Why dont you just say it in this thread? Obviously your expectations were such you can easily recite them.
I suppose it's too much to ask for people to read for their own. I'm in rounds, so this will be brief.
Hmm...they had about 1.5B in cash at the end of 2007, and now they have about 2B in cash, with profits on the rise. Sounds like they did OK.
Don't get me wrong, NV is struggling right now with getting Fermi out the door and the cost of their G200 parts, but give me a break. The company would have had decent 2008 profits if they didn't have all the costs (read: write downs) for their mobile GPU and chipset woes.
That's part of my point. 2008, despite some set backs, was a good year for them. What do you think 2009 is looking like? They've had little excess cost producing their mid-range and lower-end GPUs (save the 40nm parts, but the rest are a refresh of a refresh of a refresh), which should amount to large margins. I would have expected them to do better. I'm guessing the loss of their chipset ventures, notebook/mobile GPU issues, and 40nm parts are all partly to blame. This is looking into the future, but Fermi really needs to get out the door before the projected January/February deadline. Also, I don't know much about the fabbing/manufacturing process, but AMD has a finished product that it's having difficulty getting the production it wants, how much of a stab does NVIDIA get monkeying around
trying to perfect a design? Also, with the GPGPU venture, it's a new market to explore, but how big is it? One thing I would question is the software there for it?
I just see the company as contracting, which is not good for competition. For a quick comparison:
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=...=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined Granted this is AMD as a whole vs. NVIDIA, but I think it somewhat highlights the current situation and marketing strategies. I always look to the future to try to predict where things are going. We shall see I suppose.