As a result of Australia beating England in their last Pool A match, the reigning champions will finish first with 24 points and India will qualify for the Super Six in second place with 20 points. The only doubt remaining is whether England, Zimbabwe, or even Pakistan will take the third place from the group.
If Zimbabwe beat Pakistan in Bulawayo, they will take the last spot in the Super Six with 16 points and they will still go through even if they only take two points from the match.
However, should Pakistan win, England, Pakistan and Zimbabwe will all be level on 12 points and the outcome will be decided on run rate as, in that instance, all will have the same number of points, same number of wins and each will have one win in matches played between themselves.
As Zimbabwe will have to lose the game to be level on points with England and Pakistan, they will be unable to improve their net run rate to move above England, although Pakistan still could.
For Pakistan to achieve a better run rate than England's, the International Cricket Council have come up with the following possibilities:
If Zimbabwe bat first and score 100, Pakistan will need to get the runs in 10.5 overs. If they score 150, Pakistan will need to get the runs in 12.1 overs. A score of 200 allows Pakistan 13.2 overs, while 250 allows 14.2 overs.
If Pakistan bat first and score 200 they will need to dismiss Zimbabwe for 13 or less. If they score 250 they will need to dismiss Zimbabwe for 62 or less while 300 sets a target of 112 or less. Should Pakistan reach the dizzy heights of 350, the target goes up to 161.