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bryanW1995

Lifer
May 22, 2007
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Originally posted by: Kuzi
I'm not sure, but I think lower clocked versions of Nehalem will not be released till next year. The OP asked if it's better to build a new system at the end of the summer, or wait for Nehalem. Don't know if he can wait till Q1 2009 for lower clocked Nehalem to be released.

There is no evidence that Nehalem will OC less than Penryn, we have to wait and see I guess, Q4 seems a long way off..

while there certainly isn't any evidence about nehalem's ability to clock or lack thereof, it does seem likely that they'll have difficulty getting the same clocking ability. fortunately for intel, they had so much headroom on core2 that they might be able to SELL the chips at the same clockspeed, however. a 4 core monolithic die is much harder to ramp up to 3.0+ ghz than 2 duals slapped together, yields will be much better, etc. I'm not saying that they won't get there, I'm just saying that even if oc'ing ends up being kosher in mid/low end don't expect 50% + oc's this time around :(
 

Kuzi

Senior member
Sep 16, 2007
572
0
0
Originally posted by: bryanW1995
while there certainly isn't any evidence about nehalem's ability to clock or lack thereof, it does seem likely that they'll have difficulty getting the same clocking ability. fortunately for intel, they had so much headroom on core2 that they might be able to SELL the chips at the same clockspeed, however. a 4 core monolithic die is much harder to ramp up to 3.0+ ghz than 2 duals slapped together, yields will be much better, etc. I'm not saying that they won't get there, I'm just saying that even if oc'ing ends up being kosher in mid/low end don't expect 50% + oc's this time around :(

Yeah especially that Nehalem is a completely new architecture, native quad with an integrated memory controller+L3 cache.
 

Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
21,110
64
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Originally posted by: bryanW1995
while there certainly isn't any evidence about nehalem's ability to clock or lack thereof, it does seem likely that they'll have difficulty getting the same clocking ability. fortunately for intel, they had so much headroom on core2 that they might be able to SELL the chips at the same clockspeed, however. a 4 core monolithic die is much harder to ramp up to 3.0+ ghz than 2 duals slapped together, yields will be much better, etc. I'm not saying that they won't get there, I'm just saying that even if oc'ing ends up being kosher in mid/low end don't expect 50% + oc's this time around :(

I'd like to add some thoughts to this if I may.

Point 1: Consider that current Penryn speedbins (and Conroe) are not necessarily a representation of the distribution of clockspeeds coming out of the fabs.

Without competition pressuring higher speedbins we are most surely benefiting (as overclockers) from chips on the market having much more clocking headroom than they might otherwise have had were Phenom's hitting 3.8GHz right now.

So Nehalem may very well arrive with similiar "clocking margin" baked in simply because there is no need for a 4GHz Nehalem with a 140W TDP. It will be sold as a 3.2GHz 95W TDP part, and if folks bolt on water-cooling gear or a Tuniq120 and are willing to dissipate the 140W at 4GHz then you get to go for it.

Point 2: Clockspeed limitations due to clock propagation across a die (called clock domain skew) is a real phenomenon BUT it applies more to those designs where the logic across the entire die area needs to be synchronized. I.e. single-core chips.

A quad-core chip does not necessarily require the clockskew to be negligable relative to the overall IC's clock frequency. Core 1 being slightly skewed in clocks to Core 2 is not the end of the world provided the circuitry is present to recognize when and how shared memory accesses need to be checked against these kinds of things. Consider that AMD's Phenom can have core's clocked independently.

So Nehalem being a large die does not necessarily mean getting all four cores to clock at 4GHz is going to be any more or less challenging than getting four cores from two MCM'ed die to operate at 4GHz.

Being that all four cores are literally next to each other, the chances of having process induced variations within the die causing one core to be substantially inferior is not very likely. Back when 6-inch wafers were king then yes process variation across a 6" wafer would impact a 250mm^2 die, but now that 12-inch wafers are king it is just quite unlikely.

Point 3: Intel's issue with selling Nehalem versus Penryn is gross margins versus yield. The larger die will result in lower yields, this is an immutable boundary condition of manufacturing processes. The fab's defect density will cause larger dies to have lower yield than smaller dies, no way around it.

So fewer sellable chips per wafer (than Yorkfield) means the gross margins will be lower (than Yorkfield) unless the selling prices are higher (than Yorkfield).

