Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: TastesLikeChicken
Originally posted by: eskimospy
The Clinton era agreed framework seemed to work pretty well. Basically the plan is to bide our time until the regime collapses on its own. Military action against NK is too costly for too little gain, ignoring them like Bush did was a terrible idea, and so that's about all we're left with.
We can fully expect NK to continue to behave badly, so the real question in my mind is how can we best limit the dumb shit they are going to do?
The framework agreed to under Clinton actually didn't work very well at all. Superficially it may have appeared so but under the surface it was a different story:
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/in...orthkorea/nuclear.html
Even as the nations were debating implementation of the Agreed Framework, North Korea, the United States argued, was breaking the spirit, if not the letter, of the pact. Within months of signing the framework, North Korea and Pakistan reportedly cut a deal to trade missile technology for Pakistan's uranium enrichment techniques ? the Agreed Framework had banned plutonium enrichment programs.
For more than three years, the North Koreans worked quietly on their uranium project while urging the United States to fully implement the Agreed Framework. The Clinton administration apparently learned of the secret program in late 1998 or early 1999, and by March 2000, President Clinton informed Congress he could no longer certify that "North Korea is not seeking to develop or acquire the capability to enrich uranium."
Allegedly Clinton even knew of NK's work on the project, according to the WaPo in '98. He simply pretended that not to know so he didn't have to acknowledge that his (actually Jimmy Carter's) framework afreement was a failure.
I agree it wasn't perfect. There has arisen
significant doubt on the existence or progress of North Korean uranium based weapons however. This isn't to say that they weren't likely trying to pull something shady, just that they didn't get very far with it. To sort of further underscore this idea, when the North Koreans detonated that bomb, it was a plutonium based one, not uranium... despite having years of extra time to work on uranium based weapons had they been doing that. I think it's safe to say that the Agreed Framework delayed North Korea's deployment of nuclear weapons.
That's what this is all about isn't it? I mean we all know that short of military strikes, etc, the best we're going to be able to get out of North Korea is to delay their actions that we don't like. Yes this sucks, but I think most reasonable people agree that attacking them is probably a bad idea. So, the Agreed Framework seems to provide a blueprint from which more effective agreements can perhaps be crafted to get North Korea to behave itself until Kim Jong Il dies, or whatever else. Like I said, the best of a series of bad options.