Discussion ***Official*** 2020 Stock Market Thread

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FelixDeCat

Lifer
Aug 4, 2000
31,105
2,720
126
You actually believe he has any real position?

I take a man at his word until I have reason to believe otherwise. It would be nice to get more details like the instrument but thats up to him.

That being said I announced today I rebought a really small position in SQQQ in all three of my accounts around 26.90, with a target of $35.
 
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Mai72

Lifer
Sep 12, 2012
11,562
1,742
126
I feel sorry for anyone with a 401k. You people are getting hurt badly.

Tomorrow will probably be more of the same. And the day after that...
 

Mai72

Lifer
Sep 12, 2012
11,562
1,742
126
I feel worse for anyone with such short term vision.

Say what you want. Stocks are tanking. Of course, if you're young you have time. But someone on the verge of retiring is having a very difficult time watching those numbers sink. Trump just announced that this virus is here to stay for at least August. Let's be real. Also, I don't like 401ks because they are tied too closely to the stok market. You get what is happening now. A severe downturn in the dow jones. How much was erased today? It's going to probably take many many years to get back to those historic levels. I like real estate and long term investing. I have invested in stocks as well. But, I also plan to buy property as well. Property IMO is where most people should invest their money. 401ks are a poor substitute for pensions IMO.
 

Tweak155

Lifer
Sep 23, 2003
11,449
264
126
Say what you want. Stocks are tanking. Of course, if you're young you have time. But someone on the verge of retiring is having a very difficult time watching those numbers sink. Trump just announced that this virus is here to stay for at least August. Let's be real. Also, I don't like 401ks because they are tied too closely to the stok market. You get what is happening now. A severe downturn in the dow jones. How much was erased today? It's going to probably take many many years to get back to those historic levels. I like real estate and long term investing. I have invested in stocks as well. But, I also plan to buy property as well. Property IMO is where most people should invest their money. 401ks are a poor substitute for pensions IMO.
Being overly reliant on any one source is a bad strategy. This could apply to anything.
 

Svnla

Lifer
Nov 10, 2003
17,986
1,388
126
Say what you want. Stocks are tanking. Of course, if you're young you have time. But someone on the verge of retiring is having a very difficult time watching those numbers sink. Trump just announced that this virus is here to stay for at least August. Let's be real. Also, I don't like 401ks because they are tied too closely to the stok market. You get what is happening now. A severe downturn in the dow jones. How much was erased today? It's going to probably take many many years to get back to those historic levels. I like real estate and long term investing. I have invested in stocks as well. But, I also plan to buy property as well. Property IMO is where most people should invest their money. 401ks are a poor substitute for pensions IMO.

If you are about to retire or soon (within 5 years or less), you should NOT be heavily depending on equities but more into bonds and fixed income sources with minority stake in stocks.
 
Nov 8, 2012
20,842
4,785
146
If you are about to retire or soon (within 5 years or less), you should NOT be heavily depending on equities but more into bonds and fixed income sources with minority stake in stocks.

Yar.

Amazing that you have to preach this kind of shit to people still.



At minimal, you should have enough of those non-equity assets that when you DO need to pull retirement income during a recession - you can selectively sell the non-volatile non-volatile assets and leave the equities to sell at a later date after recovery.
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
16,981
7,383
136
Something tells me Tesla is going to really regret not raising a lot more when they had the chance.
 

JEDI

Lifer
Sep 25, 2001
29,391
2,738
126
I feel sorry for anyone with a 401k. You people are getting hurt badly.

Tomorrow will probably be more of the same. And the day after that...
well, if these people followed the recommended asset allocation for their age and risk tolerance, then they should be fine.
 

TheVrolok

Lifer
Dec 11, 2000
24,254
4,092
136
Yar.

Amazing that you have to preach this kind of shit to people still.



At minimal, you should have enough of those non-equity assets that when you DO need to pull retirement income during a recession - you can selectively sell the non-volatile non-volatile assets and leave the equities to sell at a later date after recovery.

I have friends (a husband and wife) who were supposed to close on a house in 2 weeks, but now are not sure they can because they lost their down payment in the market. They LOST their DOWN PAYMENT in the MARKET. Boy do I wish they would have told me, at some point, that they had their down payment money in the market at any point in time in the last year they've been house hunting. I honestly didn't think to ask because .. like.. who the fuck does that?
 

TheVrolok

Lifer
Dec 11, 2000
24,254
4,092
136
well, if these people followed the recommended asset allocation for their age and risk tolerance, then they should be fine.

This, my mother (1 year shy of FRA) has taken a fair hit to her TIRA, but she's 43% stocks and 57% bonds+cash+etc, but she has retained a significant value and still has plenty of time to recover later in retirement.
 

ponyo

Lifer
Feb 14, 2002
19,688
2,811
126
Something tells me Tesla is going to really regret not raising a lot more when they had the chance.
Something tells me you don't know anything about Tesla or what they need.

I have friends (a husband and wife) who were supposed to close on a house in 2 weeks, but now are not sure they can because they lost their down payment in the market. They LOST their DOWN PAYMENT in the MARKET. Boy do I wish they would have told me, at some point, that they had their down payment money in the market at any point in time in the last year they've been house hunting. I honestly didn't think to ask because .. like.. who the fuck does that?
Maybe it's for the best. Things have funny way of working out.
 

jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
16,981
7,383
136

How many cars do you think they will sell outside of China between now and whenever the panic ends? Zero? And Trump is now talking about August. You're totally underestimating how quickly things are going to unravel if these shutdowns expand, and the last thing people are going to want is a luxury car.
 

FelixDeCat

Lifer
Aug 4, 2000
31,105
2,720
126
I have friends (a husband and wife) who were supposed to close on a house in 2 weeks, but now are not sure they can because they lost their down payment in the market. They LOST their DOWN PAYMENT in the MARKET. Boy do I wish they would have told me, at some point, that they had their down payment money in the market at any point in time in the last year they've been house hunting. I honestly didn't think to ask because .. like.. who the fuck does that?

Holy @#$%. I hope they did not buy Tesla at $900 or even Apple at $335. Thousands of stocks were waaay overvalued. Entire indexes are now down 35% from the bubble highs.

Its going to be hard selling $100,000 cars that run on batteries or $2,000 cellphones during these trying times.
 
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FelixDeCat

Lifer
Aug 4, 2000
31,105
2,720
126
How many cars do you think they will sell outside of China between now and whenever the panic ends? Zero? And Trump is now talking about August. You're totally underestimating how quickly things are going to unravel if these shutdowns expand, and the last thing people are going to want is a luxury car.

That may be true, but if you remember, TSLA already did a secondary around $700 ....and the stock still went up! I dont think they will be hurting for cash. Frankly all companies should have cashed in. Instead, the majority of them were buying back shares to please shareholders and feed the stock market bubble and going into debt to do it.

Going into debt to buyback shares is really pretty stupid, but lots of companies are cowed into it by "activist" investors like Carl Icahn and other hedge funds. Companies should preserve cash for expansions, pay cash dividends or to weather storms like the one we are in now. When their stocks get frothy, they need to issue shares and payoff all debt, not go into debt because they can borrow really cheap.
 
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zinfamous

No Lifer
Jul 12, 2006
111,904
31,422
146
SPCE is now a third it was before all went to shit.

yeah, I'm wondering what the proper comparable value is pre-corona after the dilution on Friday. I'm thinking of putting a pile of money into SPCE "very soon," but wondering if it's really 1/3rd the cost or maybe only 1/2. ...