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***Official*** 2007 Stock Market Thread

Azurik

Azurik

Platinum Member
2006 was a VERY good year for both US and foreign stocks. What will 2007 bring? Any opinions and predictions welcomed.

Azurik's Portfolio (60% US/40% Foreign)
Whacky Buys: Very unorthodox of me to buy OTC's, but I bought 10k worth of BDYT @ $2.12 on 1/11. It's $2.23 right now. Sold at $2.51 as of 8/31. Last year's whacky buy was FRPT @ $6.25. Sold at $21.50.

Current Whacky Buy: I believe that E*Trades (ETFC) bad news is over exagerrated. I bought $20,000 worth of shares yesterday @ $3.75 and another $5,000 worth of shares @ $4.10 today.

January 2007 YTD:

DJIA = 12653 / 1.5 %
Nasdaq = 2475 / 2.5 %
S&P 500 = 1448 / 2.1 %
Russell 2000 = 809 / 2.8 %
Azurik's Retirement = 2.5%
Azurik's Non-Retirement = 5.19%

February 2007 YTD:

DJIA = 12647 / (-2.8%)
Nasdaq = 2515 / (-2.0%)
S&P 500 = 1451 / (-2.2%)
Russell 2000 = 827 / (-1.6%)
Azurik's Retirement = (-0.4%)
Azurik's Non-Retirement = 5.66%

March 2007 YTD:

DJIA = 12354 / (-0.9%)
Nasdaq = 2422 / 0.3%
S&P 500 = 1421 / 0.2%
Russell 2000 = 801 1.7%
Azurik's Retirement = 3.1%
Azurik's Non-Retirement = 17.92%

April 2007 YTD:

DJIA =
Nasdaq =
S&P 500 =
Azurik's Retirement = 9.5%
Azurik's Non-Retirement = 19.5%

May 2007 YTD:

DJIA = 13,557 / 8.8%
Nasdaq = 2,558 / 5.9%
S&P 500 = 1,523 / 7.4%
Azurik's Retirement = 11%
Azurik's Non-Retirement = 19.9%

June 2007 YTD:

DJIA = 13,409 / 8.5%
Nasdaq = 2,603 / 5.8%
S&P 500 = 1,593 / 7.5%
Azurik's Retirement = 10.5%
Azurik's Non-Retirement = 19.7%

July 2007 YTD:

DJIA = 13,182 / 5.8%
Nasdaq = 2,511 / 4.0%
S&P 500 = 1,433 / 1.0%
Azurik's Retirement = 9.4%
Azurik's Non-Retirement = 23.2%

August 2007 YTD:

DJIA =
Nasdaq =
S&P 500 =
Azurik's Retirement = 8.5%
Azurik's Non-Retirement = 19.4%

September 2007 YTD:

DJIA = 13,896 / 11.5%
Nasdaq = 2,702 / 11.8%
S&P 500 = 1527 / 7.6%
Azurik's Retirement = 13.9%
Azurik's Non-Retirement = 21.2%

October 2007 YTD:

DJIA = 13,595 / 9.1%
Nasdaq = 2,810 / 16.4%
S&P 500 = 1,510 / 6.4%
Azurik's Retirement = 13.7%
Azurik's Non-Retirement = 21.3%

November 2007 YTD:

DJIA = 13,372 / 7.4%
Nasdaq = 2,661 / 10.3%
S&P 500 = 1,481 / 4.5%
Azurik's Retirement = 13.0%
Azurik's Non-Retirement = 29.8%

December 2007 YTD:

DJIA = 13,365 / 6.4%
Nasdaq = 2,674 / 9.8%
S&P 500 = 1,478 / 3.5%
Azurik's Retirement = 10.7%
Azurik's Non-Retirement = 23.1%

AZURIK'S DECEMBER REVIEW:
It was another year of gains for the stock market. The Nasdaq outperformed the S&P 500 by a wide margin while the Dow Jones sat in the middle of the two in terms of gains.

The stock market ended the last quarter of the year down, without much change from November through December. The credit crisis sell-off happened a couple times, but the markets rallied back to a decent level on all occasions.

2008 will be a focal point on whether or not the US economy is heading into a mild recession.
 
