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NASA Warning : Solar Storm Hit Earth By August 3, 2010

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Here in Washington State, we saw flashes in the sky lasting for about a second each, with a couple minutes' time in between each flash. Nothing spectacular.
 
DaveSimmons said:
Funny, I don't feel dead.

Oh well, the Mayan calendar rolloverpocalypse should finish the job.
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Nah, it'll come sooner than 2012.
Some SUV I saw the other day had its back window all painted up with some biblical stupidity, as well as:
May 21, 2011: Judgement Day.
Evidently there's even an "End Time Bible Study" group right here in town, too. I need to see if the members will give me all their money and any land they own prior to this day. 😀

"Ok, so the world didn't end on any of the other thousands of times people have predicted that it would end. But I've got a really good feeling about this time!"

Some people are seriously screwed up in the head.
 
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Damn - M-class flare with CME.

But doomsday isn't destined to happen just yet - we have a few revolutions of our pestilent mother star before she throws an X-class flare right to the face.
😉

That CME...? Early observations show this one should be but a glancing blow across the geomagnetic dome, auroras a possibility but nothing crazy.

Sunspot 1093 is looking slightly annoyed, throwing shit all over the place all day. We're not directly in her crosshairs with 1093 - not yet anyway.
 
So... humor me here... what is the likelihood of Sunspot 1093 sending multiple M-class or stronger CMEs our way after standing relatively dormant for a few days?

It has been slowly rotating into our view the past week, in such a way that it's like the sun is swinging a hand-cannon toward our face - we are almost staring, quite literally, down the barrel of her cannon. Something nasty from that flying out within the next few days could bring a bucket full of fun aimed square at our fat dome.

1093 is a good-looking sunspot, but not as massive as the groups that are more commonly seen during a solar maximum. Think it has that spark within?

I don't know if size for these solar storms (as sunspots are like a self-fueling storm) is an indicator of eruption potential. Specifically, that's kind of what I'm looking for here, as I haven't been studying this for long. NASA creates estimates for M-class and X-class flares over short-term periods; Do differently-sized sunspots influence different possibility predictions?
 
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