I believe Haswell will challenge Ivy-E in the same power envelope (with or without OC, your pick). Singlethreading - no contest, Haswell will win hands down.
Multithreading...let's see, I'll make some guesses:
10% more IPC, 10% improved HT, 15% higher clocks (again, at the same wattage). Combined this gives a plus of nearly 40%. Close to the benefit from having 50% moar coars.
However, if Haswell is a stinker too at OC, then all bets are off. Personally I hope for an easy 5 GHz.
What makes you think that haswell will OC better? It's a wider core, why would a wider core OC better unless they deepen the pipeline? Besides, I think IVY-E would be 8 core even for a consumer version, not 6 cores like cut-down 1000$ consumer CPU. It's atrocious that they cut-down 1000$ EE CPUs. Don't forget that SB-E is already 8 core CPU.
UPDATE: I forgot to mention on-die VRMs circuitry, they can make those circuitry handle only 20-40% more power than a stock haswell needs effectively hampering OC to a massive degree. It's not to make our life harder, we're too small a market for them to care. The reason for that would be to cut cost. See poor Ivy-bridge TIM. Does it work for 99.5% of their market? Yes it does. Does it save them money? Yes, it does. So why would they care about us overclockers?
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