Bloomfield will literally canabilize Intel's own gross margins on QX9650 and QX9770 while at the same time not necessarily bringing higher profits (unless they sell Bloomfield for $1500-$2000) but the gross margins will be lower (yields will be lower) unless they sell for higher ASPs.

This is Intel's issue, they must extract higher gross margins with Nehalem to justify replacing Penryn (on the desktop). If they don't then they are truly wasting their shareholder's entitled profits that could be garnered from selling more Penryn.
 

magreen

Golden Member
Dec 27, 2006
1,309
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Yeah, I'm not sure how kosher OCing will be on Neha, esp since it wasn't designed by the israeli team this time. ;)
But I heard neha will be a major hog anyway. I just hope we don't get system lox on the first batch.
 

aigomorla

CPU, Cases&Cooling Mod PC Gaming Mod Elite Member
Super Moderator
Sep 28, 2005
21,128
3,658
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Originally posted by: dmens
Originally posted by: Kuzi
bryan1995 has a point especially when you keep cost into consideration. If Intel releases Nehalem in Q4 this year for Desktops, it'll probably be a high end Extreme Edition, costing $1000-$1500.

The Q9450 costs much less and will easily OC to 3.6GHz or more. Nehalem at release might beat that in some applications, but at what cost. Also Nehalem will most likely not OC as well.

um, buy a slower nehalem at the same price point and oc it? whats the point of comparing anything to a extremely expensive edition?

so the word is that nehalem will not overclock as well as penryn. where's the evidence and/or justification? i have not seen anything worth more than a pure WAG, all the rumors should be treated as such.

Maybe you missed how intel might lock overclocking on the low ball sector which is why i said maybe an overclocked quad would stomp over a low ball neha.

As i said there is NO FINAL INFORMATION about it unless IDC or Yoxxy are being whores and not telling us. LOL j/k you guys, you know i have mad respect for you both.

So no recomendations on unseen/unknown chips. Seriously if the low ball sector cant overclock, a moderately overclocked yorkie would rip a new one on neha.

 

Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
21,110
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91
Originally posted by: aigomorla
As i said there is NO FINAL INFORMATION about it unless IDC or Yoxxy are being whores and not telling us. LOL j/k you guys, you know i have mad respect for you both.

Can't speak for Yoxxy but I am more the attention whore type than the information whore type ;)

So...swing and a miss there Aigo :D

(I feel dearly insulted, the kind of insult that can only be remedied by someone gifting their 4.25GHz water-cooled QX9650 to the offended party...:p)
 

Viditor

Diamond Member
Oct 25, 1999
3,290
0
0
Originally posted by: Idontcare
(I feel dearly insulted, the kind of insult that can only be remedied by someone gifting their 4.25GHz water-cooled QX9650 to the offended party...:p)

Better be careful there my friend...you wouldn't want us to force a name change on you.
Something like "IActuallyDoCare"...

:D
 

aigomorla

CPU, Cases&Cooling Mod PC Gaming Mod Elite Member
Super Moderator
Sep 28, 2005
21,128
3,658
126
Originally posted by: Viditor
Originally posted by: Idontcare
(I feel dearly insulted, the kind of insult that can only be remedied by someone gifting their 4.25GHz water-cooled QX9650 to the offended party...:p)

Better be careful there my friend...you wouldn't want us to force a name change on you.
Something like "IActuallyDoCare"...

:D

Man, i laughed so hard on this one, i think my admins thought i was strange.

 

bryanW1995

Lifer
May 22, 2007
11,144
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As i said there is NO FINAL INFORMATION about it unless IDC or Yoxxy are being whores and not telling us. LOL j/k you guys, you know i have mad respect for you both.

:laugh:
 

dmens

Platinum Member
Mar 18, 2005
2,275
965
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Originally posted by: aigomorla
Maybe you missed how intel might lock overclocking on the low ball sector which is why i said maybe an overclocked quad would stomp over a low ball neha.

As i said there is NO FINAL INFORMATION about it unless IDC or Yoxxy are being whores and not telling us. LOL j/k you guys, you know i have mad respect for you both.

So no recomendations on unseen/unknown chips. Seriously if the low ball sector cant overclock, a moderately overclocked yorkie would rip a new one on neha.

ok, all im trying to say that the rumor of no overclocking on low-end is ridiculous and whoever started the rumor has absolutely no clue.

that said, obviously i cant say anything about how *well* nehalem will overclock. however, i have noticed throughout the thread is that perhaps it will not do as well as penryn because it is a big chip, or it is monolithic as opposed to MCM, or it has a IMC. well that's just a load of crap maybe except for the last one, and that IMC thing isn't really a big issue imo because it is easily bypassed.

