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My thought process

M

manlymatt83

Lifer
I've realized a bit about my thought process lately and how I calculate percentages in my mind. I think it helps explain a bit of my anxious attitude towards life.

Now, don't get me wrong -- I know perfectly well how to calculate percentages on paper. If 8 people have to split a pizza pie evenly, then they each get 1/8th of the pie -- no more and no less.

But in my mind, on a daily basis, my thoughts are entirely different and that's what makes me paranoid.

Example #1: I used to gamble a lot when I first turned 21, because I used to forget about the actual percentages of winning and instead focus on the yes/no aspect of things. Instead of thinking there's a 10% chance of me winning, I used to think there's a 50% of me winning: either I will, or I won't. Now granted, in my mind, I used to think that I probably won't, but the logic in my head still kept me going. Now of course, on PAPER, I knew it was different.

Example #2: I'm sick right now, and my doctor gave me 5 tests to get done -- lyme, etc. I'm paranoid to get the blood work done because I keep thinking something will come out positive. Since there are three tests, and each of them is a yes/no answer, ONE of them is BOUND to be yes. Just like if you flip a quarter three times, the chances of not getting a heads (yes) in those 3 times is quite slim. Now of course, on paper, I can calculate the chances of any of those 3 being positive as something like 1/1000, but it still makes me feel very scared... because while the answers will most likely be "no, no, and no", just a SINGLE yes could ruin my life.

So anyway, that's my story. I'm not really looking for advice. Just a way to vent.
 
Originally posted by: mjuszczak
I've realized a bit about my thought process lately and how I calculate percentages in my mind. I think it helps explain a bit of my anxious attitude towards life.

Now, don't get me wrong -- I know perfectly well how to calculate percentages on paper. If 8 people have to split a pizza pie evenly, then they each get 1/8th of the pie -- no more and no less.

But in my mind, on a daily basis, my thoughts are entirely different and that's what makes me paranoid.

Example #1: I used to gamble a lot when I first turned 21, because I used to forget about the actual percentages of winning and instead focus on the yes/no aspect of things. Instead of thinking there's a 10% chance of me winning, I used to think there's a 50% of me winning: either I will, or I won't. Now granted, in my mind, I used to think that I probably won't, but the logic in my head still kept me going. Now of course, on PAPER, I knew it was different.

Example #2: I'm sick right now, and my doctor gave me 5 tests to get done -- lyme, etc. I'm paranoid to get the blood work done because I keep thinking something will come out positive. Since there are three tests, and each of them is a yes/no answer, ONE of them is BOUND to be yes. Just like if you flip a quarter three times, the chances of not getting a heads (yes) in those 3 times is quite slim. Now of course, on paper, I can calculate the chances of any of those 3 being positive as something like 1/1000, but it still makes me feel very scared... because while the answers will most likely be "no, no, and no", just a SINGLE yes could ruin my life.

So anyway, that's my story. I'm not really looking for advice. Just a way to vent.
Click to expand...

IMO, you're a moron. By your stupid logic, 2+2=/=4 one out of two times. My god...
 
Originally posted by: Jeff7181
So... if you don't get tested, somehow you won't have any of the diseases the tests are for? 😕
Click to expand...

This ones using logic! Put him to the torch!!! Witch! 😛
 
I fear your problems run much deeper that what you've posted.

Take a place on the couch and stop posting.
 
So, in summary, you're really bad at estimating risk. Oh boy, do I have some financial offers for you!
 
Well using your thought process, you either have a least one of the five diseases or you don't. The test's outcome isn't a random event that determines what you have or don't have. You ALREADY have the diseases or you don't. 50/50, take your tests.


 
Get into a fetal position, put your thumb in your mouth, and whimper until the neighbors report the smell of rotting meat. It's the only sure way to avoid tests.
 
you already have a 100% chance of having whatever you currently have. All the test does is let you know and knowing is half the battle. GI-JOE!!!!
 
Well, the OP is completely retarded, but at least he realizes he's completely retarded, so that's a start I guess...

OP, you already know the odds aren't 50/50 for everything; if they were, you could buy 10 lottery tickets and be a billionaire. That, and the test does not give you the disease... I know it's scary to wait on the test results for those things, and you start to convince yourself that you have it, but that doesn't really do you much good, does it?
 
Originally posted by: Atomic Playboy
Well, the OP is completely retarded, but at least he realizes he's completely retarded, so that's a start I guess...

OP, you already know the odds aren't 50/50 for everything; if they were, you could buy 10 lottery tickets and be a billionaire. That, and the test does not give you the disease... I know it's scary to wait on the test results for those things, and you start to convince yourself that you have it, but that doesn't really do you much good, does it?
Click to expand...

Actually that's not true...How else do you think the government controls the population and conducts drug tests and slowly robs us of our free will!?
 
Just like if you flip a quarter three times, the chances of not getting a heads (yes) in those 3 times is quite slim
Click to expand...

This is in fact not true. There is a 50% chance you will get all tails. Each flip is independent and thus has a 50% to hit tails

All probabilities are 50%. Either something will happen, or it won't.
Click to expand...

Do you want to play a game of dice? Everytime you roll 1-5 you give me $50 and if it comes up a 6 I'll give you $100. Since it will be a 6 half the time you should come out ahead right? The roll either will be a 6 or it won't. I've got all the $100 bills you could want, let's play.
 
Originally posted by: TridenTBoy3555
Originally posted by: mjuszczak
I've realized a bit about my thought process lately and how I calculate percentages in my mind. I think it helps explain a bit of my anxious attitude towards life.

Now, don't get me wrong -- I know perfectly well how to calculate percentages on paper. If 8 people have to split a pizza pie evenly, then they each get 1/8th of the pie -- no more and no less.

But in my mind, on a daily basis, my thoughts are entirely different and that's what makes me paranoid.

Example #1: I used to gamble a lot when I first turned 21, because I used to forget about the actual percentages of winning and instead focus on the yes/no aspect of things. Instead of thinking there's a 10% chance of me winning, I used to think there's a 50% of me winning: either I will, or I won't. Now granted, in my mind, I used to think that I probably won't, but the logic in my head still kept me going. Now of course, on PAPER, I knew it was different.

Example #2: I'm sick right now, and my doctor gave me 5 tests to get done -- lyme, etc. I'm paranoid to get the blood work done because I keep thinking something will come out positive. Since there are three tests, and each of them is a yes/no answer, ONE of them is BOUND to be yes. Just like if you flip a quarter three times, the chances of not getting a heads (yes) in those 3 times is quite slim. Now of course, on paper, I can calculate the chances of any of those 3 being positive as something like 1/1000, but it still makes me feel very scared... because while the answers will most likely be "no, no, and no", just a SINGLE yes could ruin my life.

So anyway, that's my story. I'm not really looking for advice. Just a way to vent.
Click to expand...

IMO, you're a moron. By your stupid logic, 2+2=/=4 one out of two times. My god...
Click to expand...

Moron fight! :laugh:
 
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