sm625
Diamond Member
The problem is that in 1999, every public pension plan in the country made projections based on 1999 stock market returns. Those pension funds still hold onto those projections! This is arguably fraud, but the real problem is that the banks are doing the same thing with mortgage values. In many cases they are holding notes with book values of 200-400k even after the home has been stripped of all its copper! The tech wreck wasnt big enough to sink the entire country. But the housing crash might be.
One thing is certain though: if it turns out that they are able to paper over hundreds of thousands of 300k mortgages on ransacked homes, then the inflationary blow off from it will be so enormous we will not know what hit us. I dont think its possible to paper over this, but IF it is, expect to see at least 10 trillion in new debt created in the next 3 years. I just cant see how that can happen, but it is the next step up from previous bubbles.
One thing is certain though: if it turns out that they are able to paper over hundreds of thousands of 300k mortgages on ransacked homes, then the inflationary blow off from it will be so enormous we will not know what hit us. I dont think its possible to paper over this, but IF it is, expect to see at least 10 trillion in new debt created in the next 3 years. I just cant see how that can happen, but it is the next step up from previous bubbles.