"overclockability" is a function of design and safeguarding deemed acceptable, not yield or margins.
 

aigomorla

CPU, Cases&Cooling Mod PC Gaming Mod Elite Member
Super Moderator
Sep 28, 2005
21,128
3,658
126
Originally posted by: dmens
Originally posted by: aigomorla
Maybe you missed how intel might lock overclocking on the low ball sector which is why i said maybe an overclocked quad would stomp over a low ball neha.

As i said there is NO FINAL INFORMATION about it unless IDC or Yoxxy are being whores and not telling us. LOL j/k you guys, you know i have mad respect for you both.

So no recomendations on unseen/unknown chips. Seriously if the low ball sector cant overclock, a moderately overclocked yorkie would rip a new one on neha.

ok, all im trying to say that the rumor of no overclocking on low-end is ridiculous and whoever started the rumor has absolutely no clue.

that said, obviously i cant say anything about how *well* nehalem will overclock. however, i have noticed throughout the thread is that perhaps it will not do as well as penryn because it is a big chip, or it is monolithic as opposed to MCM, or it has a IMC. well that's just a load of crap maybe except for the last one, and that IMC thing isn't really a big issue imo because it is easily bypassed.

"overclockability" is a function of design and safeguarding deemed acceptable, not yield or margins.

4 words.

neha has no FSB.
 

bryanW1995

Lifer
May 22, 2007
11,144
32
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well, whether it oc's well or not I think that all of us are very excited about it. Personally, I wouldn't be surprised if intel tried to put the clamps down on oc'ing for low/mid systems and I also wouldn't be surprised if the mobo manufacturers figured out a workaround for it. Hopefully the workaround will be robust enough that we'll be able to oc on a midrange system to within the same 85-90% of high end systems at max oc that we can now...
 

dmens

Platinum Member
Mar 18, 2005
2,275
965
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Originally posted by: aigomorla
4 words.

neha has no FSB.

bfd. overclockers should be happy about that because that means the I/O is now completely separated from the core logic and even crappola motherboards can overclock if the power supply can hack it.

just because amd didn't make k8/k10 easy to overclock doesn't mean that will be the case with intel. the fact that the IMC clocks are entirely decoupled with the internal core clocks in nehalem makes the lack of the FSB totally irrelevant.
 

Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
21,110
64
91
Originally posted by: dmens
"overclockability" is a function of design and safeguarding deemed acceptable, not yield or margins.

I'm sure this comment was made with a litany of unspoken caveats in mind.

I'd like to state just a few of those caveats as obviously AMD's situation right now where the overclockability of Phenoms certainly seems margin related. (same with prescott P4's)

Just as no-doubt the yields (distribution of speedbins) of wolfdales is very likely skewed far to the right of the clockspeed they are being sold as.

And last but not least marketing folks get to monkey around with the target ASP's and volumes per speedbin they want to push onto the market...their business plans and objectives are not necessarily accomodating the speedbin distributions that are coming out of the fab (which itself varies learning cycle to learning cycle).

I will argue that the Marketing Dept matters the most as it is they who will bring pressure to bear on just how and who decides what is acceptable in the statement "safeguarding deemed acceptable".

Marketing deciding the business needs to target low-TDP parts instead of high-GHz parts (Penryn) is what leaves all that overclocking headroom there for us in the first place. If Intel marketing wanted 140W 4GHz yorkfields, and priced them with the intention of moving volumes of them then the run of the mill 3.2GHz QX9650 that could clock to 4.0Ghz isn't going to get binned and sold as a 3.2GHz part.

And of course marketing is bound by competition forces...when there are none then they get to operate with one more degree of freedom. When they have tons of competition then they operate with less degrees of freedom and the TDP's will go up (Prescot, Phenom) and the overclocking margin will go down as Marketing forces the test groups hand to be more and more selective about what parts get shoved into what speedbin at test.
 

dmens

Platinum Member
Mar 18, 2005
2,275
965
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Originally posted by: Idontcare
I'm sure this comment was made with a litany of unspoken caveats in mind.

I'd like to state just a few of those caveats as obviously AMD's situation right now where the overclockability of Phenoms certainly seems margin related. (same with prescott P4's)

Just as no-doubt the yields (distribution of speedbins) of wolfdales is very likely skewed far to the right of the clockspeed they are being sold as.

