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It's official - Saddam was not an imminent threat

Moonbeam

Elite Member
"We know through emails revealed by Hutton that Tony Blair's chief of staff made clear that the dossier was likely to convince those who were prepared to be convinced, but that the document "does nothing to demonstrate he [Saddam Hussein] has the motive to attack his neighbours, let alone the west. We will need to be clear in launching the document that we do not claim that we have evidence that he is an imminent threat. The case we are making is that he has continued to develop WMD since 1998, and is in breach of UN resolutions. The international community has to enforce those resolutions if the UN is to be taken seriously."

I agree completely with Jonathan Powell's conclusion. But it follows from this that there was no need to truncate Dr Blix's inspection process and to divide the security council in order to get to war by a preordained date.

If there was no imminent threat, then Dr Blix could have been given the time he required. He may well have succeeded in ending all Iraq's WMD programmes - just as he succeeded in dismantling 60-plus ballistic missiles. Then sanctions could have been lifted and a concentrated effort made to help the people of Iraq end the dictatorship of Saddam Hussein - just as we did with Milosevic in Serbia.

Or if Blix had failed, we would have been in the position President Chirac described on March 10, when the issue would have come back to the security council. And in Chirac's view, this would have meant UN authorisation of military action."

Link

Of course it was obvious 45 minutes into the war. How we're holding the bag. Countries are backing out of their offers to send troups
 
Give me a break. Blix "ending all Iraq's WMD" programs - hehe😛
"Or if Blix had failed, we would have been in the position President Chirac described on March 10, when the issue would have come back to the security council. And in Chirac's view, this would have meant UN authorisation of military action."
Whatever
rolleye.gif
Like nancyboy would have suddenly changed his mind if nothing changed in Iraq?

Anyway - the 45min thing has been in question for a long time -this article does nothing to prove that Iraq wasn't a threat.

60 missiles destroyed? Wonder why that was....were they banned under the UN resolutions? Sounds like a threat AND a direct violation to me😉 remember..."final opportunity..."

CkG
 
Well, Shurb started a war, had no reason to, except for ego, and until he proves otherwise, he attacked a country that was no threat to us. Saddam violated sanctions? Overtime parking? Smelled bad? All good reasons for the bloodthirsty here. Come on killers, smile 😉
 
Originally posted by: WinstonSmith
Well, Shurb started a war, had no reason to, except for ego, and until he proves otherwise, he attacked a country that was no threat to us. Saddam violated sanctions? Overtime parking? Smelled bad? All good reasons for the bloodthirsty here. Come on killers, smile 😉
Don't forget spotty paperwork. The arch-enemy of bureaucrats everywhere.
 
Originally posted by: WinstonSmith
Well, Shurb started a war, had no reason to, except for ego, and until he proves otherwise, he attacked a country that was no threat to us. Saddam violated sanctions? Overtime parking? Smelled bad? All good reasons for the bloodthirsty here. Come on killers, smile 😉




🙂
 
Originally posted by: CADkindaGUY
Give me a break. Blix "ending all Iraq's WMD" programs - hehe😛
"Or if Blix had failed, we would have been in the position President Chirac described on March 10, when the issue would have come back to the security council. And in Chirac's view, this would have meant UN authorisation of military action."
Whatever
rolleye.gif
Like nancyboy would have suddenly changed his mind if nothing changed in Iraq?

Anyway - the 45min thing has been in question for a long time -this article does nothing to prove that Iraq wasn't a threat.

60 missiles destroyed? Wonder why that was....were they banned under the UN resolutions? Sounds like a threat AND a direct violation to me😉 remember..."final opportunity..."

CkG

As I remember the missiles which were destroyed were said to have a range over the 92km allowed. Iraq claimed they wer within that limit but acquiesced and cooperated in their destruction. Bush decided to invade Iraq while Hans Blix was overseeing their destruction. And Blix' inspections were indeed successful in ending Iraq's WMD program. If he wasn't successful then where is the WMD CkG?

