Yeah the state itself is a swing state, but clearly, the Bush clan's position in the state is MUCH more formidable today than 2 years ago. Unless either of the two brothers does something politically suicidal, I don't see the advantage eroding too much, esp. with G.W. standing as wartime president in a never-ending "war against terrorism".Originally posted by: BaliBabyDoc
If you tally up the electoral votes in the region, the only states that matter are Texas and Florida. And in all probability, both are also firmly in the Bush camp in 2004, so the South is a COMPLETE write-off regardless of the Democratic candidate.
TX, I understand but what makes you think FL is solid Bush territory? Gov. Jeb is GOP but both senators are Democrats.
How do you think Jeb guaranteed the state to his brother in 2000? He greased the political wheels in his state, there were some questionable voter outreach tactics used, and some uncorroborated complaints of limited access to voting. Even then, the statewide vote was literally a tie (mathematicians were on record saying with current voting administration, hundreds of votes out of 6 million casted is FAR below the margin of error). It was the all-or-none electoral vote rule that did Gore in (and I'm ignoring the messy post-election political recount saga). Even if it was Gore that won the electoral votes in FL, I would still believe the "loser" got jobbed out of electoral votes because a few hundred votes is mathematically insignificant to declare a clear victor.
