Market is crashing

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Mill

Lifer
Oct 10, 1999
28,558
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81
Originally posted by: Lothar
Originally posted by: Jadow
Hopefully we won't slide more tomorrow.

The Japanese Nikkei is sliding.
http://www.bloomberg.com/index_asia.html

I wouldn't be suprised if the US and European markets followed suit.
Once I see how the European market starts, I might decide to short sell like there's no tomorrow.

BTW...anyone know why the Nikkei graph is flat from 11-12? Did the market close or is the straight 1hr horizontal line there just a coincidence?

Shanghai exhange is up slightly.
 

imported_Lothar

Diamond Member
Aug 10, 2006
4,559
1
0
Originally posted by: Tangerines
Originally posted by: IHateMyJob2004
I was watching hte news channels and tehy are debating what caused this. One interesting theory is that the drop in China caused everyone with ETFs to sell their ETFs ... thus causing a broad drop in all stocks.

I persoanlly don't care. The short term is volatility the longterm is growth (or the end of the world)

I think it had something to do with the lower-than-expected demand for durable goods, which caused China's market to stumble. The rest of the world followed suit.

Thought it had something to do with the Chinese government cracking down on stocks, such as forcing banks to prevent people from borrowing money to buy stocks.
 

Slew Foot

Lifer
Sep 22, 2005
12,379
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Anyone hear of this (something from another website):

there is a historical correlation between today?s record volume (4.24 Bln. shares, previous record 3.8 Bln. shares) and the crashes of 1929 and 1987. Both 1929 and 1987 crashes were preceded, by two days, by a NEW record volume day. If today bore any historical correlation, and I believe it likely will, the big fall will be THURSDAY.
 

Miramonti

Lifer
Aug 26, 2000
28,653
100
106
Originally posted by: iversonyin
Originally posted by: jjsole
Originally posted by: iversonyin
Originally posted by: Phokus
Wait, i've read that the NYSE tried to limit the plunge by limiting trading? Isn't that kind of BS though? Why the hell would they limit your ability to cut your losses?

It didn't hit the limit

I think some intraday limits were reached at some point that led to brief program trading curbs during the day.

http://www.nasdaqtrader.com/trader/help/circuitbreaker.stm

No it didn't

There was, however, a glitch in the computer where they calculate the Dow Indu avg. That was down at 3 PM. The backup computer came back on 5-10 min after.

Program trading curbs were in effect this morning due to the dow opening down more that 150 points from yesterdays close.
 

crownjules

Diamond Member
Jul 7, 2005
4,858
0
76
Doesn't seem to be staying higher, however. Markets opened at +60 and, after just 15 minutes, it's already come down to +15.
 

funboy6942

Lifer
Nov 13, 2001
15,368
418
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Im waiting for the next massive crash to hit bringing stocks down to pennies, then I can afford to buy a butt load of them with all my pennies. When it finally rises again, will become a millionaire and jump ship ASAP with my millions. I am actually ready for a recession, all my stuff is paid for, I have no credit cards, house payments, or car payments, so bring it on I say. As soon as it hits its low Im gonna jump in and take it near the top and jump off, wont be too greedy ;)

In the mean time, I think I might want to learn to speak Chinese.
 

Cal166

Diamond Member
May 6, 2000
5,081
8
81
It's still early, wait till afternoon to see how things unfold. I predict it should be up in the late trading hours.
 

thirtythree

Diamond Member
Aug 7, 2001
8,680
3
0
Originally posted by: iversonyin
Can someone figure out why Bernanke's hair color is different from his beard?
Looks natural to me, but I could be wrong. I can't imagine he dyes his hair but is too lazy to dye his beard.
 

Cal166

Diamond Member
May 6, 2000
5,081
8
81
Originally posted by: Jadow
Took a big hit today, it set me back to where I was on about Dec 20th.

Hopefully we won't slide more tomorrow.

Another Beating, probably set you back to March of last year.
 

fisheerman

Senior member
Oct 25, 2006
733
0
0
Originally posted by: Golgatha
Time to short sell FTW!!!