As for the "45 minute thing" you so lightly dismiss. If it was in question "for a long time" why did Blair use it as an excuse to go invade Iraq? Also, in our system it is the accuser who must provide proof of charges. Forget about proving Iraq wasn't a threat, WHERE IS THE PROOF IRAQ WAS A THREAT?

And again, although the range of the missiles destroyed was in question Iraq didn't try to fight Blix on the subject but agreed to have the missiles destroyed. What are you complaining about? Iraq's cooperation? The determination was made by Hans Blix. Whether or not it sounds like a violation to you. Are you more of an expert on the subject than Dr. Blix? Were you there with Dr. Blix inspecting Iraq's weapons? I'll take the word of Hans Blix, an honest man without an agenda, over yours on the subject.
 
Right. Saddam was found driving Iraq with a broken tail light. Bush trumped up the charges like a rural sheriff and pounded some sense into the perp out back behind the Applebee's.
 
Sure, Iraq had 60 missles but so what. Iraq never had any missles that could hit the U.S.A. doesn't sound like a threat to me.

However Iraq was a threat to Israel. Because the U.S. has not found any WMD, or links to al-qaeda, the war was for Bush personally fixing his daddie's mistake, and for Israel.

At the same time North Korea was admitting it has a nuclear program, and was discovered shipping scud missles to
Yemen.


Iraq can just hit Israel, North Korea can land a missle in the U.S.A.
 
...and if we were to hit North Korera, your tune would change to "No War for Sushi!" Believe me, once Bush is re-elected, we are going to tip the evil of its axis.
 
Oh I didn't say it would be a good idea to hit North Korea(they would nuke the U.S.A. and some of that radioctive fallout might blow over to Onatrio). I dont believe the war in Iraq was for oil at all, that is why I mentioned about the war being for the jews(and a bonus for Bush himself, has to fix dad's mistake) oil is a bonus too.

I only mentioned North Korea because N.K. fits the reasoning used in going to war with Iraq. The big difference is the U.S. hasn't been able to back up the majority of their claims, while N.K. admits to having a nuclear program. The C.I.A. suspects that N.K. already has one or two nuclear weapons.
 
1441:
"Recognizing the threat Iraq?s non-compliance with Council resolutions and proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and long-range missiles poses to international peace and security,..."

"...final opportunity..."

"...of all aspects of its programmes to develop weapons of mass destruction and ballistic missiles with a range greater than one hundred and fifty kilometres,..."

"...that the Council has repeatedly warned Iraq that it will face serious consequences as a result of its continued violations of its obligations..."

Yup guess Saddam pulled one over on the UN too
rolleye.gif
You guys crack me up.

CkG
 
What is the shortest distance between Iraq and the U.S.A.? Im guessing more than 150 km. But that is just my opinion, im just a 'member' while you are a 'diamond member'
 
Originally posted by: CADkindaGUY
1441:
"Recognizing the threat Iraq?s non-compliance with Council resolutions and proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and long-range missiles poses to international peace and security,..."

"...final opportunity..."

"...of all aspects of its programmes to develop weapons of mass destruction and ballistic missiles with a range greater than one hundred and fifty kilometres,..."

"...that the Council has repeatedly warned Iraq that it will face serious consequences as a result of its continued violations of its obligations..."

Yup guess Saddam pulled one over on the UN too
rolleye.gif
You guys crack me up.

CkG

So it was up to Bush to trump up evidence and unilaterally decide what those "serious consequences" would be?

The UN did NOT vote to invade Iraq. The serious consequences could have taken any form the member nations of the UN agreed upon. But your president decided to lie to the American people and the world in order to invade Iraq without UN approval.

What part of that don't you understand?

