Originally posted by: staeiou
Originally posted by: 1EZduzit
Doesn't Russia have a border with China?? hmmmmm
Russian Integration into NATO is key to prevent a Russia-China war, which goes nuclear.
1) Currently, some Russian nationalists (which are growing in power) oppose the West, US hegemony, and non-cartel free market economics. However, NATO integration stops the spread of nationalism, and leads to a stabilization of democracy, a more stable economy, and improved relations with the US and her allies. All of these things help the Russian military grow in power and numbers.
Without a strong military deterrant, the state of Russia will deteriorate even worse than it already is. While the cat's away, the mouse will play; every group in Russia that wants its own country will get it. Russia will become Balkanized, and each of these new countries will have little to no army.
Some Americans say that they don't want a strong Russia (cold war part II fears), but this is just an emotional response. A Russia so weak that it couldn't resist a Chinese land grab without resorting to nuclear weapons is a recipe for disaster.
2) The trend in Soviet states is to go independant. This isn't going to change in the future, even though it might slow down somewhat. These independant states have little to no military, and are relying on simple international deterrence to not be invaded by China. If Russia doesn't join NATO, then the promise of international assistance once little border skirmishes doesn't happen.
While China won't attack Russia right now, once they get developed (they're starting now), it's my prediction that they're going to want some
Lebensraum sometime soon. And what better than all the countries that end in "-stan"?
Cliffnotes:
Russia + NATO = Bigger Russian Military and NATO deterrant
Bigger Russian Military doesn't Balkanize Russia
Balkanized Russia is a target for Chinese expansion
AND
NATO deterrant and Bigger Russian Military stops Chinese expansion
Someone had this exact topic as a research paper.