Nordic countries need more babies to fund their system

UglyCasanova

Lifer
Mar 25, 2001
19,275
1,361
126
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/babies-wanted-nordic-countries-crying-kids-033117429.html


Nothing but a ponzi scheme. Relying on continuous population growth should not be how we base our economics. Especially given how everyone is living longer and expecting more. I do agree with the idea of social safety nets but I think they need to be just that, a net so you don’t hit bottom. Promising everything to everyone and paying for it through constant growth doesn’t seem sustainable. Same with social security here, it needs to be needs based only. Yeah you still have to pay for it as insurance but it should only be that.

The Nordic countries were long a bastion of strong fertility rates on an Old Continent that is rapidly getting older.​
But they are now experiencing a decline that threatens their cherished welfare model, which is funded by taxpayers.​
"In the coming decades, we will encounter problems with this model," Prime Minister Erna Solberg warned Norwegians in her New Year's speech.​
"There will be fewer young people to bear the increasingly heavy burden of the welfare state."​
 

realibrad

Lifer
Oct 18, 2013
12,337
898
126
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/babies-wanted-nordic-countries-crying-kids-033117429.html


Nothing but a ponzi scheme. Relying on continuous population growth should not be how we base our economics. Especially given how everyone is living longer and expecting more. I do agree with the idea of social safety nets but I think they need to be just that, a net so you don’t hit bottom. Promising everything to everyone and paying for it through constant growth doesn’t seem sustainable. Same with social security here, it needs to be needs based only. Yeah you still have to pay for it as insurance but it should only be that.

The Nordic countries were long a bastion of strong fertility rates on an Old Continent that is rapidly getting older.​
But they are now experiencing a decline that threatens their cherished welfare model, which is funded by taxpayers.​
"In the coming decades, we will encounter problems with this model," Prime Minister Erna Solberg warned Norwegians in her New Year's speech.​
"There will be fewer young people to bear the increasingly heavy burden of the welfare state."​

This is part of the reason why the population is not expected to go above around 10 billion. As wealth increases, people tend to have less children. It does mean that some things will need to be reworked. They are not the only country to have systems built upon expected future population growth.
 

Atreus21

Lifer
Aug 21, 2007
12,001
571
126
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/babies-wanted-nordic-countries-crying-kids-033117429.html


Nothing but a ponzi scheme. Relying on continuous population growth should not be how we base our economics. Especially given how everyone is living longer and expecting more. I do agree with the idea of social safety nets but I think they need to be just that, a net so you don’t hit bottom. Promising everything to everyone and paying for it through constant growth doesn’t seem sustainable. Same with social security here, it needs to be needs based only. Yeah you still have to pay for it as insurance but it should only be that.

The Nordic countries were long a bastion of strong fertility rates on an Old Continent that is rapidly getting older.​
But they are now experiencing a decline that threatens their cherished welfare model, which is funded by taxpayers.​
"In the coming decades, we will encounter problems with this model," Prime Minister Erna Solberg warned Norwegians in her New Year's speech.​
"There will be fewer young people to bear the increasingly heavy burden of the welfare state."​

They think they got it bad. Try Japan.
 

Atreus21

Lifer
Aug 21, 2007
12,001
571
126
How do you think capitalism works? In fact I can't think of a single economic system that doesn't require "new blood" in order to continue.

Communism, certainly. Lots and lots of blood.

Interesting also that the nordic countries are commonly held up by the left as examples of socialism done right. Now when there are problems we blame capitalism.
 

Jaskalas

Lifer
Jun 23, 2004
35,471
9,692
136
The old "we can't pay for it" trope.
  • Personal Income in this country is $15.5 trillion.
  • United States Budget is currently $4 trillion.
  • Basic Income would spend $3.8 trillion.
We can do a lot with what we have.
 

realibrad

Lifer
Oct 18, 2013
12,337
898
126
How do you think capitalism works? In fact I can't think of a single economic system that doesn't require "new blood" in order to continue.

How does capitalism require new people into the system? I can see how it would maximize profits, but, not how its inherently needed for it to work as a system.
 

WelshBloke

Lifer
Jan 12, 2005
32,832
10,969
136
Communism, certainly. Lots and lots of blood.

Interesting also that the nordic countries are commonly held up by the left as examples of socialism done right. Now when there are problems we blame capitalism.
The Nordic countries are in no way not capitalist economies.
 