"Right now, Iraq is expanding and improving facilities that were used for the production of biological weapons."
United Nations Address
September 12, 2002
"Iraq has stockpiled biological and chemical weapons, and is rebuilding the facilities used to make more of those weapons."
"We have sources that tell us that Saddam Hussein recently authorized Iraqi field commanders to use chemical weapons -- the very weapons the dictator tells us he does not have."
Radio Address
October 5, 2002
"The Iraqi regime . . . possesses and produces chemical and biological weapons. It is seeking nuclear weapons."
"We know that the regime has produced thousands of tons of chemical agents, including mustard gas, sarin nerve gas, VX nerve gas."
"We've also discovered through intelligence that Iraq has a growing fleet of manned and unmanned aerial vehicles that could be used to disperse chemical or biological weapons across broad areas. We're concerned that Iraq is exploring ways of using these UAVS for missions targeting the United States."
"The evidence indicates that Iraq is reconstituting its nuclear weapons program. Saddam Hussein has held numerous meetings with Iraqi nuclear scientists, a group he calls his "nuclear mujahideen" - his nuclear holy warriors. Satellite photographs reveal that Iraq is rebuilding facilities at sites that have been part of its nuclear program in the past. Iraq has attempted to purchase high-strength aluminum tubes and other equipment needed for gas centrifuges, which are used to enrich uranium for nuclear weapons."
Cincinnati, Ohio Speech
October 7, 2002
"Our intelligence officials estimate that Saddam Hussein had the materials to produce as much as 500 tons of sarin, mustard and VX nerve agent."
State of the Union Address
January 28, 2003
"Intelligence gathered by this and other governments leaves no doubt that the Iraq regime continues to possess and conceal some of the most lethal weapons ever devised."
Address to the Nation
March 17, 2003
 
Originally posted by: povertystruck
Sure, Iraq had 60 missles but so what. Iraq never had any missles that could hit the U.S.A. doesn't sound like a threat to me.

However Iraq was a threat to Israel. Because the U.S. has not found any WMD, or links to al-qaeda, the war was for Bush personally fixing his daddie's mistake, and for Israel.

At the same time North Korea was admitting it has a nuclear program, and was discovered shipping scud missles to
Yemen.


Iraq can just hit Israel, North Korea can land a missle in the U.S.A.

I would also agree Iraq was not a "priority" threat to the US. NK is and should of been dealt with first. I would be very surprised if the NK isuess ends in a non-conflict. I think Bush is more concerned if China would get involved in another Korean war. Which i doubt.

 
I would be surprised if the NK./US. crisis ended in a conflict. NK. has missles that can hit the west coast of the U.S.A. and they probably have a couple of nukes or they are close to their first. So basically I am saying that Nk. has or will have nuclear missles soon. Only a non-military solution is viable.
 
Originally posted by: xxxxxJohnGaltxxxxx
You are really working those quotes tonight, boobdn; nice work, scoop. Hey, one more for the road?

I'll keep posting Bush's lies until every idiot who supports him recognizes them.

"Right now, Iraq is expanding and improving facilities that were used for the production of biological weapons."
United Nations Address
September 12, 2002
"Iraq has stockpiled biological and chemical weapons, and is rebuilding the facilities used to make more of those weapons."
"We have sources that tell us that Saddam Hussein recently authorized Iraqi field commanders to use chemical weapons -- the very weapons the dictator tells us he does not have."
Radio Address
October 5, 2002
"The Iraqi regime . . . possesses and produces chemical and biological weapons. It is seeking nuclear weapons."
"We know that the regime has produced thousands of tons of chemical agents, including mustard gas, sarin nerve gas, VX nerve gas."
"We've also discovered through intelligence that Iraq has a growing fleet of manned and unmanned aerial vehicles that could be used to disperse chemical or biological weapons across broad areas. We're concerned that Iraq is exploring ways of using these UAVS for missions targeting the United States."
"The evidence indicates that Iraq is reconstituting its nuclear weapons program. Saddam Hussein has held numerous meetings with Iraqi nuclear scientists, a group he calls his "nuclear mujahideen" - his nuclear holy warriors. Satellite photographs reveal that Iraq is rebuilding facilities at sites that have been part of its nuclear program in the past. Iraq has attempted to purchase high-strength aluminum tubes and other equipment needed for gas centrifuges, which are used to enrich uranium for nuclear weapons."
Cincinnati, Ohio Speech
October 7, 2002
"Our intelligence officials estimate that Saddam Hussein had the materials to produce as much as 500 tons of sarin, mustard and VX nerve agent."
State of the Union Address
January 28, 2003
"Intelligence gathered by this and other governments leaves no doubt that the Iraq regime continues to possess and conceal some of the most lethal weapons ever devised."
Address to the Nation
March 17, 2003
 
