***Official*** 2009 Stock Market Thread

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Azurik

Platinum Member
Jan 23, 2002
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Panasonic signs license for DDR3 memory controllers.

Announced after hours. Stock should see a jump tomorrow at open after a good day today.

I think at least one of the other memory manufacturers in litigation with Rambus is close to settling... they would be stupid not to.

Samsung has the most to lose in this... Nanya might settle because they are the least guilty if that makes sense. Hynix is a possibility, but not before the judge certifies the previous win against them. I think Micron won't settle, Steve Appleton (CEO) would rather Micron die before conceding.
 

Azurik

Platinum Member
Jan 23, 2002
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Originally posted by: Slew Foot
Here's to hopping on the BUS this year :)

You bought RMBS in the $9's last month right? Congrats on the double... do you have an exit plan?

Mine is... well, it really depends on how everything falls. I was thinking (dreaming) of:

Keeping 1,500 shares always

Selling 1,000 at $50
Selling 1,000 at $60
Selling 1,000 at $70
Selling 1,000 at $80
Selling 1,000 at $90
Selling 1,000 at $100

Selling at an average of $75 per share, and keeping 1,500 shares for any future price appreciation, stock spilts and dividends it may initiate in the future.

Hey, dreams are free. Especially realistic ones.
 

Azurik

Platinum Member
Jan 23, 2002
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Judge Whyte's Case Management Conference - January 6
A great, great day for Rambus.

Today was like a lawyer convention. The manufacturers had fifteen lawyers at the table or in the gallery. Rambus had six, including Stone, Jeffries, Detre, and Ransom.

Judge Whyte started by saying, ?I think we are recognizing that there is too much to be done in too little time, but putting off the trial wouldn?t accomplish anything and we would end up right in the same place. So assuming I can hold up, we will forge forward.?

Stone said the parties conferred until 4:30 this morning, but couldn?t come up with a joint trial schedule statement. Stone said he thought 35 hours per side was appropriate, but the manufacturers estimate 131 hours just for their side. Stone said the manufacturers have 20 witnesses just for JEDEC issues. He said, ?The evidence keeps coming back again and again.? Stone said it is not just the court?s resources that aren?t being used efficiently, but also Rambus? resources. He said Rambus is finding it difficult to get XDR design wins, while the manufacturers continue to sell product below cost. Stone said Rambus doesn?t have anything approaching the resources to keep at this indefinitely and we need resolution as soon as possible.

Mr. Bobrow said the time and witnesses required are a function of the structure and the format of the trial. Judge Whyte said, ?The trouble with your proposal is that it isn?t fair to Rambus, nor could I order that?asking to have infringement determined without a full record.? Judge Whyte continued, ?If this were only an issue of jury instructions and adequate basis of evidence, or who goes first, I would feel comfortable ruling on this. But Rambus has a legitimate concern?the record is not sufficient to protect it on appeal.?

Powers tried to change Judge Whyte?s mind by adding a few sweeteners for Rambus that the manufacturers proposal originally didn?t include. He said Rambus is only asking for a mere 35 hours at trial, but we are allowing Rambus to supplement the record with more evidence than they ever could submit during trial. Powers also said the manufacturers would accept the adverse rulings on the relevant pending motions (There was no detail given on exactly what motions the judge and Powers were referring to). Powers said Rambus had no legitimate concern regarding an insufficient record and if there is something they want in they should identify the evidence. Rambus should ?Put up or shut up.?

Stone said the manufacturers still aren?t conceding the facts necessary for judgment. Stone also said infringement is a key secondary consideration in supporting validity and the evidence would need to come out even in a validity-only trial. Stone added that Rambus didn?t want a ?weak and watered-down assumption of infringement? as a jury instruction. The jury needs to be told in unambiguous terms the products have been found to infringe the patents and specific claims. The judge asked, ?If they concede infringement, can I make a finding on that?? Stone said the judge could, but only if Rambus stipulated to accept the concession. Stone reiterated, ?They need to concede the facts to remove the case or controversy. The issue can?t be taken in fairness and leave us with a sterile trial without being able to tell the whole story.? Stone also wanted to have collateral estoppel effect of any such concession. He said, ?There is nothing in the law to support their proposal, but maybe we are moving there.?

Judge Whyte said he needed to see the modified proposal in writing from the manufacturers. He also said any jury instruction would need to be the same as if Rambus had proceeded to trial and actually won the case. Judge Whyte said that each side should have 15 hours to discuss validity and he thought the infringement time estimate was high, but he would reserve that amount of time. He said the time required for willfulness is hard to say until the summary judgments are decided. Judge Whyte said once the willfulness and license defenses are ruled upon, it may save some time. The manufacturer table looked concerned, so Judge Whyte looked at their table and said, ?I?m not saying it will, but it may.?

