MLB: Raf Palmeiro, HOFer? 1st ballot?

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b0mbrman

Lifer
Jun 1, 2001
29,470
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Originally posted by: ThePresence
3000 hits is an automatic first ballot HF'er.

Yup. No question.

Just like 300 wins for a pitcher...or how 500 home runs used to be...
 

MDE

Lifer
Jul 17, 2003
13,199
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Originally posted by: PlatinumGold
Originally posted by: Storm
The longevity and consistency make him a first ballot Hall of Famer...

Look at Griffey Jr & Big Hurt... Injuries slowed what would have been first ballot inductees.

ya, Big Hurt pretty much describes the end of his career. of course he played 4 fewer years in the MLB so far than Palmeiro. not likely he will match Raphies last 4 seasons tho.
Thomas is on the rebound though. He's looked really good in the time he's been back.
 

PlatinumGold

Lifer
Aug 11, 2000
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Originally posted by: rufruf44
If he play next year and hit 600HR, definitely a 1st ballot.

he's at 563 right now, he's hit 12 this season which puts him on pace to hit 24 or 25. he hit 23 last season, so 25 is feasible.

13 more puts him at 576. then next season he would have to hit 24 more.

wow, 600. that's some pretty exclusive territory there.
 

PlatinumGold

Lifer
Aug 11, 2000
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3000 baby.

it's a great milestone but did that one hit between 2999 and 3000 take him from being a very good player to a great player?

 

happybelly

Senior member
Dec 4, 2004
493
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Originally posted by: PlatinumGold
3000 baby.

it's a great milestone but did that one hit between 2999 and 3000 take him from being a very good player to a great player?

One hit, even if it's 3000 doesn't change my opinion of a player. He's either already great or he's not. I would say he has been a great player, but not a dominate one. He is a first ballot hall of famer though. consistency and longevity definitely count for a lot in my mind.
 

manly

Lifer
Jan 25, 2000
13,569
4,234
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Originally posted by: PlatinumGold
has there been a quieter 3000 hits and 500+ hr in the history of MLB?
Silly question, he's only the fourth to do it. :p
 

mpitts

Lifer
Jun 9, 2000
14,732
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Originally posted by: PlatinumGold
3000 baby.

it's a great milestone but did that one hit between 2999 and 3000 take him from being a very good player to a great player?

26 players have 3000 hits or more.

25 of them are in the Hall of Fame.

The other one got his 3000th hit tonight.

He might have 600 home runs before he hangs it up.

He's in and he is a first ballot guy.
 

PlatinumGold

Lifer
Aug 11, 2000
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Skip Bayless writing for ESPN thinks Palmeiro shouldn't even be in the HOF.

personally i think Skip Bayless has no business writing about sports.
 

happybelly

Senior member
Dec 4, 2004
493
0
0
Originally posted by: PlatinumGold
Skip Bayless writing for ESPN thinks Palmeiro shouldn't even be in the HOF.

personally i think Skip Bayless has no business writing about sports.


Agreed. Skip Bayless is an idiot and a negative one at that.
 

cubby1223

Lifer
May 24, 2004
13,518
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Originally posted by: PlatinumGold
he's over 500 HR and should exceed 3000 hits this season. only the fourth player EVER to accomplish that.

is he a DEFINITE First ballot HOFer? HOFer but not necessarily first ballot? not good enough for the HOF.

interesting question.

For me, the steroid issue is not resolved. Jose Canseco joined the Rangers in the latter half of the 1992 season. It was the 1993 season when Palmeiro became the power hitter that he is. I don't care how much he denies it.

Anyways, one HOF voter made a comment during an interview that I strongly agree with as being the ultimate factor - when said athlete was on the field, did he dominate the game? Unfortunately for Palmeiro I lean towards "no".

Then factor in that I personally believe he did use steroids, and that he would not even be considered for entry if it weren't for those steroids (& other performance enhancing substances, hgh, etc)...
 

mpitts

Lifer
Jun 9, 2000
14,732
1
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Originally posted by: happybelly
Originally posted by: PlatinumGold
Skip Bayless writing for ESPN thinks Palmeiro shouldn't even be in the HOF.

personally i think Skip Bayless has no business writing about sports.


Agreed. Skip Bayless is an idiot and a negative one at that.

 

PlatinumGold

Lifer
Aug 11, 2000
23,168
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Originally posted by: cubby1223
Originally posted by: PlatinumGold
he's over 500 HR and should exceed 3000 hits this season. only the fourth player EVER to accomplish that.

is he a DEFINITE First ballot HOFer? HOFer but not necessarily first ballot? not good enough for the HOF.

interesting question.

For me, the steroid issue is not resolved. Jose Canseco joined the Rangers in the latter half of the 1992 season. It was the 1993 season when Palmeiro became the power hitter that he is. I don't care how much he denies it.

