well too, see here.

Not to mention the multitude of index funds out there with basically no fees that would be better investments anyway given that the vast majority of mutual funds underperform their indices by about 1% historically (from my recollection), making index funds the best of both worlds in terms of low fees and good yield.

Of course, there's also no mention of the fact that 401K's are tax free until the moment you withdraw, meaning decades worth of compound interest on those untaxed dollars adding significantly to your 401K retirement. That has nothing to do with Wall Street itself, but it's important because Wall Street is a business you have the option not to participate in. If you're not informed enough to save the most with the least amount of fees, the solution isn't to reduce Wall Street compensation. At least not in any significant way. Probably at the margins makes sense, as they are indeed overpaid, greedy assholes.

What about the millions of people that have little to no choice due to participating in their employers 401K plan?
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
Is there a single person that made their entire 401K investment on the day they started their working careers and never made another contribution?

No but the way he shows it makes the math a fuckload simpler while still accurately portraying his point.
 

Darwin333

Lifer
Dec 11, 2006
19,946
2,329
126
Yeah, also just noticed they even got the compound interest result on 7% over 50 years wrong. It's $2,945,702.5, not $3,278,041.36; though to be fair, maybe they're assuming bi-monthly contributions of a certain, unknown to us, amount, which would be a good real world assumption obviously. Not to mention it's unclear how they're subtracting 2%, mathematically, at least to me, or why they assumed someone would start with $100K in their 401K in a 50 year timescale scenario, which is totally unrealistic in the extreme.

Would you like to run the numbers for us? Lets assume $40K/year job, 10% a month contribution, 7.5% biannual pay raise capped at $80K and just to make it easier he got the job at 21 and retired from the same job at 65.

What would he have at retirement if he made a 5%/year return?

What would he have at retirement if he made a 7%/year return?

How about if he worked to 70?
 

rcpratt

Lifer
Jul 2, 2009
10,433
110
116
Wall Street is only stealing 2% of your 401(k) every year if you're stupid enough to let them.
 

sunzt

Diamond Member
Nov 27, 2003
3,076
3
81
My Northwester Mutual whole life has paid 8% for the last 47 years and provided protection for my family.

I always thought term life was better and whole life had a lot of fees and stuff. I'm a novice at life insurance though. Care to elaborate on your policy and why you chose it over a term?
 

actuarial

Platinum Member
Jan 22, 2009
2,814
0
71
No but the way he shows it makes the math a fuckload simpler while still accurately portraying his point.

Or he could have made it simpler by using a 25 year period (an approximate level contribution assumption) but that doesn't exaggerate the numbers enough.

Hell, he should have gone full retard and done it based on 80 years as the approximate lifespan! The you lose 80% of your accounts.

Ah hell, look at those poor Rothchilds, they've had money invested for what, like 150 years? They've given up 94% of their wealth to wall street.
 

Spungo

Diamond Member
Jul 22, 2012
3,217
2
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Wow, the mega banks are working together to screw the world....big shocker.
Totally. They should work for free and charge 0% when manging funds. I know that I work for free at my job.

Wall Street is only stealing 2% of your 401(k) every year if you're stupid enough to let them.
And inflation steals another 3%. That's why these projections are always stupid. Back in 1970 they probably said things like "you could invest $2,000 and it will be worth $20,000 in 2000!!!!" without considering that $2,000 is what a car cost in 1970 and $20,000 is what they cost in 2000. Matching inflation for 30 years is certainly better than having your entire retirement fund eaten by inflation but let's try to stay in reality here. Retiring with 5 million dollars in 40 years doesn't mean shit. That might buy a base level Toyota Camry in 40 years.
 

JimKiler

Diamond Member
Oct 10, 2002
3,561
206
106
I always thought term life was better and whole life had a lot of fees and stuff. I'm a novice at life insurance though. Care to elaborate on your policy and why you chose it over a term?

Correct, term life pays your bills that you cannot i.e. car, mortgage, etc for x years. When you retire you should be debt free and if not stick money in a mutual fund and get a better return than a whole life policy.
 

Exterous

Super Moderator
Jun 20, 2006
20,569
3,762
126
No but the way he shows it makes the math a fuckload simpler while still accurately portraying his point.

What about the millions of people that have little to no choice due to participating in their employers 401K plan?

The average fee for employer provided 401k plan is 1.46% The math at 2% may be simpler but it is also very misleading as very few people will actually pay that much.

Also:
This is not so much a gamble as a certainty:
A certainty only if a few very specific requirements are met that most Americans will never meet.

I am all about low fees but this article is incredibly slanted towards an agenda.