[Kitguru]Nvidia`s big Pascal GP100 have taped out - Q1 2016 release

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AtenRa

Lifer
Feb 2, 2009
14,003
3,362
136
I'm on this boat. Only way I'd regret my 980 Ti purchase is if Corsair never releases the stupid bracket they promised, because I'm feeling pretty stupid right now for buying a Ref PCB Zotac when the EVGA SC+ are also ref PCB.

I've noticed most people dropping $500+ on a GPU aren't the kind that care when something is faster. Since they'll most likely be upgrading to it.

It's the penny pinchers that seem to care most what those $500+ people are doing.

There are people building Gaming PCs for 3 years spending 1500-2000 Euros/$. Those dont upgrade every year.
Others will upgrade to a new 500-700 GPU from GTX5xx that again will keep it for 3 or more years.
Dont count your self as the market trend point ;)
 

3DVagabond

Lifer
Aug 10, 2009
11,951
204
106
There are people building Gaming PCs for 3 years spending 1500-2000 Euros/$. Those dont upgrade every year.
Others will upgrade to a new 500-700 GPU from GTX5xx that again will keep it for 3 or more years.
Dont count your self as the market trend point ;)

What's being claimed is that nVidia cards losing performance over time is irrelevant and they are making up the reasons as to why.

People who bought Hawaii 290/X still have a card today that is competitive with the next gen nVidia at the same price point. It's looking like with DX12 they'll still have something that will compete in the next generation as well. They are saying they don't mind that they have to upgrade to maintain that level of performance and that everyone else should do just as they do because they love nVidia so much.

Now, I'm not so sure that the 290/390 cards will outperform the 980 ti in DX12 (although it's not out of the question) but I am fairly certain that Fiji will and they'll slay the 970/80. Time will tell.
 

railven

Diamond Member
Mar 25, 2010
6,604
561
126
There are people building Gaming PCs for 3 years spending 1500-2000 Euros/$. Those dont upgrade every year.
Others will upgrade to a new 500-700 GPU from GTX5xx that again will keep it for 3 or more years.
Dont count your self as the market trend point ;)

What is with these double standards. There are people as you say and people as I say, yet I'm not allowed to represent myself?

These blanket statements are so full of feces it's not even funny anymore.

Pro AMD Guy:
ALL gtx 980 ti owners will regret their purchase.

980 Ti Owners:
Some of us won't.

Pro AMD Guy:
You think everyone is like you! LOLZ!!!!!11!!

It's like some of us with money can't exist or express our opinion because it hurts those without money. Woof. I went from being a sexual abuse survivor to someone that spreads STDs. You guys are too much, honestly.

What's being claimed is that nVidia cards losing performance over time is irrelevant and they are making up the reasons as to why.

People who bought Hawaii 290/X still have a card today that is competitive with the next gen nVidia at the same price point. It's looking like with DX12 they'll still have something that will compete in the next generation as well. They are saying they don't mind that they have to upgrade to maintain that level of performance and that everyone else should do just as they do because they love nVidia so much.

Now, I'm not so sure that the 290/390 cards will outperform the 980 ti in DX12 (although it's not out of the question) but I am fairly certain that Fiji will and they'll slay the 970/80. Time will tell.

Come on, serious?

My upgrade pattern for the last few years:
HD 4870 > 4870X2 > 5870 > 5870 2GB > 7970 > 7970 CFX > EDIT Oops forgot- GTX 660 Ti SLI > 780 > 980 Ti

Why is it so hard for some to accept - WE HAVE MONEY!!! We really don't care about the performance in X-years, when something better* comes out, WE UPGRADE!!!

*Subjective: "better" is a term deemed by individuals.
 
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Zstream

Diamond Member
Oct 24, 2005
3,395
277
136
What is with these double standards. There are people as you say and people as I say, yet I'm not allowed to represent myself?

These blanket statements are so full of feces it's not even funny anymore.

Pro AMD Guy:
ALL gtx 980 ti owners will regret their purchase.

