In my case, nothing concrete as in proof. Unlike hrga225, I see this being imminent. Every single piece of tech needed have been researched and used. The advantages to cost reduction and performance increase is so large that once this is possible, competitive pressures will force its adoption. An arms race situation. I think that time has arrived, at least for AMD.
Portable IP blocks within a monolithic unit.
When Ryan Smith wrote the Polaris article he specifically mentioned that AMD did not like the GCN 1, 2 ,etc naming, as they have the ability to swap the IP blocks as necessary leading to intermediary designs/layouts. They don't have to redesign a whole GPU to modify part of the design.
Ability to use interposers with microbumps and at cost effective points for desktop GPUs.
Fiji.
Once an interposer is in use, it is cheaper to fab smaller sub-units and use the interposer to reintegrate them. Based on rough estimates I am tending to believe that very early in a node, it might even allow the interposer + HBM to cost the same as GDDR5. A 300mm^2 die vs 2 150mm^2 ones in yield, much less a 600mm^2 + one.
First research paper below.
Allows bigger parts earlier in a node than the traditional monolithic methods.
One design needed to cover a very wide range of performance and thus products.
You can go past the traditional 600mm^2 monolithic limit.
The only big question is if AMD can design a split GPU.
The IP blocks spoken about earlier have to be pretty self contained with limited as possible overall integration, in order for AMD to be able to mix them easily and not redesign the entire chip.
This leads to the multi-die concept having some ip blocks on 1st die layout and the rest on a 2nd die layout. You need at least one of each to assemble a GPU.
The interposer in AMD's words: "Interposer Will Be The SOC With Multiple 3D Components."
They have the experience now.
They have the technology now.
They have the need now.
Why wait?
Links:
Enabling Interposer-Based Disintegration of Multi-core Processors
http://www.eecg.toronto.edu/~enright/Kannan_MICRO48.pdf
NoC Architectures for Silicon Interposer Systems
http://www.eecg.toronto.edu/~enright/micro14-interposer.pdf
Die Stacking is Happening
http://theconfab.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/confab_jun14_die_stacking_is_happening.pdf
Xilinx Stacked Silicon Interconnect Technology Delivers Breakthrough FPGA Capacity Bandwidth and Power Efficiency
http://www.xilinx.com/support/docum...0_Stacked_Silicon_Interconnect_Technology.pdf