Originally posted by: dullard
Originally posted by: Wreckem
The Big 3 fail, they take down all the NA suppliers that also supply the foreign auto co's in the US.
You would see a ripple effect that would lead to a couple million more unemployed relatively overnight.
#1, even if all of the big 3 fail AND all the part suppliers fail, that is just a 3% hit to the GDP. The big 3 really aren't anywhere near as big as people think. Yes, lots of people will lose jobs, but it isn't a massive hit to the economy. We really don't need the big 3. Sure, there will be pain without them and we want at least 2 to survive. But it isn't a need like banks are a need.
#2, even if all of the big 3 survive, there STILL will be many closings and foreclosures in the part suppliers. There were 20% too many part suppliers in the peak of the sales. Now there are about 50%-70% too many part suppliers. Millions in the auto industry will lose jobs even if the big 3 are saved by the government.
#3, even if all of the big 3 fail, someone will pick up the pieces and jobs will be had again. There will just be a delay and there will be lower wages. We might not get all the jobs back (see #2), but we'll get a lot of them back.
You are overblowing the case and ignoring the fact that half the problems will occur anyways whether we save them or not.