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fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,699
54,684
136
Literally every country on earth structures its finances in a way that depends on population growth. They do that because... well... our population has always grown. I mean how catastrophically stupid would we have had to be to do otherwise? When tax bases change, the way you make policy and the way you tax people changes. This should be obvious.

This thread makes zero logical sense as an attack on the welfare state. Did you think this through?
 

pauldun170

Diamond Member
Sep 26, 2011
9,330
5,416
136
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/babies-wanted-nordic-countries-crying-kids-033117429.html


Nothing but a ponzi scheme. Relying on continuous population growth should not be how we base our economics. Especially given how everyone is living longer and expecting more. I do agree with the idea of social safety nets but I think they need to be just that, a net so you don’t hit bottom. Promising everything to everyone and paying for it through constant growth doesn’t seem sustainable. Same with social security here, it needs to be needs based only. Yeah you still have to pay for it as insurance but it should only be that.
Gonna have to pull the adult card and respond....​

In Norway, Finland and Iceland, birth rates dropped to historic lows in 2017, with 1.49 to 1.71 children born per woman. Just a few years earlier, their birth rates hovered close to the 2.1 level required for their populations to remain stable.

Total Fertility Rate
Total fertility rate (per woman)
Total fertility rate (TFR) in simple terms refers to total number of children born or likely to be born to a woman in her life time if she were subject to the prevailing rate of age-specific fertility in the population. TFR of about 2.1 children per woman is called Replacement-level fertility (UN, Population Division). This value represents the average number of children a woman would need to have to reproduce herself by bearing a daughter who survives to childbearing age. If replacement level fertility is sustained over a sufficiently long period, each generation will exactly replace itself without any need for the country to balance the population by international migration.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,699
54,684
136
Communism, certainly. Lots and lots of blood.

Interesting also that the nordic countries are commonly held up by the left as examples of socialism done right. Now when there are problems we blame capitalism.

He did not blame capitalism.

It's interesting to see how the Nordic countries are back to being 'socialist' again though, haha. Just the other day there was a thread about how well they are doing but according to conservatives then it was because they were so capitalist. lol. I even called that this!

It’s the same old dance that conservatives always do. When countries that spend more than us on government fail it’s because the socialized parts of their country failed. When countries that spend more than is succeed it’s because capitalism is so great.
 

hal2kilo

Lifer
Feb 24, 2009
25,720
12,041
136
Literally every country on earth structures its finances in a way that depends on population growth. They do that because... well... our population has always grown. I mean how catastrophically stupid would we have had to be to do otherwise? When tax bases change, the way you make policy and the way you tax people changes. This should be obvious.

This thread makes zero logical sense as an attack on the welfare state. Did you think this through?
posting in a concerned person's thread.
 

Viper1j

Diamond Member
Jul 31, 2018
4,439
4,131
136
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/babies-wanted-nordic-countries-crying-kids-033117429.html


Nothing but a ponzi scheme. Relying on continuous population growth should not be how we base our economics. Especially given how everyone is living longer and expecting more. I do agree with the idea of social safety nets but I think they need to be just that, a net so you don’t hit bottom. Promising everything to everyone and paying for it through constant growth doesn’t seem sustainable. Same with social security here, it needs to be needs based only. Yeah you still have to pay for it as insurance but it should only be that.

The Nordic countries were long a bastion of strong fertility rates on an Old Continent that is rapidly getting older.​
But they are now experiencing a decline that threatens their cherished welfare model, which is funded by taxpayers.​
"In the coming decades, we will encounter problems with this model," Prime Minister Erna Solberg warned Norwegians in her New Year's speech.​
"There will be fewer young people to bear the increasingly heavy burden of the welfare state."​

Wonder if they'll start offering hot sex tours..
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,685
136
If anything, shrinking populations will only increase the negative effects of wealth concentration inherent to poorly regulated capitalism. It's not an issue of how much wealth & how much liquidity there is but rather of distribution.

It's perfectly clear that greed at the top would rather rule in Hell than serve in Heaven.
 
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pmv

Lifer
May 30, 2008
15,000
9,876
136
Communism, certainly. Lots and lots of blood.

Funny you mention that. Eastern Europe's population is aging rapidly because the birth-rate plummeted after the end of communism. The communist regimes provided a lot of support for families. When the regimes collapsed that went away and the birth-rate collapsed with it.

