Because of the shift in domestic production, some domestic workers, especially the less skilled ones, who had been working in industry X, may now have to move to industry Y. In addition to wage effects, immigration has "displacement" effects. Some domestic workers will be "displaced" by immigrants, in the sense that they will now have to work in a different industry.
In the simple model, we are assuming that the process of displacement is costless, in that displaced workers will eventually find employment in the other sector. This is a good characterization of the long run, but in the short run adjustment does have costs. It may take time to find this new job, with all the anxiety associated with that search. Changing jobs may mean moving out of one's neighborhood, city, or even region, with a loss of family, friends, and familiar schools and churches. Many Americans who perceive themselves to be displaced by immigrants resent having to make this adjustment. ?Perceive" is an important word in this sentence because an attribution problem emerges when it comes to immigration. Some may associate their displacement with immigrant when the real cause lies elsewhere.
Whatever it costs, more efficient domestic production is not the only gain from immigration. There is also the gain associated with specialization in consumption. Just as the presence of immigrants allows natives to specialize in production, it allows them to consume something different from what they can produce themselves. As a nation, we may be very good at producing good Y, but we really like good X. Immigration is one way we can have the best of both worlds; making what we are good at and also consuming what we like. The welfare gain from shifting production toward more valuable activities that use the relatively more skilled native labor, and the gain in consumption toward commodities whose cast has fallen.
In sum, the net welfare gains from immigration stem from two sources. By having immigrants specialize in the production of goods requiring a lot of low-killed labor, it allows us to shift our domestic production toward those goods (Y) in which natives are relatively efficient (those that need a lot of skilled labor) and away from those that can be produced more cheaply by immigrants. The second component is the gain in consumption. Before immigration (and with no international trade), we could consume only that which we could produce domestically. Immigration breaks this rigid link between domestic consumption and domestic production, allowing us to produce goods of which we are relatively efficient producers and to consume those good that conform to our tastes.
Originally posted by: Socio
Originally posted by: shira
Again, this report doesn't indicate how much illegals pay into the system.
In many, many cases, state income axes are withheld from the pay of illegals, but they don't file tax returns and don't get valid refunds.
That would be the exception not the rule, even then they could only be using either a fake Social Security number or a stolen one as they can not obtain a real one due to their illegal status.
The fact is the only taxes they all pay are taxes like sales taxes, gas taxes because they can not be avoided.
NASHVILLE ? The tax system collects its due, even from a class of workers with little likelihood of claiming a refund and no hope of drawing a Social Security check.
Illegal immigrants are paying taxes to Uncle Sam, experts agree. Just how much they pay is hard to determine because the federal government doesn't fully tally it. But the latest figures available indicate it will amount to billions of dollars in federal income, Social Security and Medicare taxes this year. One rough estimate puts the amount of Social Security taxes alone at around $9 billion per year.
Paycheck withholding collects much of the federal tax from illegal workers, just as it does for legal workers.
The Internal Revenue Service doesn't track a worker's immigration status, yet many illegal immigrants fearful of deportation won't risk the government attention that will come from filing a return even if they might qualify for a refund. Economist William Ford of Middle Tennessee State University says there are no firm figures on how many such taxpayers there are.
"The real question is how many of them pay more than they owe. There are undoubtedly hundreds of thousands of people in that situation," Ford said.
.
.
.
The Social Security Administration estimates that about three-quarters of illegal workers pay taxes that contribute to the overall solvency of Social Security and Medicare.
Originally posted by: Evan
There are 2-3M illegals in CA depending on how you count, so 2.5M is probably a reasonable guesstimate. Based on legal immigrant consumption trends (let's say Mexican-only for argument's sake), an illegal Mexican family of 5 (2 parents plus 2.7 children, which was their replacement rate last I checked two years ago), illegal immigrant consumption alone would yield $7B in revenue for the state, a conservative estimate. There's also the cold, hard reality that studies show illegals have a clear net positive benefit economically:
Because of the shift in domestic production, some domestic workers, especially the less skilled ones, who had been working in industry X, may now have to move to industry Y. In addition to wage effects, immigration has "displacement" effects. Some domestic workers will be "displaced" by immigrants, in the sense that they will now have to work in a different industry.
In the simple model, we are assuming that the process of displacement is costless, in that displaced workers will eventually find employment in the other sector. This is a good characterization of the long run, but in the short run adjustment does have costs. It may take time to find this new job, with all the anxiety associated with that search. Changing jobs may mean moving out of one's neighborhood, city, or even region, with a loss of family, friends, and familiar schools and churches. Many Americans who perceive themselves to be displaced by immigrants resent having to make this adjustment. ?Perceive" is an important word in this sentence because an attribution problem emerges when it comes to immigration. Some may associate their displacement with immigrant when the real cause lies elsewhere.