Stone said he is worried that starting on the 20th may be physically impossible. He said he knows the judge is working hard on the remaining decisions, but maybe we should move the trial out one or two weeks. He said deciding the Samsung-only issues would benefit all the parties involved. Judge Whyte joked that he appreciated Stone?s acknowledgement of the judge working hard. Judge Whyte said he thought a delay of a week or two was a good idea. Powers said he could start on the 20th, but if the trial is moved back two weeks, it would cause scheduling conflicts and would require the trial to be reset by much longer than two weeks. Stone pointed out the hypocrisy of Powers because the manufacturers just asked for 26 weeks of trial and now just two weeks would cause the trial to be reset.

Judge Whyte said he agrees resetting the case would cause difficulty because 1) He would lose his law clerk 2) His own personal plans that would cause difficulties. He said one to two weeks may be a possibility. He said, ?I have one law clerk, I have 500 other cases. I?ve had some limitations on my time unrelated to the calendar.? It was at this point the judge became emotionally choked up. Stone relieved him by saying we should talk about the schedule later.

Judge Whyte changed topics and said opening statement should be no longer than 1-2 hours. He then said the number of claims Rambus has is fine, but the combinations the manufacturers are using to show obviousness is too much and should be limited to two. Bobrow then complained and said they needed up to five per claim. Judge Whyte mostly held his ground and said maybe he would allow an extra one if cause were shown.

Bobrow then complained about Rambus? 32 will-call witnessrs and 31 may-calls. Stone rebutted that the manufacturers have 35 will-calls and 90 may-calls. Stone then repeated his earlier point about the 20 JEDEC witnesses and Rambus? needed to rebut these witnesses. Stone said this is looking like a retrial of last January. Judge Whyte acknowledged Stones indirect point by saying, ?Part of the problem with getting everything done before trial may depend upon rulings that haven?t been made yet. Hopefully I?ll have more by Thursday." Judge Whyte responded to further complaints from Bobrow about Rambus?
witness list by saying, ?A lot of it depends on who you are willing to produce.? This was an indirect criticism of the manufacturers for not producing out of state witnesses.

Judge Whyte then discussed the inequitable conduct motion against Rambus. The manufacturers claim Rambus didn?t disclose all the prior art on child or grandchild applications, even though the art was disclosed on the parent patent. Judge Whyte seemed to largely agree with Rambus? position that all Rambus needed to do was initially disclose the art to the PTO and didn?t need to keep resubmitting the art for every child application.

Judge Whyte then addressed what Jedec conduct evidence would be allowed. Rambus was saying the jury already decided there was no duty to disclose. Nissley said that other JEDEC participants disclosed some art that shows some of the claims were obvious. Stone countered that the art disclosed actually came from Rambus? NDAs, but if the manufacturers claim there is true prior art, then they should provide such evidence. Stone said they shouldn?t be allowed to bring the evidence back in as JEDEC misconduct. Stone said they manufacturers should alert the judge outside the presence of the jury if they feel they need to discuss JEDEC conduct. Judge Whyte seemed to agree with this suggestion and it seems the JEDEC conduct might be allowed but only sparingly.

There was a long discussion about whether Samsung actually admits their products infringe the patents. Samsung still is clinging to the patent exhaustion defense. Mr. Detre reminded the judge that the tentative ruling precluded Mr. Powers' argument and if the final ruling is similar to the tentative, then this argument will be barred from the trial.

Judge Whyte then discussed the agenda for tomorrow. 1) The willfulness summary judgment. 2) The jury questionnaire 3) He will issue verbal rulings on the items discussed today or they will follow in the next couple days. He said the orders won?t include the normal detailed analysis, but hopefully they will provide sufficient guidance

Judge Whyte also said we will still start the jury questioning on January 20th and selection on the 22nd. He said he may delay the opening statements by 2-4 days to give more time for essential rulings.

Powers then brought up the Micron-only proposal. Judge Whyte said, ?Absent a stipulation, we won?t do that. I don?t think it is fair to Rambus to limit the evidence. I am also troubled by the idea that Rambus can?t have all the parties present. I don?t see why the manufacturers can dictate which defendant Rambus can try its case against.? Powers tried hard to change the judge?s mind, but I think to no avail. The judge said Powers can submit another proposal if he wants. Stone reminded the judge of the potential problems of possible settlement with Micron, bankruptcy of Micron, or a Judge Robinson ruling during the trial. Stone noted Micron?s dwindling cash position even though they are getting $120million per year from Nanya.