980 Ti Owners:
Some of us won't.

Pro AMD Guy:
You think everyone is like you! LOLZ!!!!!11!!

It's like some of us with money can't exist or express our opinion because it hurts those without money. Woof. I went from being a sexual abuse survivor to someone that spreads STDs. You guys are too much, honestly.



Come on, serious?

My upgrade pattern for the last few years:
HD 4870 > 4870X2 > 5870 > 5870 2GB > 7970 > 7970 CFX > EDIT Oops forgot- GTX 660 Ti SLI > 780 > 980 Ti

Why is it so hard for some to accept - WE HAVE MONEY!!! We really don't care about the performance in X-years, when something better* comes out, WE UPGRADE!!!

*Subjective: "better" is a term deemed by individuals.


Because by all market accounts, you're one of the few who spend hundreds of dollars for little performance increases. That's not an opinion, but rather fact based off percentage of units sold through the decade.
 

railven

Diamond Member
Mar 25, 2010
6,604
561
126
Because by all market accounts, you're one of the few who spend hundreds of dollars for little performance increases. That's not an opinion, but rather fact based off percentage of units sold through the decade.

You're right, I am a niche buyer, but I never argued otherwise ;). And of that niche, I would still claim most people are like me - those buying >$500 aren't really concerned with longevity. We upgrade frequently. such as when when new hardware is announced if it is better* than our current hardware.

*subjective: still something that is deemed by every individual.
 

beginner99

Diamond Member
Jun 2, 2009
5,315
1,760
136
Like RS said this new chip will at first almost certainly be marketed as Titan in the $1000 bracket or higher. Till there actually will be a mass-market (affordable)16nm hbm GPU it will probably be at least 18 month if not more.

I bought a used 290x. For sure best price-performance right now.
 

littleg

Senior member
Jul 9, 2015
355
38
91
You're right, I am a niche buyer, but I never argued otherwise ;). And of that niche, I would still claim most people are like me - those buying >$500 aren't really concerned with longevity. We upgrade frequently. such as when when new hardware is announced if it is better* than our current hardware.

*subjective: still something that is deemed by every individual.

He's right. It's rare that someone drops $500+ on a card with the expectation it'll last for years and years. You spend that money to be on the bleeding edge and get the best performance possible at the time.

When the better cards hit the market then you do it again, not because you need to but because that's the best and you want the best.

Granted that's probably a small proportion of the market but it exists.
 

gamervivek

Senior member
Jan 17, 2011
490
53
91
Nobody is asking for cards to be kept for years, but if you are seeing the competitor's cards getting faster in a year, then it grates.

OT, it'll be interesting to see how much putting in FP64 shakes up things. I am leaning towards lower clockspeeds or higher power usage at same clocks. HBM2 will perhaps allow for higher clockspeeds due to power savings.
 

Headfoot

Diamond Member
Feb 28, 2008
4,444
641
126
Given that the pace of innovation in graphics are slowing down due to nodes taking a lot longer to come out, longevity of a graphics card is a lot more important than when you could count on a node shrink every 18 months. If the first gen 14/16nm cards hold up as well as an overclocked 7970 has, then you could expect it to last 3-4 years on 1080p...
 

3DVagabond

Lifer
Aug 10, 2009
11,951
204
106
What is with these double standards. There are people as you say and people as I say, yet I'm not allowed to represent myself?

These blanket statements are so full of feces it's not even funny anymore.

Pro AMD Guy:
ALL gtx 980 ti owners will regret their purchase.

980 Ti Owners:
Some of us won't.

Pro AMD Guy:
You think everyone is like you! LOLZ!!!!!11!!

It's like some of us with money can't exist or express our opinion because it hurts those without money. Woof. I went from being a sexual abuse survivor to someone that spreads STDs. You guys are too much, honestly.



Come on, serious?

My upgrade pattern for the last few years:
HD 4870 > 4870X2 > 5870 > 5870 2GB > 7970 > 7970 CFX > EDIT Oops forgot- GTX 660 Ti SLI > 780 > 980 Ti

Why is it so hard for some to accept - WE HAVE MONEY!!! We really don't care about the performance in X-years, when something better* comes out, WE UPGRADE!!!