Market has obviously cooled down from their go-go gadget run of the past 6 months. I believe a lot of this year's action will depend on:

#1. Fed policy. Did the feds manage a superior soft landing? Can inflation be maintained? Can oil be managed?

#2. Geopolitical Issues. Will it be relatively stable or will wars/terror/threats surprise the financial markets?
 
For the time being it looks like inflation will be kept under control. Unemployment was up 0.1% and there were fewer new jobs added than inticipated at year's end. I think there will be some profit-taking here and there but if earnings continue to do well and the Fed doesn't raise rates the bull market should continue for the next few months..... until the inevitable correction.
 
January Barometer and Presidential Cycle predicted that this is going to be a very good year. I'm waiting for the correction anytime happening in the first half of the year (if it does happen at all). Then I'll snatch everything up.
 
Originally posted by: Azurik
It's going to be another great year for government defense companies that's for sure...
Click to expand...

Hey, you work for one of them. Don't ya?! Any insider info? :evil:

I kid. I kid.
 
Originally posted by: Azurik
2006 was a VERY good year for both US and foreign stocks. What will 2007 bring? Any opinions and predictions welcomed.

Azurik's Portfolio (60% US/40% Foreign)
Azurik's Retirement = 2.5%
Azurik's Non-Retirement = 5.19%
Current Whacky Buy: Very unorthodox of me to buy OTC's, but I bought 10k worth of BDYT @ $2.12 on 1/11. It's $2.23 right now. Last year's whacky buy was FRPT @ $6.25. Sold at $21.50.

January 2007 YTD:

DJIA = 12653 / 1.5 %
Nasdaq = 2475 / 2.5 %
S&P 500 = 1448 / 2.1 %
Russell 2000 = 809 / 2.8 %

February 2007 YTD:

DJIA =
Nasdaq =
S&P 500 =
Russell 2000 =
Click to expand...

I redid the portfolio in November.

Here are my returns YTD, please note, the following figures reflect a HIGHER THAN ACTUAL cost basis due to reinvested ST and LT capital gains.

Real Estate up 15.94%
Large Cap Blend up 6.65% Note: Load free fund
Large Cap Growth up 5.64%
Large Cap Foreign up 2.12% Note: Load free fund
Mid Cap Growth up 5.54%
Small Growth up 2.56%
Foreign Large Value up 1.16% Note: Load free fund
Foreign Large blend up 1.55%
Midcap Value up 2.66%
Specialty Energy 2.41%
Large Value up 2.11%
Small Blend up 2.70%

Average unrealized gain, after fees, with higher cost basis due to reinvestment: 4.25% for the month. Annualize that and thats some spending money!
 
Azurik,

I'm curious as to what you based your whacky buys on???


TIA

P.S.........

ITT
GOOG
CAT
BMET

FTW! 😀
 
Originally posted by: Azurik
It's going to be another great year for government defense companies that's for sure...
Click to expand...


I used to work for Lockheed Martin. Their matching 401k contributions went into company stock. Their stock has been kicking butt and sending that 401k plan way high. I hope to see that keep climbing for a while.
 
Originally posted by: JDub02
Originally posted by: Azurik
It's going to be another great year for government defense companies that's for sure...
Click to expand...


I used to work for Lockheed Martin. Their matching 401k contributions went into company stock. Their stock has been kicking butt and sending that 401k plan way high. I hope to see that keep climbing for a while.
Click to expand...

I work for Raytheon. Without going into areas where it might be considered insider info, I think gov't defense companies still have a ways to go in the run-up. Maybe a stall or go downward when the next president gets elected - depends on what his defense spending budget is. Bush will leave a high defense spending plan in place for the year he leaves, so I think they are relatively safe until 2009.
 
Originally posted by: Azurik
Originally posted by: JDub02
Originally posted by: Azurik
It's going to be another great year for government defense companies that's for sure...
Click to expand...


I used to work for Lockheed Martin. Their matching 401k contributions went into company stock. Their stock has been kicking butt and sending that 401k plan way high. I hope to see that keep climbing for a while.
Click to expand...

