What about wars and recession stimuli? Those seem to cost a hell of a lot more than natural disasters. We've now had several of these in the last eight years alone.
The 'overseas contingency operations' were projected over $2 trillion at 2011 troop levels and 'expensed' down to $1.7 trillion over the term. I don't recall what the troop levels were but will guess something in the range of 120-130k for both Iraq and Afghanistan.
Further reduction to 75k troops by 2013 knocked $650 billion off that $1.7 trillion --- 30k troop level by 2013 knocked $1 trillion off.
As far as the recession/TARP stuff I think all that is on the books as a 'loan' account that is reported as part of the Federal debt. It seemed to me that they fully expect those funds to be paid back with interest - hope they can pull that trick off.
Since this is a thread about "$12 TRILLION DEBT!"

I don't want to deflect from that point too much but more than 1/3 of that debt is not publicly held - 1/3 of the debt is the gov't IOUs we owe ourselves. I only point this out because I think there is around $1.5 trillion or so that we are going to 'borrow' from the trust funds over the next 7 or 8 years (I can't remember if that is simply principle or both principle and interest).
The cost to continue the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts was around $2.6 trillion. I believe the budget knocked $600 billion off that. IIRC Obama at one time had proposed an additional $700 billion in tax cuts and credits but I think that got 'wacked' to something in the $200-250 billion range. I'll whip out an 'ass-fact' and hope we can recover around $1.25 trillion in this mess to cut the debt.
The cost to index the AMT to inflation is approaching $600 billion if I recall correctly, and that number is reflected in the projected debt figures.
As far as playing 'weatherman' on the natural disasters, who knows if it will be $150 or $350 billion? At least they did acknowledge expenses we will most likely incur in the future and not play 'rosey scenario' with the projections.
Well with the situation in Afghanistan we should be able to find a way out of it. If we eliminated our massive military campaign against the terrorists in the mountains and worked more covertly. I think it would cost a lot less in material, money, and manpower.
But discretionary spending only accounts for 1/3rd of the budget now. We have to tackle our massive entitlement programs. And right now it doesnt appear we are going in the right direction by adding in a health care program.
I think they have a pretty good idea what needs to done on the mandatory side. One thing for sure - they won't be doing it in an election year BUT we all need to know where the prospective candidates stand. Maybe by 2011 they can get down to serious business (possibly by reaching a gentleman's agreement to not 'skewer' each other on raising the retirement age, means-testing, etc. ...)
so how much did the war cost?
In principle only I think we are approaching $1 trillion and the DoD recently asked for a 'supplemental' this fiscal year of another $60-80 billion (not even six weeks into the budget year!)
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