*Subjective: "better" is a term deemed by individuals.

Nothing to do with having money. Just because you don't mind over paying doesn't make you better. Get off of your high horse.
 

railven

Diamond Member
Mar 25, 2010
6,604
561
126
Nothing to do with having money. Just because you don't mind over paying doesn't make you better. Get off of your high horse.

Being told I'm acting as I'm better by the guy who said this?

They are saying they don't mind that they have to upgrade to maintain that level of performance and that everyone else should do just as they do because they love nVidia so much.

How laughable.
 

Azix

Golden Member
Apr 18, 2014
1,438
67
91
Nobody is asking for cards to be kept for years, but if you are seeing the competitor's cards getting faster in a year, then it grates.

OT, it'll be interesting to see how much putting in FP64 shakes up things. I am leaning towards lower clockspeeds or higher power usage at same clocks. HBM2 will perhaps allow for higher clockspeeds due to power savings.

I think we could see some shifts. Before kepler nvidia's power consumption was epic. I don't think people realize what nvidia had to do to get to kepler and have launch advantages over AMD. If they are pushing pascal as a compute GPU, they might be reversing some of those cuts and that could mean pascal will be a power hungry chip at least. Like someone said before, overclocking could take a dive etc.

http://www.anandtech.com/show/5699/nvidia-geforce-gtx-680-review/3

If they keep their software scheduler they can probably stay ahead of AMD on performance when asynchronous compute is out of use. That might be the most important. The gains on efficiency they get from investing in drivers is their biggest advantage and things point to that possibly going away next year. AMD ended up ahead sooner or later against kepler and probably most of the maxwell 2 cards, but next year might be the first time in a while they have a generational lead (no new GPU from nvidia on the same architecture wins). Mostly because they have the experience on HBM, dx12 like APIs and of making these full chips while fighting for efficiency. Nvidia dropped that fight with kepler and might pick it up, years later, in 2016.

This might not matter to nvidia though. A minor loss in consumer graphics won't matter if they sell more GPUs at higher prices to professionals.
 

Ajay

Lifer
Jan 8, 2001
16,094
8,112
136
Geez, looking for the latest on Pascal. Instead I find a fanboi war - even now with separate forums. Whatever...


Edit: guess this was posted in the wrong forum anyway. Using the 'new posts' features doesn't always produce the best outcomes.
 
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jpiniero

Lifer
Oct 1, 2010
16,529
7,033
136
OT, it'll be interesting to see how much putting in FP64 shakes up things. I am leaning towards lower clockspeeds or higher power usage at same clocks. HBM2 will perhaps allow for higher clockspeeds due to power savings.

If anything I am thinking the main performance difference between Titan X and GP100 Titan would be via clock speed increases. 16FF should provide a real nice power consumption improvement and there will be room to increase clocks. How nVidia is going to manage going from a DP-light design to a heavy one is something to watch... especially with no transistor cost gain despite the smaller node.
 

RussianSensation

Elite Member
Sep 5, 2003
19,458
765
126
Because by all market accounts, you're one of the few who spend hundreds of dollars for little performance increases. That's not an opinion, but rather fact based off percentage of units sold through the decade.

Exactly. The volume/unit sales of discrete GPUs have fallen about 2-3X from their peak years, as has already been documented and discussed in this thread. Look at the number of active Steam users since 2011:

kT9mvUR.png

investor-day-2015-geforce-gaming-4-638.jpg


The growth of Steam users since 2011 is incredible:

"Steam has over 125 million active users, 8.9M concurrent peak"

Overall sales of PC games are constantly growing.

nvidia_trends_07.png


...but in the same period of time, the sales of discrete GPUs are absolutely bombing. The total volumes/unit sales of discrete GPUs are close to their record lows in decades. That actually tells us most PC gamers are the complete opposite of him -- i.e., they don't upgrade their GPUs annually, not even every 2 years. I bet most GPU gamers now upgrade every 3-4 years.