Originally posted by: povertystruck
I would be surprised if the NK./US. crisis ended in a conflict. NK. has missles that can hit the west coast of the U.S.A. and they probably have a couple of nukes or they are close to their first. So basically I am saying that Nk. has or will have nuclear missles soon. Only a non-military solution is viable.

Their guidance systems are pretty unreliable. it is reported they now "could" have 1-2 N.bombs (US arsenal 5000+ IIRC). Their best bet for a 100% target hit would be SK or Japan. Kim knows that using nuclear weapons at this stage would quickly end the war in our favor without a doubt. With a pre-emptive tactical strike on NK targets i believe the war wouldnt last long. Simply because NK doesnt have the resources to sustain a long war. You must study all options.

 
first of all screw the UN they are useless. 1441 did call for serious consequences if the violations continued but the UN still wanted the inspectors to roam around.

Secondly, when we invaded vietnam it wasnt a "threat" but because there was no support for the war communisim was able to spread thus creating the current problem we have with north korea. Even if saddam didn't have nuclear capabilities before the war left uncheck coul dhave allowed him to make a program much like north korea's.

im not saying bush is the man cause he's not but the war was justified weather or not you want to accept it. and it doesnt matter what one person said the reasons were. and if they lied so they lied its not like any politician tells the truth anyway. Clinton is a perfect example for all you lib's.
 
Once Nk. builds more nukes than they can test one and when the world sees that they have working nukes than the terrorists will buy nukes from NK. The U.S. is actually thinking about using mini-nukes, NK. could build those too(easier to sell). They wouldn't nuke SK. if they were going to nuke anyone it would be Japan or maybe the U.S., Nk hates Japan more than any oher country.


Their guidance system will get better, just a s the range of their missles will get better.
 
It seems to me that the issue of the thread has been diverted away from arguing about the substance of MB's post wherein the fellow is saying the case for war in Iraq is very weak and it was embellished beyond a reasonable interpretation of the Intel. It further appears that the article's argument has been borne out by the results of the 'search'. A reasonable person would have to agree with the thrust of the post's assertion. An unreasonable person would have to resort to tangential illogic to refute it, it seems to me.
In what manner is what the article's thrust made faulty? Or is all the focus back on 1441 and the inferred right to invade that required the 'willing' to choose Article 51 instead...

edit... it's late and I said Hutton... meant the article..
 
First off - the "inspectors" weren't there to end "all Iraq's WMD programmes" - they were there to make sure Saddam HAD ended all of them. Blix wasn't there to destroy Missiles - he was there to make sure Saddam had destroyed all his missiles. Clearly Saddam had not done these thing, not to mention the other pieces of the compliance puzzle that weren't in order. So as to the threat issue, Saddam clearly was a threat as defined and stated by the UN. In 687 it put terms in place to secure the region and provide int'l peace. So it only stands to reason that Saddam was a threat, and did have the weapons capable of causing an imminent threat. To think otherwise would defy conventional logic. Now one could argue that Blix(the hero) destroyed all 60 of Iraqs missiles that exceeded the limit, but conventional wisdom would dictate that it likely wasn't the case. Now, conventional wisdom and logic have been wrong and could be wrong, but should we not err on the side of caution when the person in question is a Murderer?

