Originally posted by: Evan
Originally posted by: Jhhnn
Please. F&F knew they'd be bailed out- the govt guarantee in that regard has been implicit for decades.
Implicit my ass. You think if one of the GSE's failed during a relative good period of booming growth they'd be bailed out to the degree they were last summer? Please.
Bear Stearns? Lehman? AIG? Sacrifices have to be made and rude examples set forth to convince the public of the need for a bailout and to establish compliance from the other players. You can't preach against Sin if there are no suffering sinners.
Lehman wasn't bailed out, AIG and Bear were.
The Greenspan Put has been a widely accepted and commented on aspect of financial practices ever since the LTCM fiasco 10 years ago. The notion that it wasn't there is obviously false, since that's what's happening today...
Debatable in the extreme.
You offer the impossible wrt F&F, Evan. The notion that they'd have ever needed a bailout in a period of booming growth is a contradiction in terms, a non sequiter. What got them in trouble wasn't their own loans, anyway, but buying other entities' sub-prime MBS.
Nor was Bear actually bailed out- they were purchased by a single buyer at liquidation rates, who was subsidized by the Fed to do so. Stockholders got nearly nothing. AIG is basically in receivership, and will be sold off in chunks as buyers are found for the profitable parts of the conglomerate. Neither was much of a bailout.
If the Greenspan Put is debatable, then you need to, uhh, you know, actually offer up some argument to support your assertion. It's the way the Fed responded to every crisis since 1987- dropping rates to inject liquidity. It's not working very well in the current housing and derivatives situation because the problem isn't localized, but is rather huge and systemic. They're practically paying member institutions to borrow while not really achieving the desired results, at all. The asset swaps and loans going on in the background are an even greater extension of the Fed's and Treasury's attempts to create liquidity, ease deflationary pressures.