======================================================================================

My main area of concern for GPU hardware in 2016 and beyond: Too much GPU horsepower for mostly console ported PC games that don't stress Pascal enough, compounded b the fast that most PC gamers will still own 1920x1200 60Hz and below monitors.

Back to Pascal, with the slow lack of progress in PC gaming graphics, it's even more important that Pascal is built as a well-rounded GPU, much like a GTX980Ti is a really well rounded card for games. I think if NV fixes the Asynchronous Compute, continues to improve tessellation performance and focuses on improving voxel lighting techniques started with Maxwell, this could be the architecture to last 3-4 years for the average PC gamer.

VoxelPerf.jpg


Geez, looking for the latest on Pascal. Instead I find a fanboi war - even now with separate forums. Whatever...

Edit: guess this was posted in the wrong forum anyway. Using the 'new posts' features doesn't always produce the best outcomes.

I think the thread should have stayed in the NV sub-section. I will add this, I truly hope that PC games see a leap in AI, physics, graphics, textures, shaders, more advanced global illumination, shadows, etc. because we are slowly getting into the same problem we ran last generation towards the end of PS3/360 console lives -- way too much GPU horsepower for console ports.

This is on topic with Pascal since it's an area of discussion imo:

Assuming Pascal gets as fast as the Nano CF or faster, copying my previous post looking at TPU's review of Nano CF even at 1440P, for those of us with 60 fps 1440P monitors, look what happens:

1. Alien Isolation = 190 fps
2. AC Unity = no CF scaling at the time of testing
3. Batman AO = almost 200 fps
4. BF3 = 178 fps
5. BF4 = 109 fps
6. Bioshock Infinite = 209 fps
7. CO AW = 141 fps
8. Civ: BE = 130 fps
9. Crysis 3 = 65 fps
10. Dead Rising 3 = no CF scaling at the time of testing
11. DAI = 79 fps (single Fury X got 45)
12. FC4 = no CF scaling at the time of testing
13. GTA V = 89 fps (but take a closer look, Fury X is at 54.7, 980Ti is at 62)
14. Metro LL = 102 fps
15. Project CARS = 65 fps (but a single Fury X is at 61.8)
16. Ryse Son of Rome = 118 fps
17. Shadow of Mordor = 140 fps
18. The Witcher 3 = 74.9 fps (but 980Ti is at 55.7)
19. Tomb Raider = 84 fps (a single Fury X is at 52.7)
20. Watch Dogs = 96 fps
21. Wolfenstein = no CF scaling but a single Fury X is over 60
22. WOW = negative CF scaling but a single Fury X is at 126 fps

Now just replace those scores of the Nano CF with some high-end Pascal card or another 16nm HBM2 GPU to simulate next gen, and you start to see a serious problem for AMD/NV in spurring GPU upgrades for the average PC gamer:

1) Without next generation PC games that push the boundaries of graphics, there will be even less incentive for a lot of GPU gamers to upgrade;

2) Since based on Steam most PC gamers have monitors at 1920x1200 and below, this level of performance will be crazy overkill for most gamers. It makes sense why NV/AMD are pushing DSR/VSR so actively now.

With next generation of Pascal cards, I think 1080P testing needs to start incorporating DSR/VSR benchmarks to reflect how many gamers would be able to actually use and benefit from even more powerful GPU hardware. After all, while 1440P and 4K will a great foundation test for Pascal's capabilities, unfortunately most gamers don't own such monitors. This is a real problem for NV/AMD as if you are on a 60 Hz 1080P monitor and your card is pushing 120-200 fps, why would you buy a $350-500 card if a $250 Pascal might end up nearly as fast as a GTX980?

Just some food for thought even though I am very excited for Pascal as my cards are really old now.

If Pascal helps to raise the bare minimum VRAM from 2GB to 4GB for the $150-200 segments, this could really help on the texture front.
 
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DooKey

Golden Member
Nov 9, 2005
1,811
458
136
Geez, looking for the latest on Pascal. Instead I find a fanboi war - even now with separate forums. Whatever...


