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***OFFICIAL*** 2010 MLB Playoffs Thread ***CONFIRMED***

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i really hope they keep madson in. even with a shitty ump he still delivered :thumbsup:

from another forum:
"Phillies better switch to Geico here, cause they need some insurance."
 
thats the bochy i remember coaching in sd. struggling player? put him in! thats why you see ramirez in there with his 27.00 era in the postseason.
 
That Werth HR was key, as I don't expect Lidge to be sharp in the 9th . . . and YOU KNOW Charlie's going to him.
 
Lidge looked great. I think he's settled down. I'd trust him the rest of the way.

Madson has this on-off switch, that unfortunately just switches off if he enters or remains in the game with a lead after the 8th inning. I don't care how good he looks shutting down hitters in the 8th, he will be exactly the opposite if he comes in for the 9th. It's a shame, really.

Also, was anyone else sitting here thinking they need to find a way to sign Werth?
 
Blueychan said:
Utley and Howard need to pull their heads our of asses...pathetic performances thus far in the postseason.
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I believe Utley is hurt and is affecting his batting.

Good game by the Phils and glad to see that both series are still going. Still it was a weird way to get runs. Rollins had the bad bounce the previous night and Huff last night.

I am rooting for the Phils all the way, but it is nice to see Huff in the playoffs. He was a good player for the Rays and then was sent to the purgatory known as Baltimore. And, of course, I wish Hamilton was still a Ray. 🙂
 
sjwaste said:
Lidge looked great. I think he's settled down. I'd trust him the rest of the way.

Madson has this on-off switch, that unfortunately just switches off if he enters or remains in the game with a lead after the 8th inning. I don't care how good he looks shutting down hitters in the 8th, he will be exactly the opposite if he comes in for the 9th. It's a shame, really.

Also, was anyone else sitting here thinking they need to find a way to sign Werth?
Click to expand...

Yes, Madson and Lidge are on fire. And like I posted yesterday, Oswalt and Hamels have a 10 point better WHIP at home which equates 8 to 9% better which is no joke. The Giants have to be worried because Cain is significantly worse on the road in 2010: ERA goes up 2.93-->3.35 (14% jump!) and WHIP 1.01-->1.15 (14% jump!). Lifetime, his ERA goes up even higher (18%~) although WHIP drops to 7%. It would also be amazing if he also got the 4 inch outside gifts off the plate from the ump like he did in Game 3.

The strange thing about Sanchez: he has a much better ERA on the road in 2010: 2.86 vs 3.26 (14% better) but his control (WHIP) is around 4% worse. That tells me he does allow slightly more walks/hits but employs a bend but don't break mentality on the road. Lifetime, he's worse in ERA and WHIP. The Phils already beat him in Game 2 so he will need to be even better than his 5 hits/2 ER to win.

The Giants best chance to win is tomorrow. They cannot let Philly force a game 7 with Hamels pitching at home and Cain's subpar track record on the road. Philly is already a very tough place to play and a Game 7 there would be absolute pandemonium.

Yes, the Phils need to resign Werth! They may have to up their ceiling but it'd be werth it in the long run. Guy can hit, play d (gunning out Ross last night was money), steal bases; his only flaw is sometimes zoning out on the basepaths but it's a rare occurrence. He is a perfect fit for either Philly or NY with the short porches and I hope he will give Philly a "hometown discount" but hiring Boras indicates otherwise.
 
SP33Demon said:
Yes, Madson and Lidge are on fire. And like I posted yesterday, Oswalt and Hamels have a 10 point better WHIP at home which equates 8 to 9% better which is no joke. The Giants have to be worried because Cain is significantly worse on the road in 2010: ERA goes up 2.93-->3.35 (14% jump!) and WHIP 1.01-->1.15 (14% jump!). Lifetime, his ERA goes up even higher (18%~) although WHIP drops to 7%. It would also be amazing if he also got the 4 inch outside gifts off the plate from the ump like he did in Game 3.

The strange thing about Sanchez: he has a much better ERA on the road in 2010: 2.86 vs 3.26 (14% better) but his control (WHIP) is around 4% worse. That tells me he does allow slightly more walks/hits but employs a bend but don't break mentality on the road. Lifetime, he's worse in ERA and WHIP. The Phils already beat him in Game 2 so he will need to be even better than his 5 hits/2 ER to win.

The Giants best chance to win is tomorrow. They cannot let Philly force a game 7 with Hamels pitching at home and Cain's subpar track record on the road. Philly is already a very tough place to play and a Game 7 there would be absolute pandemonium.

Yes, the Phils need to resign Werth! They may have to up their ceiling but it'd be werth it in the long run. Guy can hit, play d (gunning out Ross last night was money), steal bases; his only flaw is sometimes zoning out on the basepaths but it's a rare occurrence. He is a perfect fit for either Philly or NY with the short porches and I hope he will give Philly a "hometown discount" but hiring Boras indicates otherwise.
Click to expand...

Wow that's a lot of analysis which I don't think means as much as you think it means. I am glad you are so passionate though.
 
And PECOTA gives the slight advantage to Texas today:

Yankees @ Rangers: Rangers lead 3-2
Phil Hughes (NYY) vs. Colby Lewis (TEX)
Projected Runs: Rangers 4.81, Yankees 4.43
Odds: Rangers 54%, Yankees 46%

Being at home, and with a capable pitcher—remember, PECOTA thought very highly of Lewis entering the season—the Rangers are pegged as the likely winners. The difference between the teams and their projected runs scored is likely tied to the home-field advantage, as without that benefit in the stat lines, the teams appear neck and neck in this matchup. Yes, a 54/46 advantage favors the Rangers, but given the level of uncertainty in projecting individual games, it is much closer to a coin flip than such a disparity would normally indicate.
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I don't really watch many NL games, but I like to watch Halladay and damn, that was a hell of a fun game last night. Missed the first few innings because I was at work, but caught everything after the 4th and it was awesome. I may need to watch the rest of that series.

Very excited for the game tonight.

KT
 
thepd7 said:
Wow that's a lot of analysis which I don't think means as much as you think it means. I am glad you are so passionate though.
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A 8-9~% increase in performance is pretty significant. I think it's just a testament to what a great ballpark Philly has, and while not a huge sample of data for Oswalt (half a season) it's pretty clear that playing in Philly gives the pitchers more confidence.

Even more evidence, 1000+ innings worth of data: Cole Hamel's career WHIP elevates to 10% and ERA is also 10% better.

Oswalt over 2000+ innings is even more astounding: 14.5% better WHIP and 23.8% better ERA. Houston isn't exactly a pitcher's park either.

You're right, I do enjoy looking at the numbers more than I should. But you're talking to someone who is trying to scientifically quantify everything from the revolutions of spin on Mariano's cutter to the weather conditions on homeruns hit by Barry Bonds that only cleared the wall by 5 feet or less. 😉
 
Early lead for Texas. If they can hold on for the win, Cliff gets saved for Game 1 of the WS. He'll then get to face Blanton, I guess? 🙂
 
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