In all seriousness, the intrinsic value of my March 20 call options in INTC are about spent (20.07 in after hours), so I'm praying that they don't turn down under 20/share overnight, so I can sell to open the 17.50 March call options tomorrow. Don't worry folks, I only write covered calls to try and limit my losses.


can you give me some helpful pointers on options trading and writing covered calls?

any info would be appreciated
 

Miramonti

Lifer
Aug 26, 2000
28,653
100
106
Originally posted by: fisheerman
Originally posted by: Golgatha
Time to short sell FTW!!!

In all seriousness, the intrinsic value of my March 20 call options in INTC are about spent (20.07 in after hours), so I'm praying that they don't turn down under 20/share overnight, so I can sell to open the 17.50 March call options tomorrow. Don't worry folks, I only write covered calls to try and limit my losses.


can you give me some helpful pointers on options trading and writing covered calls?

any info would be appreciated

Wiki
 

topslop1

Senior member
May 8, 2004
828
2
81
Jeb Bush met with Deutch bank 3 days prior to the crash in NYC. Whattya think he was doing?
 

Golgatha

Lifer
Jul 18, 2003
12,400
1,076
126
Originally posted by: fisheerman
Originally posted by: Golgatha
Time to short sell FTW!!!

In all seriousness, the intrinsic value of my March 20 call options in INTC are about spent (20.07 in after hours), so I'm praying that they don't turn down under 20/share overnight, so I can sell to open the 17.50 March call options tomorrow. Don't worry folks, I only write covered calls to try and limit my losses.


can you give me some helpful pointers on options trading and writing covered calls?

any info would be appreciated


Nothing really tricky about it, I wrote a covered call on the March $20 strike price call options. Essentially, I sold short a quantity of 10, March $20 call contracts while keeping ownership of 1000 shares of Intel stock. This allows me to keep ownership of my stock and make some money while the stock drops in price since I get the time premium from the time of the short sell, which was about $0.20*1000 or $200.

What this does is guarantee I'll make money while the stock decreases in value (and I still get to keep my stock unless the options are exercised) and the short sell also increases in value as the time value drops day by day. Now the reason I ran into a snag when the price dropped below $20 is because my call options now only have time value left and won't continue increasing in value since the call only has time value left in it. At this point I have two choices (if I believe the stock will decrease more, which is my supposition here). I can write put contracts to preserve the value of my stock that I own, or I can sell short 10 more contracts at the next strike price down.

Now the next strike price down at $17.50 has almost no time value, but the $22.50 March put options also have almost no time value. I actually changed my mind on shorting the $17.50 calls because if the stock eventually rebounds or has some awesome news, then I can just keep on loosing money (actually breaking even day to day because the stock increases and short call option decreases at nearly the exact same rate). I opened 10 March $22.50 put options, so that I am guaranteed to not loose value in the stock (except for the premium which amounts to about $80-$90 with fees).


To summarize, I am basically sitting pretty as long as the stock price stays below $20.

1) Up until March 16th my short March $20 calls will increase in value each day due to time value loss, provided the stock's price stays under $20. Max profit is ~$180 due to fees.

2) If the stock price continues to drop, then my March $22.50 puts increase in value while my stock decreases in value, essentially breaking even and I lose the premium I paid at the end. Max loss here is ~$80-$90 due to lost premium. Again this assumes the stock stays below $20.

3) I retain ownership of my stock, have voting rights, and get paid dividends.


Risks above $20/share price.

1) If the stock increases past $20, then I'll need to sell the puts (sell to close 10 contracts), because at that point my short sold calls will begin decreasing in value along with the long $22.50 puts, so I'll have a loss of double the gain that my shares of stock would make. So if the price shot up say $2.00 overnight, then I'd lose twice what I made on the stock above the $20 mark. That would suck, but it's a risk I'm willing to take given the current market conditions.
 

IEC

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Jun 10, 2004
14,600
6,084
136
Originally posted by: xospec1alk
i hope my company shares drop like a brick in the next few weeks...

You shorted the stock, didn't you? ;)