Edit: guess this was posted in the wrong forum anyway. Using the 'new posts' features doesn't always produce the best outcomes.

Yep, pretty much. Get rid of about 6 of the usual suspects and this forum would be a better place.
 

readers

Member
Oct 29, 2013
93
0
0
Hmmm, I feel so many people are confusing 980 at release and 980 now.

980 right now, make no sense what so ever, if you step down you have better P/P, that's fine, but if you step up, you also get better P/P, so wtf?

But last year was very different, 980 was the new single gpu king, on top of that very low power consumption.

Sure 970 sli is better value, if sli works, and they do not work all the time, and some people just dislike, dealing with it, same goes for 295.

As for people bought it being robbed for a middle end card because ti destroyed it.

Think about this, 9 month later a card cost $100 more(compare launch price to launch price), is about 35-40% faster.

I don't see too much of an issue.

I bought a 980 ti, I expect a card cost $100 LESS in a year to be around 20% faster.

(no, I don't believe they would start with a titan or ti card right off the bat)

Seems to be very much the same deal to me.
 

railven

Diamond Member
Mar 25, 2010
6,604
561
126
...but in the same period of time, the sales of discrete GPUs are absolutely bombing. The total volumes/unit sales of discrete GPUs are close to their record lows in decades. That actually tells us most PC gamers are the complete opposite of him -- i.e., they don't upgrade their GPUs annually, not even every 2 years. I bet most GPU gamers now upgrade every 3-4 years.

This is why I hate a Russian word dump. The guy can't read and then goes into this huge word compilations to try to prove a point no one ever made.

"Hey railven, what kind of PC hardware buyer are you?"

Oh, I'm that niche <1% that buys GPUs in the upper tier price bracket.

"Oh, so you think all PC hardware buyers are like you?"

Hell nah, never said that. But the buyers in that 1% market are most likely like me because they probably upgrade frequently.

Yet, there it is, in that middle of that word dump. Another strawman. He never seems to disappoint.
 

Azix

Golden Member
Apr 18, 2014
1,438
67
91
I think the challenge was that you think most in that 1% are like you. Most of them still fit in the "most PC gamers" group. Some are still sadly rocking their original titans
 
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readers

Member
Oct 29, 2013
93
0
0
I think the challenge was that you think all in that 1% are like you. Most of them still fit in the "most PC gamers" group.

Yep.

<------ bought 980 ti, no plan to buy anything next year.

But he does have a point, out of most buyer of 980 ti, fury x and Titan X, I probably upgrade far less than avg.
 

tential

Diamond Member
May 13, 2008
7,348
642
121
This is why I hate a Russian word dump. The guy can't read and then goes into this huge word compilations to try to prove a point no one ever made.

"Hey railven, what kind of PC hardware buyer are you?"

Oh, I'm that niche <1% that buys GPUs in the upper tier price bracket.

"Oh, so you think all PC hardware buyers are like you?"

Hell nah, never said that. But the buyers in that 1% market are most likely like me because they probably upgrade frequently.

Yet, there it is, in that middle of that word dump. Another strawman. He never seems to disappoint.

People in the high end spend more and are willing to spend more regularly.
They want to talk about the GPU market total, but we're NOT TALKING ABOUT THAT MARKET.
Even more hilarious, despite the GPU market "bombing" guess who just again, beat revenue earnings. So what does that mean if less GPUs are being sold, but more money is being made by Nvidia? That people are buying at the high end. They're buying at the high end, even after the 780Ti "Flopped". It didn't, the R9 290x got faster, it doesn't beat a 780Ti still on average. So at the end of the day, you got the 780Ti, the fastest card you could get, and yes, the 290x closed ground, but you got to use the fastest card.

The odd thing is, they act like you aren't WAITING for the card to be faster. It could be 1 year, it could be 2 years, it could be 3 years... So I guess we just don't account for the time a GPU is faster if it's brand name is Nvidia. As long as an AMD card is faster at the end, that's what matters which is utterly ridiculous.
Hmmm, I feel so many people are confusing 980 at release and 980 now.