It was about here were the session ended.
 

zimu

Diamond Member
Jun 15, 2001
6,209
0
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quite a positive hit on rmbs, this recent news! up to 18.75 pre-market, i saw it at 18.99 just a few minutes ago. think we'll cross 20 today...
 

Azurik

Platinum Member
Jan 23, 2002
2,206
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Originally posted by: zimu
quite a positive hit on rmbs, this recent news! up to 18.75 pre-market, i saw it at 18.99 just a few minutes ago. think we'll cross 20 today...

The overall market is not cooperating... RMBS is consolidating. It's healthy anyway to drop a little and allow the MM's to get their covers. The price action is irrelevant given that somethiing major may happen this Thursday.
 

Azurik

Platinum Member
Jan 23, 2002
2,206
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Originally posted by: zimu
whats on thursday??

He uses a lot of words that have hidden meaning... read the court report I posted above. It is extremely valuable if you know the RMBS story. There's a lot of hidden nuggets in there that should make any Rambus shareholder salvitate.

He hinted on signicant rulings by Thursday. He hinted the prior Samsung contractual case with Rambus will also be resolved soon.

There was also this piece:

[/i]Judge Whyte said once the willfulness and license defenses are ruled upon, it may save some time. The manufacturer table looked concerned, so Judge Whyte looked at their table and said, ?I?m not saying it will, but it may.?[/i]
 

MrYogi

Platinum Member
Mar 15, 2003
2,680
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I got on the RAM"BUS" today.
I am also looking for any Mutual Funds that invest in RMBS. Azurik - Any info please?
 

Azurik

Platinum Member
Jan 23, 2002
2,206
12
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Originally posted by: MrYogi
I got on the RAM"BUS" today.
I am also looking for any Mutual Funds that invest in RMBS. Azurik - Any info please?

There's a bunch of mutual funds that have Rambus - including a few of Fidelity's. The problem with RMBS is that it's really for the retail investors who can make big on it. There's only 100 million shares outstanding and the institutions already own over 50% of it. As RMBS goes up, the benefit to mutual funds is small since it's just a small slice of their pie.

Why are you looking for mutual funds with RMBS? If I know the rationale, I can point you to a more specific fund.
 

ajtyeh

Golden Member
Feb 9, 2006
1,267
1
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I'd like to introduce myself. I'm a very amateur investor and made many loosing trades. Believe it or not im only 22 and i started work last march. I decided i had some extra money to invest and i started the same month the market decided to crash. great timing eh? Well From last october I put an inital 5k into etrade, and ended up loosing about 2.2k and had 2800 left by early december. I took out my money from etrade and stopped investing(loosing money) for a week and then put it into charles schwab and try investing again. I've made a few trades and gambles(not proud of) and im almost in the green.

Trades the last 3 weeks.

Bought NVDA 330 shares @ 6.39. Sold at 8.3.

Bought USO 100 shares @ 32. Sold at 30.70.

Bought NVDA 395 shares @ 7.73. Sold at 9.12

Bought SDS 175 shares @ 65.20. Sold 75 at 69.55

Holding 100 remaining shares of SDS. Right now 70.80 premarket.

Any thoughts on previous trades or currently holding SDS?

FYI* SDS is a ETF that is a leveraged fund that tracks the S&P500 but on the short side so if S&P500 goes up 10% , SDS goes down 20% , or if S&P500 goes down 5%, SDS goes up 10%.
 

richardycc

Diamond Member
Apr 29, 2001
5,719
1
81
bought some GMCR today, been watching this stock even since I found out they own Keurig. I love my B70 machine. this is definitely a case of 'invest in what you use.' with the big drop today, I got some at 35.93, and the stock has been channeling around $35-$39 for awhile.
 

zimu

Diamond Member
Jun 15, 2001
6,209
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Originally posted by: richardycc
bought some GMCR today, been watching this stock even since I found out they own Keurig. I love my B70 machine. this is definitely a case of 'invest in what you use.' with the big drop today, I got some at 35.93, and the stock has been channeling around $35-$39 for awhile.

cur: 34.46. hope they stop the downward trend for your sake :)


i used the dip in rmbs this morning to expand my holding with them. go rmbs go!!
 

Azurik

Platinum Member
Jan 23, 2002
2,206
12
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Originally posted by: zimu
Originally posted by: richardycc
bought some GMCR today, been watching this stock even since I found out they own Keurig. I love my B70 machine. this is definitely a case of 'invest in what you use.' with the big drop today, I got some at 35.93, and the stock has been channeling around $35-$39 for awhile.

cur: 34.46. hope they stop the downward trend for your sake :)


i used the dip in rmbs this morning to expand my holding with them. go rmbs go!!

