from the Wall Street Journal -
September 19, 2001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Boeing May Cut up to 30,000 Workers
From Commercial Aircraft Division
By J. LYNN LUNSFORD and ANDY PASZTOR
Staff Reporters of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
Boeing Co., in the single largest employment cutback so far stemming from last week's terrorist attacks, said it may be forced to dismiss by the end of next year as many as 30,000 people, or nearly 30% of its commercial aircraft workers.
In an interview Tuesday night, Alan Mulally, president of the company's commercial aircraft division, said, "It looks to us both domestically and internationally that the airlines are going to need substantially fewer airplanes than they did before last week."
The layoffs, beginning before the end of the year, would mostly affect the jet maker's 93,000 commercial aircraft division employees in the Seattle area and in Wichita, Kan. Mr. Mulally said the company expects to reduce the number of airplanes it delivers this year to 500 from the 538 previously projected.
"Regrettably, that kind of production volume is consistent with us having to downsize our team by 20,000 to 30,000 employees," Mr. Mulally said.
The layoffs are likely to happen even if the airlines are successful in securing a huge relief package from Congress, the executive said. Airline officials are expected to ask Congress for as much as $24 billion in relief in hearings set to begin Thursday.
In the wake of last week's attacks on New York and Washington, D.C., many airlines contacted Boeing and rival Airbus to discuss pushing back aircraft delivery dates. Some airlines aren't exercising options, and some are seeking the return of deposits on jetliners already in the pipeline. Airlines are warning of an unprecedented cash shortage caused by the grounding of all air traffic and then the sluggish return of planes to the skies under strict new security procedures.
Mark Blondin, president of the International Association of Machinists in Seattle, said that the union had expected negative news from Boeing about potential short term earnings cuts, but that company officials had been optimistic that the downturn would be temporary. "Obviously, we're concerned here," he said. "If there are job reductions, we want to make sure that this is done equitably and that some of this burden is put on the subcontractors and vendors."
"The impact of the terrorist attacks on Boeing's order book has to be both traumatic and long term," said Nicholas Heymann, an analyst with Prudential Securities in New York. "If the events of the past week are going to restructure the entire airline industry," there is bound to be a comparable impact on the country's major plane maker, he said.
Hints about impending layoffs quietly sent by Boeing over the past day or so to union leaders and some lawmakers follow similar dire warnings from some of the company's major suppliers of engines, cockpit instruments and other components. With many airlines planning to return to only 80% of their capacity before the terrorist attacks, many investors, industry officials and Wall Street analysts for days had warned that major cutbacks at Boeing were inevitable.
Still, the size of the cutbacks could go beyond even some pessimistic projections. "Wow, what's amazing is how precipitous the decline really is. This is huge," said analyst Byron Callan III of Merrill Lynch. The news comes on top of the 26,000 layoffs already announced by airline carriers, and tens of thousands of other jobs that the airlines say are at risk unless the crisis abates quickly. Mr. Heymann estimates that without dramatic government help Boeing may be facing as much as a 40% falloff in production of shorter range, single aisle models starting in 2002.
Boeing's announcement last night didn't detail which aircraft lines would be hardest hit, but U.S. carriers already have too many narrow bodied airplanes and have said they may park as many as 750 of them around the country. The company said that its deliveries next year could drop to "the low 400s," compared with the 510 to 520 that it forecast as recently as last week. Boeing said it will "add further clarity about 2003," as events unfold.