980 right now, make no sense what so ever, if you step down you have better P/P, that's fine, but if you step up, you also get better P/P, so wtf?

But last year was very different, 980 was the new single gpu king, on top of that very low power consumption.

Sure 970 sli is better value, if sli works, and they do not work all the time, and some people just dislike, dealing with it, same goes for 295.

As for people bought it being robbed for a middle end card because ti destroyed it.

Think about this, 9 month later a card cost $100 more(compare launch price to launch price), is about 35-40% faster.

I don't see too much of an issue.

I bought a 980 ti, I expect a card cost $100 LESS in a year to be around 20% faster.

(no, I don't believe they would start with a titan or ti card right off the bat)

Seems to be very much the same deal to me.

Because it fits their point that Nvidia is evil, and AMD is an amazing company that can do no wrong, so get AMD! Tired of the constant Nvidia hate and no lack of reference to TIME.

Wait for Fury X to be faster than a 980Ti.
Wait for Arctic Islands to come out after Pascal.
Wait for Fury X voltage controls.
Wait for Freesync to compete with Gsync.

There is a HUGE benefit in being first to market, because it means consumers can use the product longer! This just isn't being factored in by people at all.
 
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railven

Diamond Member
Mar 25, 2010
6,604
561
126
I think the challenge was that you think most in that 1% are like you. Most of them still fit in the "most PC gamers" group. Some are still sadly rocking their original titans

The comment you made that I responded to stated "gtx 980 ti owners" with no limitations. That implies ALL.

But me saying "not all of us" some how turned into a #notallmen bullcrap.

At no point did I ever imply my buying habits match anyone but the 1% or so in my buying bracket. That didn't stop 4 posters from trying to turn my comments into bullcrap like "he wants everyone to do like him because he loves Nvidia." And no offense, you making a comparative of spending money to spreading STDs was rather tasteless.

Interesting thing is, certain posters didn't give a fly when I posted here and posted I bought top tier AMD cards, well Russian did when I bought an HD 7970 haha.

Truth is, Nvidia only got my money for my GTX 980 Ti. The GTX 780 Lightning I bought open box (RMA'd to a brand new one, thank you MSI :D ), and the two GTX 660 Tis I bought used for <$130 each.

But noooooooo, can't say positive things about Nvidia without being called financially inept, stupid, STD carrier, or a sexual abuse survivor.

I really hope when I waved the AMD flag proudly I wasn't as disgusting as some of these posters have been.
 

Azix

Golden Member
Apr 18, 2014
1,438
67
91
throwing money around like a STD was a joke. I was quite proud of it too. sigh :'(

No need to keep at misunderstandings. Most would still say the point is valid - that people in all segments value longevity. Maybe in certain countries that is different. If you're going to be changing GPUs often then it really doesn't even matter if you get the highest end. Typically you get the highest end to not have to upgrade as soon. But maybe thinking is different elsewhere. It's weird though to think people in lesser performance brackets are buying GPUs to last and those in higher ones are buying them not to.
 

tg2708

Senior member
May 23, 2013
687
20
81
@tential if one is unable to be always on the cutting edge and have to keep their cards for two years at minimum the card that gets better over time is a a much smarter buy. Nvidia makes very good products, that is undeniable but it is disheartening to see a person throw all their savings at the best card available at the time only to see after a year its performance take a hit as more and more newer games come out. If I'm a person that cannot upgrade annually it would be great to see the card that I spent a fortune on handle current and newer games well. I don't think the average consumer thinks like "oh well I'm going to buy a card just to play the games of now at 60 fps and next year I will be doing the same." All I'm saying is Nvidia claims driver superiority so why can't they prevent their cards from losing performance as the time goes buy relative to amd who is improving theirs. People say the driver eeks out all the cards performance with few driver updates but the thing is in games of now and yesteryear nvidia fps was not all that better even though they still had the lead, amd just needed to optimize the game etc a bit more to close the gap.