PA 18 Special Election Updates

[Starbuck1975]

Military veteran. Devout Catholic who opposes abortion in principle. 2A advocate who has done PR shooting an AR15. Supports Trump’s tariffs. Also wants to give Pelosi the boot.

This is the Democrat in the race.

 

[ivwshane]

Currently. Sitting at D/R by 700 voted. What’s PA election law say about elections that close? Automatic recount?

A margin of .5 or less equals a recount. As of this posting we are at .4.

 

[Sheik Yerbouti]

Military veteran. Devout Catholic who opposes abortion in principle. 2A advocate who has done PR shooting an AR15. Supports Trump’s tariffs. Also wants to give Pelosi the boot.

This is the Democrat in the race.

and yet, so, so much better than the republican candidate.

 

[soundforbjt]

A margin of .5 or less equals a recount. As of this posting we are at .4.

I believe that’s only for state wide elections, for district it’s by petition.

 

[soundforbjt]

One thing is guaranteed, if Saccone wins, Trump will take the credit.

 

[Paratus]

and yet, so, so much better than the republican candidate.

More important he could never be a republican in the current gop party.

Says a lot more about the state of the GOP then the Dems.

 

[ivwshane]

Military veteran. Devout Catholic who opposes abortion in principle. 2A advocate who has done PR shooting an AR15. Supports Trump’s tariffs. Also wants to give Pelosi the boot.

This is the Democrat in the race.

Now to remove your god damn spin:

He personally opposes abortion but agrees with the supreme court ruling and believes that once a right is given it shouldn't be taken away. He also is against any 20 week ban on abortion.

He's for stronger background checks but no new gun restrictions.

He does support the trump tariffs.

Opposes the GOP tax cuts.

Wants to make the ACA better and stabilize markets.

https://www.cnn.com/2018/03/13/politics/pennsylvania-18th-lamb-saccone-on-the-issues/index.html

 

[pcgeek11]

I think if Lamb is true to what he has stated he is for and against he would make a fine choice even as a democrat.

 

[soundforbjt]

95 vote difference now. Absentee votes will decide it.

 

[uclaLabrat]

95 votes now. Damn that's tight.

Wonder what this says for turnout models, latest polls were predicting lamb+6.

 

[Paratus]

Lamb leads by 95 votes with 99% reporting.
😱

 

[FIVR]

Looks like my math was correct. Lamb wins because it tastes better than Saccone

 

[ivwshane]

Absentee ballots are what's left and most of them come from Allegheny which should put this for lamb. The question is; will it be enough votes to put him past the auto recount.

 

[FIVR]

The Russians will make sure Allegheny absentee ballots come in strong for Saccone.

 

[soundforbjt]

Allegheny is done , Lamb up by 847.

 

[Jhhnn]

It's gonna be a squeaker. HOR Repubs will be running scared in November.

 

[soundforbjt]

3206 absentee ballots to count in three red counties. Two precincts in Westmoreland left to report.

 

[nickqt]

Military veteran. Devout Catholic who opposes abortion in principle. 2A advocate who has done PR shooting an AR15. Supports Trump’s tariffs. Also wants to give Pelosi the boot.

This is the Democrat in the race.

The Democratic party is the big tent party, at least for sane candidates/representatives who are interested in a functioning government. No argument there.

 

[Maxima1]

95 votes now. Damn that's tight.

Wonder what this says for turnout models, latest polls were predicting lamb+6.

Average was around 2%

 

[FIVR]

Do the Russians really suck this much at rigging congressional elections? I thought they could get out the retard vote but it looks like they didn't.

 

[Sunburn74]

Looks like lamb is up 847 votes with about 3200 votes left to count absentee. Allegheny is all in including absentee. Just 3 republican counties left which have in total 3200 absentee ballots. I don't see how Saccone wins.

3200 votes left.
By my math, looks like if Saccone gets about 2020 votes out of 3200 (63% of the vote left) he will win. However in all his districts the highest percentage he took was 57% and most were 53%. He would have to significantly outperform with his absentee votes than his in person votes.

 

[Jhhnn]

Do the Russians really suck this much at rigging congressional elections? I thought they could get out the retard vote but it looks like they didn't.

They didn't have Hillary to kick around...

 

[MomentsofSanity]

Looks like lamb is up 847 votes with about 3200 votes left to count absentee. Allegheny is all in including absentee. Just 3 republican counties left which have in total 3200 absentee ballots. I don't see how Saccone wins.

3200 votes left.
Assuming saccone gets 2353 votes (the minimum needed to exceed lamb at 847), that would mean he gets 73% of the absentee vote? Seems like that is unlikely. In all these counties the highest percentage he got was 57% for in person voting.

Is my math wrong? Let me work on it some more.

Edit: I think my math is wrong. I can't do algebra right now!

By my math Lamb got about 70% of the Allegheny absentee vote if the 2000 approx ballots total is correct. That’s a fair percent higher than in person voting. Let’s see if the other districts break similarly on absentee vs in person percentages.

This won’t be decided soon.

 

[soundforbjt]

Washington county is going to count theirs tonight.

 

[Sunburn74]

By my math Lamb got about 70% of the Allegheny absentee vote if the 2000 approx ballots total is correct. That’s a fair percent higher than in person voting. Let’s see if the other districts break similarly on absentee vs in person percentages.

This won’t be decided soon.

Hmm you may be right.