Denver is scary good on offense. That said...
Broncos are first in the league in sacks allowed with 5, less than 1 per game and KC is just going to magically get 5 in one game? Because Manning doesn't have the quickest release in the NFL, right?
5 in one game is a lot. But it surely isn't unbelievable.
It is all about match ups. Just because DEN allows ~1 sack a game doesn't mean a great DEF couldn't get a handful. Yes, Manning is great at getting the ball out quickly and has a handful of great targets.
Yet DEN lost their best OL player. That is one weeker link to attack *if* you have the personel to capitolize. KC has very good DBs and a good pass rush. If DEN is forced into passing situations I would expect KC to get a number of sacks, and just as importantly, rushed throw.
Another reason KC may get an abnormal about of sacks is as great Manning himself. Manning is great AND I think he gets too much flak for pressing and trying to carry a team that w/o Manning would not sniff the playoffs (all those 10+ win seasons in a row = essentially getting no 1st round talent for a decade). That said the conventional wisdom he DOES NOT LIKE GETTING HIT.
Start hitting Manning and your DEF becomes a LOT more effective. The cupcake's DEN (and KC) have faced have yet to really put this year's Manning to the test. I think DEN is better but KC is a step up in terms of DEF talent.
So we will see!
KC is only 1st in Defense on points allowed. They are 6th in yards allowed. Carolina is number one showing how much that matters.
Points Allowed is THE most important Defensive stat. At the end of the day preventing the other team to score is all that matters--of course the stat obscures other components (e.g. where your D takes the field, quality of the opponent, how much is your OFF impacting the flow, etc).
Carolina has a very good DEF and a
great front 7. In this case Yards Allowed is a reflection of how good their DEF is. And they are only allowing 13.6 points per game:
12 Seattle
24 @ Buffalo
0 NYG
22 @ Arizona
10 @ Minnesota