Discussion ***Official*** 2023 Stock Market Thread 💰

[FelixDeCat]

2022 thread: https://forums.anandtech.com/threads/official-2022-stock-market-thread.2600375/


2023 should be flat to higher since it is very rare to have back to back down years.

Good luck for '23

 

[snoopy7548]

I hope it tanks another 20%.

 

[FelixDeCat]

I hope it tanks another 20%.

I find this chart to be interesting...

 

[biostud]

I just want in on this thread 🙂

 

[WelshBloke]

Capitalist pig dogs! 😀

 

[bookem dano]

I took the last column and played with some simple numbers.

Yearly Return​	Initial Amount 100​	​
-9.03​	90.97​	​
-11.85​	80.190055​	​
-21.97​	62.5722999165​	​
28.36​	80.3178041728​	​
10.74​	88.943936341​	​
4.83​	93.2399284662​	​
5.61​	98.4706884532​	​
5.48​	103.8668821804​	​
-36.55​	65.9035367435​	​
25.94​	82.9989141748​	Initial Amount 100​
14.82​	95.2993532555​	114.82​
2.1​	97.3006396738​	117.23122​
15.89​	112.761711318​	135.859260858​
32.15​	149.0146015067​	179.5380132238​
13.52​	169.1613756304​	203.8115526117​
1.38​	171.4958026141​	206.6241520378​
11.77​	191.6808585818​	230.9438147326​
21.61​	233.1030921213​	280.8507730963​
-4.23​	223.2428313246​	268.9707853943​
31.22​	292.9392432641​	352.9434645944​
18.01​	345.697600976​	416.5085825679​
28.47​	444.1177079739​	535.088576025​
-13.8​	382.8294642735​	461.2463525335​

Yearly Return​	100​	% Return needed to break even​
-9.03​	90.97​	9.9263493459​
-11.85​	80.190055​	24.7037428768​
-21.97​	62.5722999165​	59.8151260757​
28.36​	80.3178041728​	24.5053958209​
10.74​	88.943936341​	12.4303736869​
4.83​	93.2399284662​	7.2501895325​
5.61​	98.4706884532​	1.5530627142​
5.48​	103.8668821804​	-3.7229212038​
-36.55​	65.9035367435​	51.7369248167​
25.94​	82.9989141748​	20.483503904​
14.82​	95.2993532555​	4.9325064483​
2.1​	97.3006396738​	2.774247256​
15.89​	112.761711318​	-11.3174154319​
32.15​	149.0146015067​	-32.8924823548​
13.52​	169.1613756304​	-40.8848505592​
1.38​	171.4958026141​	-41.6895349765​
11.77​	191.6808585818​	-47.8299498761​
21.61​	233.1030921213​	-57.1005261706​
-4.23​	223.2428313246​	-55.2057284856​
31.22​	292.9392432641​	-65.8632285365​
18.01​	345.697600976​	-71.0729841001​
28.47​	444.1177079739​	-77.483446797​
-13.8​	382.8294642735​	-73.8787085812​

 

[bookem dano]

Years	FROM	TO	ANNUALIZED	CUMULATIVE
5	1/2/2018	1/2/2023	6.98%	40.16%
4	1/2/2019	1/2/2023	11.32%	53.58%
3	1/2/2020	1/2/2023	5.72%	18.17%
2	1/2/2021	1/2/2023	-1.91%	-3.77%
1	1/2/2022	1/2/2023	-18.67%	-18.67%

Not too bad for the last 5 years.....last year wasn't great though!

 

[AdamK47]

How low can TSLA go?

 

[biostud]

How low can TSLA go?

 

[Mai72]

Its time to make millions?

 

[FelixDeCat]

How low can TSLA go?

As mentioned last year, I'm calling $54.20...because irony demands it. 👍

 

[Red Squirrel]

Woo Victoria Gold hit the $8 mark. $8.07.

TMX Money

I don't remember what I bought in at, it was like 12 or something like that... but think once I can sell at a profit I will sell. Been more or less getting out of stocks. Just focusing on debt for now.

If TSLA continues to go down I may consider that one though... It's always been way out of reach for me. I doubt they are going anywhere, they are just going to stabilize I think. It's just the question of at what price point.

 

[IEC]

I'm of the opinion TSLA still has room to fall another 50%+ from here. Musk's Twitter fiasco, alienation of a good chunk of his core consumer for Tesla, and traditional auto makers offering compelling EV models all make the growth tech stock valuation seem... overly optimistic. Especially with rising cost of capital.

Sure there are competitive advantages for TSLA (namely, luxury/status symbol), but at this point I think the USA and much of the world are not ready for mass EV. Somewhere with a better electrical grid, maybe.

Not to mention the raw inputs required for EVs have become trickier to source since Russia and China produce the vast majority of inputs for EVs... a 2x increase in production is stretching it, much less the 10X-100X required for electrification. Not in the next decade without serious growing pains.

 

[Lost_in_the_HTTP]

Bye Bye BBY?



Bed Bath & Beyond warns that it may go bankrupt

The struggling retailer says it's exploring all options, including restructuring and filing for bankruptcy relief.


...

 

[AdamK47]

I look forward to the going out of business deals.

 

[KB]

Bye Bye BBY?



Bed Bath & Beyond warns that it may go bankrupt

The struggling retailer says it's exploring all options, including restructuring and filing for bankruptcy relief.


...

This was expected as their stores were always empty and overpriced compared to amazon. They sold off their only subsidy I would shop at: Cost Plus World Market

 

[KB]

I look forward to the going out of business deals.

Amazon will still beat their Going out of business deals

 

[jpiniero]

Bye Bye BBY?
...

WSB in shambles

 

[Red Squirrel]

Bed, Bankruptcy, and Beyond! To the moon! 🚀🚀🚀🚀

 

[AdamK47]

WSB in shambles

Many of the WSB smooth brains abandoned BBBY when their idol Ryan Cohen sold all of his shares in August. That was right after they bumped up the price for him.

 

[FelixDeCat]

Many of the WSB smooth brains abandoned BBBY when their idol Ryan Cohen sold all of his shares in August. That was right after they bumped up the price for him.

I bought a $1 put for $14 and sold it for $20 this morning.

Winning!

 

[FelixDeCat]

Bed, Bankruptcy, and Beyond! To the moon! 🚀🚀🚀🚀

I think you mean crashing on the moon. 🤔

 

[Shmee]

Hopefully all our investments will go to the moon.

 

[FelixDeCat]

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/party-city-nears-bankruptcy-could-211645567.html

Party City about to file for bankruptcy. Apparently parties are also succumbing to inflation. 🙁

The Wall Street Journal earlier reported that Party City is preparing a bankruptcy filing.

Known for selling balloons and other festive supplies, Party City has been hit hard by a helium shortage, costly shipping and softer demand amid an inflationary environment. Sales during the critical Halloween period disappointed investors.

 

[AdamK47]

Wasn't expecting this rally in January. I was expecting continued lows until at least the start of February.