Unfortunately, I think they are right.
Way, way too many morons vote based on their pocketbook *this week*...which may or may not have anything to do with the President, and certainly doesn't take into account actions that we'll pay dearly for later (see: refusal to do anything about climate change, racking up trillions in debt to ease the tax burdens of bazillionaires--er, "reform", sorry.)
If the economy is anything like it is today, Trump wins. Hell, farmers have been hit hard by the moron's childish trade war and they still support him, so even if the economy is down it probably won't matter. This country wants simplistic slogans and imaginary solutions for their darkest fears (happens to be immigrant rapists currently, taking over for Islamic terrorists)-- not long-term policy decisions to try to handle difficult not-cut-and-dried issues (which is all of them). We get the goverment we deserve.
Hope I'm wrong.