Most of Europe has an aging population and below-replacement birthrate. The UK, Ireland, and France are the only real exceptions. I don't really know what the general cause of this is, apart from the particular case of the end of communism in the East.

Globally population growth has mostly slowed or stopped entirely as countries get a bit wealthier, but the huge exception is Africa, where countries like Nigeria continue to grow rapidly despite increasing wealth. I don't really get what the reason for that is, either.

It seems kind of appropriate, given that humans emerged from Africa in the first place, that it looks as if the main engine of increasing global population will be Africa.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-25869838
 
Last edited:

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,699
54,684
136
Funny you mention that. Eastern Europe's population is aging rapidly because the birth-rate plummeted after the end of communism. The communist regimes provided a lot of support for families. When the regimes collapsed that went away and the birth-rate collapsed with it.

Most of Europe has an aging population and below-replacement birthrate. The UK, Ireland, and France are the only real exceptions. I don't really know what the general cause of this is, apart from the particular case of the end of communism in the East.

Globally population growth has mostly slowed or stopped entirely as countries get a bit wealthier, but the huge exception is Africa, where countries like Nigeria continue to grow rapidly despite increasing wealth. I don't really get what the reason for that is, either.

One big reason is that in developed countries the cost of child care has become prohibitively expensive thanks to Baumol's cost disease. While most things society does become more efficient over time there's been basically no productivity growth when it comes to taking care of kids. That makes it become more expensive over time relative to everything else. The more expensive it is to have a kid, the fewer kids we get.
 

Jhhnn

IN MEMORIAM
Nov 11, 1999
62,365
14,685
136
One big reason is that in developed countries the cost of child care has become prohibitively expensive thanks to Baumol's cost disease. While most things society does become more efficient over time there's been basically no productivity growth when it comes to taking care of kids. That makes it become more expensive over time relative to everything else. The more expensive it is to have a kid, the fewer kids we get.

Robot child care!
 

mect

Platinum Member
Jan 5, 2004
2,424
1,637
136
One big reason is that in developed countries the cost of child care has become prohibitively expensive thanks to Baumol's cost disease. While most things society does become more efficient over time there's been basically no productivity growth when it comes to taking care of kids. That makes it become more expensive over time relative to everything else. The more expensive it is to have a kid, the fewer kids we get.
I think you need to replace cost of childcare with opportunity cost of childcare. Otherwise it wouldn't make sense why the poor are the ones having the most children in developed countries.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,699
54,684
136
I think you need to replace cost of childcare with opportunity cost of childcare. Otherwise it wouldn't make sense why the poor are the ones having the most children in developed countries.

No, definitely meant the cost. It's true that in general rich people have fewer children than poor people due in part to opportunity costs but that has changed in recent years due to increasing inequality and increasing cost of child care. Basically poor people take care of their kids themselves or use family members, middle class people have fewer kids because they can't afford child care anymore, and rich people have more kids because they can.

https://qz.com/1125805/the-reason-the-richest-women-in-the-us-are-the-ones-having-the-most-kids/
 

brycejones

Lifer
Oct 18, 2005
29,545
30,039
136
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/babies-wanted-nordic-countries-crying-kids-033117429.html


Nothing but a ponzi scheme. Relying on continuous population growth should not be how we base our economics. Especially given how everyone is living longer and expecting more. I do agree with the idea of social safety nets but I think they need to be just that, a net so you don’t hit bottom. Promising everything to everyone and paying for it through constant growth doesn’t seem sustainable. Same with social security here, it needs to be needs based only. Yeah you still have to pay for it as insurance but it should only be that.

The Nordic countries were long a bastion of strong fertility rates on an Old Continent that is rapidly getting older.​
But they are now experiencing a decline that threatens their cherished welfare model, which is funded by taxpayers.​
"In the coming decades, we will encounter problems with this model," Prime Minister Erna Solberg warned Norwegians in her New Year's speech.​
"There will be fewer young people to bear the increasingly heavy burden of the welfare state."​

Immigration is the answer.
 
Nov 8, 2012
20,842
4,785
146
This is part of the reason why the population is not expected to go above around 10 billion. As wealth increases, people tend to have less children. It does mean that some things will need to be reworked. They are not the only country to have systems built upon expected future population growth.

Do you honestly think the majority of South America, Africa, Asia, and the Middle-East will ever get to that point?