Discussion ***Official*** 2025 Stock Market Thread 💰

[AdamK47]

Thought I mentioned that a while ago but I was called a crazy person and told to just trust index funds as they're diversified.

However with the S&P 500 now having MSTR, COIN and who knows what else in it with these crazy valuations and p/e ratios.. it reminds me of:

Here we go yet again.

How many times does it need to be said to buy into an index fund and average into it over many years?

To you the market was not at its bottom 6 months ago. It was too high 3 months ago. It doesn't make sense to you at any point. It's the news of the day mixed in with conspiracies that's preventing you from starting the journey to financial freedom.

 

[dasherHampton]

I don't mean any of this personally, should some of you have soft spot in your heart for the Gangrenous Old Party. Hate the sin, not the sinner as some preachers of the old timey religion might say. You might not shoot heroin, but would I judge you for boinking a fit, cute junkie - you know, assuming that she still had most of her teeth and the tooth to tattoo ratio was acceptable. Of course not. My knee doesn't jerk every time you hit it (should probably look into that).

But this tariff shit stinks almost as bad as the Epstein shit and most GOP'ers can't even deny it with a straight face any more.

Every singe left leaning economist predicted that the tariffs would crater the economy months ago.

I chose not to blindly believe them and I"m up 30% the last three months. Best three month stretch I think I've ever had. I was up almost $18000 today.

 

[Charmonium]

Every singe left leaning economist predicted that the tariffs would crater the economy months ago.

I chose not to blindly believe them and I"m up 30% the last three months. Best three month stretch I think I've ever had. I was up almost $18000 today.

Congrats dude. That would NOT have been my guess 3 months ago but I don't recall heading for the bunker either. Shrug. Sometimes it's more fun being a spectator.

I think the market wanted to run wild and free and f*ck the odds. I think they'll start pulling back - nothing dramatic but I'm very accustomed to being wrong.

 

[Indus]

Here we go yet again.

How many times does it need to be said to buy into an index fund and average into it over many years?

To you the market was not at its bottom 6 months ago. It was too high 3 months ago. It doesn't make sense to you at any point. It's the news of the day mixed in with conspiracies that's preventing you from starting the journey to financial freedom.

No no no.. you misunderstand me..I don't have a problem with index funds and how they work.

My problem is the crypto included in them which I don't trust.

But since you're on the winning streak and I admit it.. probably in 6 months.. I'll be apologizing again and having to buy bitcoin when it's at 1 mil since the USD won't be able to buy eggs or bread then.

It truly seems sentiment is everything!

 

[AdamK47]

No no no.. you misunderstand me..I don't have a problem with index funds and how they work.

My problem is the crypto included in them which I don't trust.

But since you're on the winning streak and I admit it.. probably in 6 months.. I'll be apologizing again and having to buy bitcoin when it's at 1 mil since the USD won't be able to buy eggs or bread then.

It truly seems sentiment is everything!

The beauty of an S&P 500 index fund is that if a company struggles or goes bust they leave the index and ultimately the fund you invest in. Someone else replaces them. Don't put so much mental thought into COIN being part of it. If they don't perform well enough they exit the fund.

Getting over personal feelings about a company will need to be part of the journey.

 

[Charmonium]

It's the news of the day mixed in with conspiracies that's preventing you from starting the journey to financial freedom.

i wanted to latch on to this bit because we all need to constantly, continuous, viscously, vet our sources. After a while, you won't even need to think about it. But it's not necessarily a pleasant transition.

In IT, one of the oldest and most common bromides is "garbage in, garbage out." Your brain deserves better.

 

[AdamK47]

i wanted to latch on to this bit because we all need to constantly, continuous, viscously, vet our sources. After a while, you won't even need to think about it. But it's not necessarily a pleasant transition.

In IT, one of the oldest and most common bromides is "garbage in, garbage out." Your brain deserves better.

Wise words.

Unfortunately that's not how many of this forum operate.

 

[Charmonium]

Wise words.

Unfortunately that's not how many of this forum operate.

Then they must be . . . re-educated. Yes. That would be very good.

 

[dullard]

Every singe left leaning economist predicted that the tariffs would crater the economy months ago.

Several names please of economists predicting the tariffs would crater the economy.

All of them that I've heard said roughly 0.5% to 1.0% lower GDP growth than would otherwise be achieved. That is, if GDP growth would have been 3%, then with tariffs the growth becomes 2% to 2.5%. Never have I heard an actual economist claim a tanking economy. That is because, a real economist will argue that the dollar will drop in value to offset most of the tariff effects. But, I don't listen to far right news either.

And the fact that virtually all tariffs were delayed until August 7. Meaning, if they actually crater the economy (they won't) the effects won't be until data well after August.

 

[Indus]

Every singe left leaning economist predicted that the tariffs would crater the economy months ago.

I chose not to blindly believe them and I"m up 30% the last three months. Best three month stretch I think I've ever had. I was up almost $18000 today.

Well if you see some no brainer buys.. post away.

 

[cytg111]

Just got out of INTC at ~30 for a nifty 50% return. Nice.
Checking RIOT out for a dance.

 

[AdamK47]

Another great day. VGT closing at $741. It's even at $744 in after hours.

My brokerage account is making all of my retirement accounts seem like they are in standstill.