Whatever it costs, more efficient domestic production is not the only gain from immigration. There is also the gain associated with specialization in consumption. Just as the presence of immigrants allows natives to specialize in production, it allows them to consume something different from what they can produce themselves. As a nation, we may be very good at producing good Y, but we really like good X. Immigration is one way we can have the best of both worlds; making what we are good at and also consuming what we like. The welfare gain from shifting production toward more valuable activities that use the relatively more skilled native labor, and the gain in consumption toward commodities whose cast has fallen.
In sum, the net welfare gains from immigration stem from two sources. By having immigrants specialize in the production of goods requiring a lot of low-killed labor, it allows us to shift our domestic production toward those goods (Y) in which natives are relatively efficient (those that need a lot of skilled labor) and away from those that can be produced more cheaply by immigrants. The second component is the gain in consumption. Before immigration (and with no international trade), we could consume only that which we could produce domestically. Immigration breaks this rigid link between domestic consumption and domestic production, allowing us to produce goods of which we are relatively efficient producers and to consume those good that conform to our tastes.
http://books.google.com/books?...NXR3ygRComdM#PPA145,M1
So overall, it's always, well, intriguing to think that illegal immigration has a net negative impact economically, but reality is a far different story, backed by statistics and observation. Any other study or data on the matter would, of course, be interesting to read. Ultimately, it won't yield anything different than what has already proven to be shown. The only issue seems to be rapid and massive overpopulation of immigrants (illegal or not), a sort of "shock" to the system, if it exceeds 15% of the U.S. population in a given area.
At the state and local level, illegal immigrants already cost more in public services such as education and health care than they pay in taxes, the Congressional Budget Office reported recently. Illegal immigrants make up less than 5% of the cost in most states, but closer to 10% in some California counties. In 2000, counties along the Mexican border lost more than $800 million in health care services for which they were not paid; about 25% of that went to care for illegal immigrants, according to a report by the United States/Mexico Border Counties Coalition.
"The average illegal immigrant family receives an average of $30,000 in governmental benefits! Yet they pay only about $9,000 in taxes per year. That creates a $21,000 shortfall that the American taxpayer has to make up. That's like buying each of the illegal immigrant families a brand new Mustang convertible -- each and every year!"
Originally posted by: TheRedUnderURBed
I got an idea:
Lets deport all the trailer trash Republican voting European squatter descended central valley folks, how much would we save not having to put out fires from meth labs?
Think of the savings to the state in dental bills and bad governors also!
You guys do know the blame game is utterly stupid right?
Originally posted by: babylon5
Conclusion from the above two posts: Illegals = pure revenue profit for USA, therefore if we got even more of them coming, they'll save USA from this economic crisis because all they bring in is money for USA and no other problems
:frown:
Originally posted by: shira
Originally posted by: Socio
Originally posted by: shira
Again, this report doesn't indicate how much illegals pay into the system.
In many, many cases, state income axes are withheld from the pay of illegals, but they don't file tax returns and don't get valid refunds.
That would be the exception not the rule, even then they could only be using either a fake Social Security number or a stolen one as they can not obtain a real one due to their illegal status.
The fact is the only taxes they all pay are taxes like sales taxes, gas taxes because they can not be avoided.
Your are incorrect:
USA Today article
NASHVILLE ? The tax system collects its due, even from a class of workers with little likelihood of claiming a refund and no hope of drawing a Social Security check.
Illegal immigrants are paying taxes to Uncle Sam, experts agree. Just how much they pay is hard to determine because the federal government doesn't fully tally it. But the latest figures available indicate it will amount to billions of dollars in federal income, Social Security and Medicare taxes this year. One rough estimate puts the amount of Social Security taxes alone at around $9 billion per year.
Paycheck withholding collects much of the federal tax from illegal workers, just as it does for legal workers.
The Internal Revenue Service doesn't track a worker's immigration status, yet many illegal immigrants fearful of deportation won't risk the government attention that will come from filing a return even if they might qualify for a refund. Economist William Ford of Middle Tennessee State University says there are no firm figures on how many such taxpayers there are.
"The real question is how many of them pay more than they owe. There are undoubtedly hundreds of thousands of people in that situation," Ford said.
.
.
.