Anyways, one HOF voter made a comment during an interview that I strongly agree with as being the ultimate factor - when said athlete was on the field, did he dominate the game? Unfortunately for Palmeiro I lean towards "no".

Then factor in that I personally believe he did use steroids, and that he would not even be considered for entry if it weren't for those steroids (& other performance enhancing substances, hgh, etc)...

have to disagree. if it was just 500+ HR's then yes, steroids would be an issue (see mark mcgwire) but the 3000+ hits sets Raffy apart. Mcwire and Palmeiro both started in 1986. mcgwire only managed 1626 hits in 4 fewer seasons. palmeiro is already at 3000.
 

happybelly

Senior member
Dec 4, 2004
493
0
0
Originally posted by: PlatinumGold
Originally posted by: cubby1223
Originally posted by: PlatinumGold
he's over 500 HR and should exceed 3000 hits this season. only the fourth player EVER to accomplish that.

is he a DEFINITE First ballot HOFer? HOFer but not necessarily first ballot? not good enough for the HOF.

interesting question.

For me, the steroid issue is not resolved. Jose Canseco joined the Rangers in the latter half of the 1992 season. It was the 1993 season when Palmeiro became the power hitter that he is. I don't care how much he denies it.

Anyways, one HOF voter made a comment during an interview that I strongly agree with as being the ultimate factor - when said athlete was on the field, did he dominate the game? Unfortunately for Palmeiro I lean towards "no".

Then factor in that I personally believe he did use steroids, and that he would not even be considered for entry if it weren't for those steroids (& other performance enhancing substances, hgh, etc)...

have to disagree. if it was just 500+ HR's then yes, steroids would be an issue (see mark mcgwire) but the 3000+ hits sets Raffy apart. Mcwire and Palmeiro both started in 1986. mcgwire only managed 1626 hits in 4 fewer seasons. palmeiro is already at 3000.

I think he's just bitter that the Cubs traded him. :p

I don't agree with the steroids thing either. You can basically question any player from the late 80's to now was/is using steroids. Unless there's substantial evidence that somebody used them, I don't think you can use that in judging a players worthiness to the Hall.
 

cubby1223

Lifer
May 24, 2004
13,518
42
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Originally posted by: Storm
The longevity and consistency make him a first ballot Hall of Famer...

Look at Griffey Jr & Big Hurt... Injuries slowed what would have been first ballot inductees.

Regards to Frank Thomas - he was arguably the best hitter in baseball from '90 to '00. He terrorized American League pitchers for a whole decade!

Do a comparison for Palmeiro's best decade, say '93-'03, and compare that to Thomas's '90 to '00 stats. No contest.

Just don't get too caught up in that "what have you done for me lately" mentality. Thomas has had some struggles in this new millenium, but that shouldn't diminish what he did during the 90's.
 

PlatinumGold

Lifer
Aug 11, 2000
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again for those that want to argue that "longevity isn't great" arguement. compare Palmeiro's career with Hank Aarons career. i think you will be surprised at the similarities. Aaron only won the MVP once his whole career. he wasn't dominant in the sense of Bonds, Griffey jr (in his prime) or Frank Thomas, he was more like Palmeiro.
 

RGN

Diamond Member
Feb 24, 2000
6,623
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w00t, I have his and greg maddox's autographs on a baseball from his 1st year with the cubs.
 

cubby1223

Lifer
May 24, 2004
13,518
42
86
Originally posted by: PlatinumGold
have to disagree. if it was just 500+ HR's then yes, steroids would be an issue (see mark mcgwire) but the 3000+ hits sets Raffy apart. Mcwire and Palmeiro both started in 1986. mcgwire only managed 1626 hits in 4 fewer seasons. palmeiro is already at 3000.

We can go forever comparing player stats. For instance, if you buy into the sabermetrics approach to analyzing baseball, a walk is equally as good as a hit, and on-base percentage is the most important stat for a ball-player. Guess what, McGwire beats out Palmeiro in career OBP by 23 points.

That's why I like the single question, did he dominate the game? Right now I say he's borderline on that answer. And if the steroid rumors are true, then that would definately tip the scales in my books.


Originally posted by: happybelly
I think he's just bitter that the Cubs traded him. :p

I don't agree with the steroids thing either. You can basically question any player from the late 80's to now was/is using steroids. Unless there's substantial evidence that somebody used them, I don't think you can use that in judging a players worthiness to the Hall.

Not bitter that the Cubs traded him, we had Mark Grace for so many years - although I am still bitter that Cubs management dumped Grace for Matt Stairs... What a waste.

And while it's possible to be suspicious of every player in baseball - you can make a much stronger case for Palmeiro than you can for any regular Joe Six-Pack. The stats are available to anyone see, Palmeiro's power numbers skyrocketted right after Canseco became his teammate.
 

faenix

Platinum Member
Sep 28, 2003
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That lying son of a b!tch. Haha, he'll get what he deserves.

The hall of shame.