I work for Raytheon. Without going into areas where it might be considered insider info, I think gov't defense companies still have a ways to go in the run-up. Maybe a stall or go downward when the next president gets elected - depends on what his defense spending budget is. Bish will leave a high defense spending plan in place for the year he leaves, so I think they are relatively safe until 2009.
Click to expand...

Defense companies you guys might be interested after hearing the comment from trustworthy the Azurik (who I consider ATOT Smartmoney):
LMT
NOC
GD
BA
RTN

Boeing, of course, has a huge commercial aircraft division. Which is growing quite nicely since Airbus failed to deliver the goodies. - That is where you might wonder why BA's P/E is so out of blown compare to other defense companies.

So far, we have a lot of ETFs and mutual fund investors. Where are the stock pickers of ATOT?!
 
Originally posted by: her209
AAPL down 0.11% YTD

RIMM up 3.94% YTD

😀
Click to expand...

Weren't you loaded in AMD as well? You are way heavy on tech! I'll be a buyer of GOOG soon....as soon as it get close to that $450 level.
 
Originally posted by: her209
Originally posted by: iversonyin
Originally posted by: her209
AAPL down 0.11% YTD

RIMM up 3.94% YTD

😀
Click to expand...
Weren't you loaded in AMD as well? You are way heavy on tech!
Click to expand...
All my investments non-401k are tech.
Click to expand...

Wow...brave man.

Did you buy RIMM right after the iPhone announcement? That was a great buy.
 
Originally posted by: iversonyin
Originally posted by: her209
Originally posted by: iversonyin
Originally posted by: her209
AAPL down 0.11% YTD

RIMM up 3.94% YTD

😀
Click to expand...
Weren't you loaded in AMD as well? You are way heavy on tech!
Click to expand...
All my investments non-401k are tech.
Click to expand...
Wow...brave man.

Did you buy RIMM right after the iPhone announcement? That was a great buy.
Click to expand...
No, I bought it back in mid-December 2006, got greedy and held. I'm glad its back to December levels. Damn AAPL.

I'm happy to see AAPL stock suckin' it right now.
 
Originally posted by: her209
Originally posted by: iversonyin
Originally posted by: her209
Originally posted by: iversonyin
Originally posted by: her209
AAPL down 0.11% YTD

RIMM up 3.94% YTD

😀
Click to expand...
Weren't you loaded in AMD as well? You are way heavy on tech!
Click to expand...
All my investments non-401k are tech.
Click to expand...
Wow...brave man.

Did you buy RIMM right after the iPhone announcement? That was a great buy.
Click to expand...
No, I bought it back in mid-December 2006, got greedy and held. I'm glad its back to December levels. Damn AAPL.

I'm happy to see AAPL stock suckin' it right now.
Click to expand...

I'm happy to see AAPL stock sucking it too. Give everyone a second chance to get in.
 
Originally posted by: iversonyin
Originally posted by: Azurik
Originally posted by: JDub02
Originally posted by: Azurik
It's going to be another great year for government defense companies that's for sure...
Click to expand...


I used to work for Lockheed Martin. Their matching 401k contributions went into company stock. Their stock has been kicking butt and sending that 401k plan way high. I hope to see that keep climbing for a while.
Click to expand...

I work for Raytheon. Without going into areas where it might be considered insider info, I think gov't defense companies still have a ways to go in the run-up. Maybe a stall or go downward when the next president gets elected - depends on what his defense spending budget is. Bish will leave a high defense spending plan in place for the year he leaves, so I think they are relatively safe until 2009.
Click to expand...

Defense companies you guys might be interested after hearing the comment from trustworthy the Azurik (who I consider ATOT Smartmoney):
LMT
NOC
GD
BA
RTN

Boeing, of course, has a huge commercial aircraft division. Which is growing quite nicely since Airbus failed to deliver the goodies. - That is where you might wonder why BA's P/E is so out of blown compare to other defense companies.

So far, we have a lot of ETFs and mutual fund investors. Where are the stock pickers of ATOT?!
Click to expand...

Although I own some stocks, it is INCREDIBLY hard to buy blue chips nowadays. Even with a $100k portfolio, to be properly diversified you'll be holding odd lots of shares left and right. Unless you've got a million bucks to play with, stocks require more nuts and bolts investing,
 
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