The first generation Pentium4 will be a joke, IMHO. Not even slightly worth it, with Mustang and DDR boards right around the corner. You'll have to buy a new case, with special supports, so the 450gram heatsink doesen't break the socket off the motherboard. You'll have to buy a new power supply. Having to buy new 300W power supplies for the Athlon was bad enough. Now you're going to have to buy a power supply that has a brand new spec!
I wonder how long till we start seeing ATX 2.03(or is it 2.04?) compliant cases/supplies? Think they'll be readily available with the P4's realease?
Intel is behind in the MHz wars. Their answer is the Pentium 4. I don't think performance is their main goal; MHz sells.
It will still be very, very interesting to see the benchmarks though.
If it's true that the Pentium 4 has a lower IPC than the P3(And therefor, the Athlon), and If AMD can keep up as far as MHz goes, I think Intel is in deep doggy doo.
Not to mention the motherboards are probably going to be far worse expense wise than even Athlon boards(which actually aren't very expensive anymore, average about 115 - 120$), because the i850 chipset is going to go for around 50$. The current going price for chipsets is ~30$.
Add to that the i850 chipset will supposedly be obsolete in 6 months.
Then add to that RDRAM ... You can see where this is heading.. 🙂
The .13um Copper Pentium 4 is their only hope. They had really better pray that their transition to .13um Copper goes absolutely flawlessly.
Ontop of that, They're not going to be switching all 1320948250 of their fabs over to .13um Copper instantly. They still have fabs at .25, and even .35um. Add to that the Pentium 4's massive die size(It will still be big, even at .13um, especially when we compare it to a .15 or .13um Thunderbird), they had better start prayin now. 😉
Mustang is (very hopefully) going to have a 256bit path to the L2 cache, which should help a little. Maybe a lot. It will have a longer pipeline, to allow for higher clocks, and hopefully more tweaks to enhance performance. This will enable AMD to at least catch up to the P4, assuming the current Thunderbird can't reach 1.4GHz(Which I believe it can, maybe with some tweaking).
If AMD can play their game right, I really don't think the Pentium 4 has much of a chance, in it's first lifetime anyway.
Oh, btw, Intel is absolutely not supporting FireWire. They're behind USB 2.0. If we ever see any P4 boards with FW, It'll be a mericle(merical, mercale? shrug)
Let's not forget that AMD's 8th generation processor (Read: 80886, K8) is due in Q1 - Q2 2001.
Intel appears to be way behind AMD. I wonder if we're going to start hearing about AMD's rabid bunnyman killer, the K9, anytime soon? 😉
Edit: I was close. Just added up all the lowest prices for all the Socket-A boards on Pricewatch. The average is 109$. Not bad.