The Social Security Administration estimates that about three-quarters of illegal workers pay taxes that contribute to the overall solvency of Social Security and Medicare.
And the article doesn't even address the fact that if federal income tax is withheld, so is state income tax. Also, as was pointed out in an earlier post, when illegals pay rent, that contributes to the property tax paid by landlords, which in turn funds public schools.
I have NEVER seen a comprehensive analysis of the costs/benefits of illegals. The anti-illegals crowd just spouts numbers on the cost side, a transparently dishonest method of argumentation. Understandable, I suppose, for the intellectually fraudulent among us who just HAVE to have their scapegoats.
My own gut feeling is that illegals put more into the system than they take out.
Here's one to chew on. Illegal immigration by it's very defininition is uncontrolled. There are numerous posts in this thread with people expounding on their thinking that illegal immigration is a positive thing. You included.Originally posted by: Evan
^ I'm unaware of anyone here saying uncontrolled legal and/or illegal immigration is always good. In fact, it was explicitly stated that is not the case.
So we have some illegals using fraudulent SS numbers and paying taxes. We also have employers that are not withholding taxes from their employees, some of whom may be illegal aliens. These are two separate issues. Employers paying wages under the table are the problem as even US citizens getting wages under the table are likely to either not report all that income or any of it at all.Originally posted by: Socio
Again that would be only the ones that use fraudulent SS numbers, whom may get taxes withheld but not file a return and they would be the exception as a good portion of them work for under the table wages.Originally posted by: shira
And the article doesn't even address the fact that if federal income tax is withheld, so is state income tax. Also, as was pointed out in an earlier post, when illegals pay rent, that contributes to the property tax paid by landlords, which in turn funds public schools.
By that logic, does it follow that anti-miscegenation laws mean that it was justified preventing two people of difference races from having sex or getting married? Or when prohibition was in effect. Was drinking alcohol a negative thing only during those years?Originally posted by: boomerang
Here's one to chew on. Illegal immigration by it's very defininition is uncontrolled. There are numerous posts in this thread with people expounding on their thinking that illegal immigration is a positive thing. You included.Originally posted by: Evan
^ I'm unaware of anyone here saying uncontrolled legal and/or illegal immigration is always good. In fact, it was explicitly stated that is not the case.
Legal immigration is positive, illegal is not. It can't be any simpler than that. When is rape justified? Murder? We have laws that make these things illegal for a reason.
Originally posted by: Socio
Originally posted by: Evan
There are 2-3M illegals in CA depending on how you count, so 2.5M is probably a reasonable guesstimate. Based on legal immigrant consumption trends (let's say Mexican-only for argument's sake), an illegal Mexican family of 5 (2 parents plus 2.7 children, which was their replacement rate last I checked two years ago), illegal immigrant consumption alone would yield $7B in revenue for the state, a conservative estimate. There's also the cold, hard reality that studies show illegals have a clear net positive benefit economically:
Because of the shift in domestic production, some domestic workers, especially the less skilled ones, who had been working in industry X, may now have to move to industry Y. In addition to wage effects, immigration has "displacement" effects. Some domestic workers will be "displaced" by immigrants, in the sense that they will now have to work in a different industry.
In the simple model, we are assuming that the process of displacement is costless, in that displaced workers will eventually find employment in the other sector. This is a good characterization of the long run, but in the short run adjustment does have costs. It may take time to find this new job, with all the anxiety associated with that search. Changing jobs may mean moving out of one's neighborhood, city, or even region, with a loss of family, friends, and familiar schools and churches. Many Americans who perceive themselves to be displaced by immigrants resent having to make this adjustment. ?Perceive" is an important word in this sentence because an attribution problem emerges when it comes to immigration. Some may associate their displacement with immigrant when the real cause lies elsewhere.
Whatever it costs, more efficient domestic production is not the only gain from immigration. There is also the gain associated with specialization in consumption. Just as the presence of immigrants allows natives to specialize in production, it allows them to consume something different from what they can produce themselves. As a nation, we may be very good at producing good Y, but we really like good X. Immigration is one way we can have the best of both worlds; making what we are good at and also consuming what we like. The welfare gain from shifting production toward more valuable activities that use the relatively more skilled native labor, and the gain in consumption toward commodities whose cast has fallen.