No rulings happened last night in Cali. I was up on the east coast till around midnight. Tonight or monday morning?

A funny thing at the last court conference was that the judge ask if the companies are still in settlement talks and everyone looked at each other like they didn't want to answer. The judge ask again if they are still in progress. It was than, the main Rambus lawyer got up and said, "Yes, we are!".

My inclination is one of the memory manufacturers is in serious settlement discussions with Rambus unbeknownst to the rest of the defendants. That company didn't want to answer the question to reveal themselves. When Rambus got up and confirmed it's in progress, I bet that got the other parties to realize they are no longer the tight cartel unit they thought they were. Who is left holding the bag?
 

zimu

Diamond Member
Jun 15, 2001
6,209
0
0
WHOA WHAT THE HELL JUST HAPPENED TO RMBS?? was there some huge announcement just now or something?? dropped like 2 bucks in 2 mins!
 

ivan2

Diamond Member
Mar 6, 2000
5,772
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www.heatware.com
wow all it need is a new phone for PALM to double, it is kind of erratic.

Traded half of my MRK for USO at 29ish a while back and sold for some gain, entered USO again at 32 yesterday. Planned to trade all MRK positions for oil if it fall again.

Still holding GE, IBM, and VV(aint going anywhere soon)
 

Azurik

Platinum Member
Jan 23, 2002
2,206
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Originally posted by: MrYogi
down by $3 = 16% now

Something happened.

Nothing in California. Word on the street is the Judge in Deleware in a seperate RMBS vs MU case ruled that RMBS spoilated evidence... which is contrary to what Judge Whyte ruled earlier.

Think HJW would take precedence, but in either case, I bought another $20,000 on the dip. More later.
 

imported_Lothar

Diamond Member
Aug 10, 2006
4,559
1
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Originally posted by: zimu
WHOA WHAT THE HELL JUST HAPPENED TO RMBS?? was there some huge announcement just now or something?? dropped like 2 bucks in 2 mins!

A federal Judge said several of their patents will not be allowed in a case settlement.
RMBS drops -30%.
 

MrYogi

Platinum Member
Mar 15, 2003
2,680
0
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Originally posted by: Azurik
Originally posted by: MrYogi
down by $3 = 16% now

Something happened.

Nothing in California. Word on the street is the Judge in Deleware in a seperate RMBS vs MU case ruled that RMBS spoilated evidence... which is contrary to what Judge Whyte ruled earlier.

Think HJW would take precedence, but in either case, I bought another $20,000 on the dip. More later.

Rambus (RMBS) can't enforce patents against Micron (MU), judge orders - Bloomberg
 

Azurik

Platinum Member
Jan 23, 2002
2,206
12
81
Originally posted by: MrYogi
Originally posted by: Azurik
Originally posted by: MrYogi
down by $3 = 16% now

Something happened.

Nothing in California. Word on the street is the Judge in Deleware in a seperate RMBS vs MU case ruled that RMBS spoilated evidence... which is contrary to what Judge Whyte ruled earlier.

Think HJW would take precedence, but in either case, I bought another $20,000 on the dip. More later.

Rambus (RMBS) can't enforce patents against Micron (MU), judge orders - Bloomberg

Here is the judge's order:

http://www.scribd.com/doc/9989...uit-Unenforceable-v-MU

The consesus among the initial flurry of phonecalls I got was this is a buying opportunity. More when I know.
 

MrYogi

Platinum Member
Mar 15, 2003
2,680
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Looks like RMBS lost a patent infringement suit against Micron. The suit was brought on by RMBS.
It is weird how this affected the stock price by 35% so far.
 

Cal166

Diamond Member
May 6, 2000
5,081
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Originally posted by: MrYogi
Looks like RMBS lost a patent infringement suit against Micron. The suit was brought on by RMBS.
It is weird how this affected the stock price by 35% so far.

If they lost against Micron, will they loose against others?
 

imported_Lothar

Diamond Member
Aug 10, 2006
4,559
1
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Originally posted by: MrYogi
Looks like RMBS lost a patent infringement suit against Micron. The suit was brought on by RMBS.
It is weird how this affected the stock price by 35% so far.

It's not a surprise. What more would you expect investing in a company that is at the judgment of the courts?
I predicted something like this could happen in 2008 stock market thread almost 2 months ago.
http://forums.anandtech.com/me...AR_FORUMVIEWTMP=Linear

That said,
I wonder which side of the bed the judge woke up on this morning...Maybe the right side? left?

RMBS stock is now down -43.14% today.