Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: QuantumPion
Originally posted by: miketheidiot
Originally posted by: QuantumPion
If cap & tax is passed, there WILL be massive rate increases. And the same politicians that passed C&T will blame the greedy corporations for raising poor people's electricity bills.
i could see energy costs going up about 20-40% in the short term, but that should go down over a couple years as plants upgrade. On the other hand, it will help the government not have to raise taxes. If you want to think of it this way, this is just changing the way you get taxed, but with an intermediate step that helps reduce pollution with very minimal economic losses.
How is "upgrading" existing fossil plants going to reduce costs to the consumer? Instead of spending a billion dollars of capital on new capacity, they will instead be forced to spend it on experimental technology retrofitting current plants, which adds no value or productivity. It is a HUGE economic loss. This is the classic broken window fallacy. It's akin to claiming that a hurricane which destroys thousands of homes is a boon to the economy because it creates new construction jobs.
You are correct though in your assessment that this is just a government ploy to raise taxes and offset the blame.
you apparently don't understand how cap and trade works, so allow me to inform you.
basically, cap and trade creates a market for the right to pollute; a pollution permit if you will. These are sold by the government.
Since this is a market, and all the players are free to choice their best combination of inputs, which now includes 'pollution permits' they will make the best (or better, to be more accurate) choices in regards to their inputs. That means that firms will minimize their costs, which means they will pick the most efficient methods to reduce pollution. Firms that cannot efficiently reduce pollution can buy permits from those who can.
You asked how upgrading facilities will reduce costs borne by the consumer. I did not say that. Initially costs borne by the consumer will be expensive because the demand for permits will be high, since it takes time for plants to be upgraded and the market to achieve equilibrium,
which will bring down costs. With potential gains higher, more R&D will be expended in the area leading to new technologies, and further economies of scale should bring done costs as well. There is no broken window fallacy here.