In sum, the net welfare gains from immigration stem from two sources. By having immigrants specialize in the production of goods requiring a lot of low-killed labor, it allows us to shift our domestic production toward those goods (Y) in which natives are relatively efficient (those that need a lot of skilled labor) and away from those that can be produced more cheaply by immigrants. The second component is the gain in consumption. Before immigration (and with no international trade), we could consume only that which we could produce domestically. Immigration breaks this rigid link between domestic consumption and domestic production, allowing us to produce goods of which we are relatively efficient producers and to consume those good that conform to our tastes.
http://books.google.com/books?...NXR3ygRComdM#PPA145,M1
So overall, it's always, well, intriguing to think that illegal immigration has a net negative impact economically, but reality is a far different story, backed by statistics and observation. Any other study or data on the matter would, of course, be interesting to read. Ultimately, it won't yield anything different than what has already proven to be shown. The only issue seems to be rapid and massive overpopulation of immigrants (illegal or not), a sort of "shock" to the system, if it exceeds 15% of the U.S. population in a given area.
Your comparing legal and illegal immigrants, that is like comparing apple and oranges.
Rising health care costs
At the state and local level, illegal immigrants already cost more in public services such as education and health care than they pay in taxes, the Congressional Budget Office reported recently. Illegal immigrants make up less than 5% of the cost in most states, but closer to 10% in some California counties. In 2000, counties along the Mexican border lost more than $800 million in health care services for which they were not paid; about 25% of that went to care for illegal immigrants, according to a report by the United States/Mexico Border Counties Coalition.
Do illegal immigrants receive more government benefits than they pay in taxes?
"The average illegal immigrant family receives an average of $30,000 in governmental benefits! Yet they pay only about $9,000 in taxes per year. That creates a $21,000 shortfall that the American taxpayer has to make up. That's like buying each of the illegal immigrant families a brand new Mustang convertible -- each and every year!"
You tack on other costs like Border patrol, ICE, incarceration, (25-30percent of our prison inmate population are illegal?s), legal system costs for those being incarcerated etc?. You will find the total cost of illegal immigrants is overwhelmingly disproportionate to their benefit.
Originally posted by: boomerang
Here's one to chew on. Illegal immigration by it's very defininition is uncontrolled. There are numerous posts in this thread with people expounding on their thinking that illegal immigration is a positive thing. You included.Originally posted by: Evan
^ I'm unaware of anyone here saying uncontrolled legal and/or illegal immigration is always good. In fact, it was explicitly stated that is not the case.
Legal immigration is positive, illegal is not. It can't be any simpler than that. When is rape justified? Murder? We have laws that make these things illegal for a reason.
Pick apart my logic all you want. If you feel that certain laws are unjust, immoral, or politically motivated, you're free to do so. But what you are abdicating is ignoring the law and allowing people to come to this country under illegal circumstances. Illegal under the law as it stands right now. I'll repeat - Illegal under the law as it stands right now.Originally posted by: L00PY
By that logic, does it follow that anti-miscegenation laws mean that it was justified preventing two people of difference races from having sex or getting married? Or when prohibition was in effect. Was drinking alcohol a negative thing only during those years?Originally posted by: boomerang
Here's one to chew on. Illegal immigration by it's very definition is uncontrolled. There are numerous posts in this thread with people expounding on their thinking that illegal immigration is a positive thing. You included.Originally posted by: Evan
^ I'm unaware of anyone here saying uncontrolled legal and/or illegal immigration is always good. In fact, it was explicitly stated that is not the case.
Legal immigration is positive, illegal is not. It can't be any simpler than that. When is rape justified? Murder? We have laws that make these things illegal for a reason.
Some laws are on the books because they are just; some out of racism or bigotry; some for purely political reasons; some for moral reasons.
Originally posted by: Evan
Originally posted by: boomerang
Here's one to chew on. Illegal immigration by it's very defininition is uncontrolled. There are numerous posts in this thread with people expounding on their thinking that illegal immigration is a positive thing. You included.Originally posted by: Evan
^ I'm unaware of anyone here saying uncontrolled legal and/or illegal immigration is always good. In fact, it was explicitly stated that is not the case.
Legal immigration is positive, illegal is not. It can't be any simpler than that. When is rape justified? Murder? We have laws that make these things illegal for a reason.
It's not really that simple and apparently you're unable to explain otherwise.
Originally posted by: boomerang
As children, most of us are taught that there are consequences to our actions. Some choose to ignore that. The consequences of illegal immigration have contributed greatly to the economic downfall of California. The facts and figures are out there and have been linked to in this thread. The prevailing mindset in California seems to be that they should not have to change their ways, that a better alternative is to let the other 49 states share in the misery that should be theirs and theirs alone. Well I'm not buying into that one.
