***Official*** 2010 Stock Market Thread

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The-Noid

Diamond Member
Nov 16, 2005
3,117
4
76
Points on vol.

1.) vol traders have moved to FX and swaptions, it is not guaranteed that you will make money.
2.) VXX is isn't as good a proxy as I would like correlation wise for VIX, use the actual options or futures.
3.) Use VIX calls to hedge long positions or speculate long volatility, however remember you are buying a derivative on a derivative on a derivative on a derivative. VIX plays need to be short term in nature or option based.

We actually did buy some VIX calls into the close yesterday to cover some of the left-tail, based on the contango structure of the futures it looks to be a better bet for a move than ES puts. Not 100% correlation with hedging because of the huge contango. If you wanted to try and play off the contango possibly try (XVIX US) but again I like the options 10000000% more than the ETN's.

On a side not we cleaned up some regionals and WFC today into year end. Still long JPM and NTRS for value and C for momentum.
 
Last edited:
Sep 29, 2004
18,656
68
91
Any thoughts on Safeway (SWY). I am getting desperate for ideas I think. But in terms of FCF, SWY looks good. There is alot of insider selling (options related) but there is also a $1B buy back program in place with a $8B market cap. The share buy back thing has been going on for about 5 years now and has resulted in a potential bargain.

I also noticed that I missed out on URI (United Rentals) which has doubled in price over the past year. DOH. I kept thinking about buying but never pulled the damned trigger.
 

Blackjack200

Lifer
May 28, 2007
15,995
1,688
126
Year in review:

DJIA closes at 11,577.51; up 11%
S&P 500 closes at 1257.64; up 12.8%
Nasdaq Composite Index up 7.8%
 

Azurik

Platinum Member
Jan 23, 2002
2,206
12
81
Bought shares of ITMN in the $10's - the ITMN story isn't as strong as DNDN, and resolution of their drug could (will likely) take years, but it's a speculative position for now (only 750 shares).

So anyone bought this? ;)