And last but not least marketing folks get to monkey around with the target ASP's and volumes per speedbin they want to push onto the market...their business plans and objectives are not necessarily accomodating the speedbin distributions that are coming out of the fab (which itself varies learning cycle to learning cycle).

I will argue that the Marketing Dept matters the most as it is they who will bring pressure to bear on just how and who decides what is acceptable in the statement "safeguarding deemed acceptable".

Marketing deciding the business needs to target low-TDP parts instead of high-GHz parts (Penryn) is what leaves all that overclocking headroom there for us in the first place. If Intel marketing wanted 140W 4GHz yorkfields, and priced them with the intention of moving volumes of them then the run of the mill 3.2GHz QX9650 that could clock to 4.0Ghz isn't going to get binned and sold as a 3.2GHz part.

And of course marketing is bound by competition forces...when there are none then they get to operate with one more degree of freedom. When they have tons of competition then they operate with less degrees of freedom and the TDP's will go up (Prescot, Phenom) and the overclocking margin will go down as Marketing forces the test groups hand to be more and more selective about what parts get shoved into what speedbin at test.

i think you overstate the influence of marketing on the test process. production testing has always been designed to be far more rigorous than any consumer can possibly come up with, and then some. i am sure neither intel nor amd would risk getting sued because they failed to comply with the reliability guarantees for a product just because marketing wanted an extra bin. and there are always enough junk bins lying around to make "downgrading" unnecessary.

i.r.t. penryn, imo it has not been downgraded in frequency or has as much margin as some think. again, the production testing coverage + guardband is what allows overclockers to get their frequency. how much margin is available for consumption? that is a fully loaded question. but a junk bin can easily outdo a premium bin with a simple overvolt (which testing is forbidden from doing) because it covers up one critical issue in the design, that is just one possible example.
 

dmens

Platinum Member
Mar 18, 2005
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Originally posted by: bryanW1995
Personally, I wouldn't be surprised if intel tried to put the clamps down on oc'ing for low/mid systems and I also wouldn't be surprised if the mobo manufacturers figured out a workaround for it.

if intel wanted to kill overclocking on the low-end sector, it would have been easily done and the mobo manufacturers would not have been able to do a thing about it.
 

Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
21,110
64
91
Originally posted by: dmens
i think you overstate the influence of marketing on the test process. production testing has always been designed to be far more rigorous than any consumer can possibly come up with, and then some. i am sure neither intel nor amd would risk getting sued because they failed to comply with the reliability guarantees for a product just because marketing wanted an extra bin. and there are always enough junk bins lying around to make "downgrading" unnecessary.

So it wasn't Intel's marketing division that wanted to release the fabled 1.13GHz P3?

Those silly test guys, putting that egg all over those poor marketing folk's faces.

Originally posted by: dmens
i.r.t. penryn, imo it has not been downgraded in frequency or has as much margin as some think. again, the production testing coverage + guardband is what allows overclockers to get their frequency. how much margin is available for consumption? that is a fully loaded question. but a junk bin can easily outdo a premium bin with a simple overvolt (which testing is forbidden from doing) because it covers up one critical issue in the design, that is just one possible example.

And the VID range for a Q6600 is 0.85V to 1.50V for a very good reason too. Test does overvolt...its called a shmoo plot. Hit the voltage needed to hit the speedbin of interest with margin and within the TDP. Inventory build-ups and marketing objectives move your bins around for the current product being diced.

Honestly I'd be flabberghasted if Intel doesn't manage their inventory builds in such a fashion, given that their VID range is so generous it kinda supports the expectation that they do operate in this fashion though.
 

dmens

Platinum Member
Mar 18, 2005
2,275
965
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Originally posted by: Idontcare
So it wasn't Intel's marketing division that wanted to release the fabled 1.13GHz P3?

Those silly test guys, putting that egg all over those poor marketing folk's faces.

at least somebody learned a lesson. i'm talking about here and now.

And the VID range for a Q6600 is 0.85V to 1.50V for a very good reason too. Test does overvolt...its called a shmoo plot. Hit the voltage needed to hit the speedbin of interest with margin and within the TDP. Inventory build-ups and marketing objectives move your bins around for the current product being diced.

Honestly I'd be flabberghasted if Intel doesn't manage their inventory builds in such a fashion, given that their VID range is so generous it kinda supports the expectation that they do operate in this fashion though.

running point tests on a voltage range to bin a part is just sort (not even a shmoo really because it is not fine-grained at all, just multiplier). overvolting is defined as going beyond the fused VID and (usually) exceeding the thermal specification. the sorter will not increased the VID a bit if it exceeds thermals even if it gains 500mhz, overclockers have no qualms about that.
 

Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
21,110
64
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Originally posted by: dmens
And the VID range for a Q6600 is 0.85V to 1.50V for a very good reason too. Test does overvolt...its called a shmoo plot. Hit the voltage needed to hit the speedbin of interest with margin and within the TDP. Inventory build-ups and marketing objectives move your bins around for the current product being diced.

Honestly I'd be flabberghasted if Intel doesn't manage their inventory builds in such a fashion, given that their VID range is so generous it kinda supports the expectation that they do operate in this fashion though.

running point tests on a voltage range to bin a part is just sort (not even a shmoo really because it is not fine-grained at all). overvolting is defined as going beyond the fused VID and (usually) exceeding the thermal specification. the sorter will not increased the VID a bit if it exceeds thermals even if it gains 500mhz, overclockers have no qualms about that.

I think we are in agreement here but maybe just talking past each other over differences in the semantics of our vocabulary.

I'd like to narrow down our conversation to a specific example and see if we agree or disagree...lets talk Q6600 versus Q6700.

Do you believe that every Q6600 that has been sold was binned out as a Q6600 because it could not function as a stock Q6700? (with all the electrical/thermal margin, etc etc)
 

dmens

Platinum Member
Mar 18, 2005
2,275
965
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Originally posted by: Idontcare
I think we are in agreement here but maybe just talking past each other over differences in the semantics of our vocabulary.

I'd like to narrow down our conversation to a specific example and see if we agree or disagree...lets talk Q6600 versus Q6700.

Do you believe that every Q6600 that has been sold was binned out as a Q6600 because it could not function as a stock Q6700? (with all the electrical/thermal margin, etc etc)

i would've said yes before you mentioned sales and volume. now i'm gonna say most of them.
 

Idontcare

Elite Member
Oct 10, 1999
21,110
64
91
Originally posted by: dmens
Originally posted by: Idontcare
I think we are in agreement here but maybe just talking past each other over differences in the semantics of our vocabulary.

I'd like to narrow down our conversation to a specific example and see if we agree or disagree...lets talk Q6600 versus Q6700.

Do you believe that every Q6600 that has been sold was binned out as a Q6600 because it could not function as a stock Q6700? (with all the electrical/thermal margin, etc etc)

i would've said yes before you mentioned sales and volume. now i'm gonna say most of them.

We are in agreement then.

But at the end of the day here I am still talking about aging and obsolescent 65nm tech while you get to sit back and think about how all us poor suckers just have no idea (we can't, we don't have the insider info) how big nehalem is going to be when it hits the markets...and for that I just ask that you have some forum pity on us blind enthusiasts ;)
 

bryanW1995

Lifer
May 22, 2007
11,144
32
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Originally posted by: dmens
Originally posted by: bryanW1995
Personally, I wouldn't be surprised if intel tried to put the clamps down on oc'ing for low/mid systems and I also wouldn't be surprised if the mobo manufacturers figured out a workaround for it.

if intel wanted to kill overclocking on the low-end sector, it would have been easily done and the mobo manufacturers would not have been able to do a thing about it.

so you're saying that there will definitely be overclocking on low/mid end nehalem?
 

dmens

Platinum Member
Mar 18, 2005
2,275
965
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Originally posted by: bryanW1995
so you're saying that there will definitely be overclocking on low/mid end nehalem?

unless there is a change in policy, yes there will be overclocking. and if there is a change in policy, intel would make it absolutely impossible to overclock with changes in the CPU itself, and i have not seen that happen yet.
 

phexac

Senior member
Jul 19, 2007
315
4
81
The need to update CPU for most users out there is really not there as long as you have a good CPU by today's standard. It will be a while before you run into something that a C2D running at 3.0GHz or more will not be able to handle. Yes there is 3d rendering and video encoding, but how many of you actually do a lot of that?
 

biostud

Lifer
Feb 27, 2003
20,155
7,277
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Originally posted by: phexac
The need to update CPU for most users out there is really not there as long as you have a good CPU by today's standard. It will be a while before you run into something that a C2D running at 3.0GHz or more will not be able to handle. Yes there is 3d rendering and video encoding, but how many of you actually do a lot of that?

Exactly. Gaming will still be GPU limited and how often do you really stress the 4 cores of a CPU? and specially in such a way that it becomes an annoyance?