Logical progression? So you're claiming the bulk of climate scientists believe in an end to human society by the end of the this century? Just want to be sure what it is you're claiming.
Because if that is what the scientific community is saying, it confuses me that they are urging us to curtail emissions, because it's over, right, so what is the point?
The collapse of society is already underway. It's not just climate change. It's resource exhaustion. Exponential growth on a finite rock. There's only so deep we can dig, and only so much of the planet we can burn now for profits now over having resources later.
Look, some people will be perfectly fine over the next few decades because they've accumulated enough wealth to insulate themselves. Most people are going to be shit out of luck.
Catabolic collapse is already happening.
Whenever someone mentions how the Easter Islanders went and destroyed their environment and basically went instinct...guess where our species is heading. I mean shit, look at how many of our SpaceBillionaires™ are just itching to build themselves fucking rockets with their hoarded wealth so they can go live on other planets.
Shit's baked into the cake at this point. We have to continue burning oil coal and gas if we want to have anywhere near the level of "society" that we have now, and that's just for a billion or so westerners. So, there's no end in sight of dumping CO2 into the atmosphere. And let's be real here, what we're starting to see now isn't a result of last year. It's cumulative of what was dumped into the atmosphere from the 1940s to 1980s. Take a look at the carbon dumped since 1980. Take a look at the carbon dumped since 2010. What is going to be dumped near year...etc. How much permafrost methane is being released from the current warming? Etc, ad nauseam.
Who is going to tell China and India that they can't have what we have, because in the future it might be bad? We can't even do that here with what we already have.
And we don't just use oil for cars, so everyone getting a Tesla isn't going to do anything for power requirements. Maybe if we can get to widespread fusion like, really soon, can we avoid almost universal catabolic collapse. Or maybe if lots of volcanoes start spouting off. Although I have a feeling that any chemical injection into the atmosphere by humans will end up being a disaster. Start looking to global cooling as humans finally reach the conclusion that yes, we did it, probably in the next decade or so.
We're all Easter Islanders now. Here's a great video that you can watch and handwave away if you want.
No, the human race isn't going extinct. But a whole lot of humans are going to die as our society collapses. This isn't an admonishment to do nothing. It's to prepare yourself while attempting to wrestle the reigns of power away from the monsters who know what is happening and are doubling down because they want to insulate themselves with more hoarded wealth...neo-feudalism. And guess which major US political party would love to make that even more of a possibility? Drill baby drill.
2020 was the beginning of the new normal.