Bah, since when were logic, reasoning, and wisdom a part of politics?😛 I guess Bush is a disaster, he is a Liar, he is the master scammer who pull the wool over the entire world's eyes...except for BOBDN, Luny, Moony, Bowfinger, DealMonkey, Chirac, and that ninny from Germany, plus maybe a few others. Yep you 7+ were right - congrats - you win 😀

CkG
 
Originally posted by: AEB
first of all screw the UN they are useless. 1441 did call for serious consequences if the violations continued but the UN still wanted the inspectors to roam around.

Secondly, when we invaded vietnam it wasnt a "threat" but because there was no support for the war communisim was able to spread thus creating the current problem we have with north korea. Even if saddam didn't have nuclear capabilities before the war left uncheck coul dhave allowed him to make a program much like north korea's.

im not saying bush is the man cause he's not but the war was justified weather or not you want to accept it. and it doesnt matter what one person said the reasons were. and if they lied so they lied its not like any politician tells the truth anyway. Clinton is a perfect example for all you lib's.

North Korea was communist long before we invaded Viet Nam - based on lies as the invasion of Iraq was. You're still defending Viet Nam 3 decades after it was proven to be a mistake. Little wonder Bush had such and easy time convincing Americans with his lies this time around.

And if the reasons for war don't matter we have one hell of a problem. By that standard any nation can go to war at any time for no reason. Ridiculous. Except for the fact that this is exactly what Bush did.

If lies don't matter WTF is the point? If lies don't matter why do conservatives still insist their failed impeachment, which put our nation through such trauma, was justified?

The UN is useless? There are people working at the UN who dedicate their lives, and sacrifice them, to help improve the world. And you claim they are useless. What have you done in your life that qualifies you to call them useless? Shame.

From the NY Times

'I Should Always Believe Journalists,' He Said, Adding: 'Please Pray for Me.'
By STEVEN ERLANGER

One, a Brazilian, looked like Hollywood's notion of a diplomat ? slender, graying, elegant, with a touch of an accent in the many languages he spoke. One, an Egyptian, was a hard-living, hard-drinking, hard-smoking, hard-thinking specialist in managing chaos.

Both died on Tuesday in Baghdad, crushed under the rubble of the Canal Hotel, the makeshift headquarters of the United Nations in Iraq. Over the years, both had been transformed, in that strange and careful dance of journalists and sources, into cherished friends of mine.

The Brazilian, Sergio Vieira de Mello, 55, and the Egyptian, Nadia Younes, 57, were career employees of that United Nations bureaucracy cheerfully despised by so many Americans. Yet they were in Baghdad, very reluctantly, in the service of a war the United Nations Security Council refused to sanction, trying to organize the post-war mess and help the Americans and the British create a new, democratic life for Iraqis.

They were, along with two dozen other United Nations workers and international aid specialists, victims of an organized effort to drive the Americans and the other "infidels" out of Iraq.

I knew both for a long time. They served in some of the world's least salubrious places, where local need and geopolitics intersected. They worked to bring a modicum of peace and comfort to the afflicted, a measure of sense to the overlords, a dose of justice to the victims. But only a measure ? they were realists, even cynics, about what could be done in the deep, dusty fissures of national struggle and ethnic conflict.

They were critics of governments and of their own politicized bureaucracy, amusing about the obsessions of the Security Council and the reluctance of member countries to pay for the adventures they so blithely undertook.

Sergio and Nadia took life as it found them, and tried to improve it for others. In that sense, they did believe in something: international law, a form of slow amelioration, a sense that a post-cold war world could have a less violent and rapacious future.

I met Sergio in Southeast Asia, soon after I became Bangkok bureau chief for this newspaper in 1988. He was working for the United Nations high commissioner for refugees, as he had done since 1969, and was deeply engaged in both the problem of the Vietnamese boat people, who were fleeing the oppression and poverty of their homeland for a dream of America, and the enormous emotional and social scars of the Pol Pot years in Cambodia.

It was in Southeast Asia then that I began to perceive the increasing influence of the United Nations and its cousins, the nongovernmental organizations ? human-rights advocates, church groups, foundations and professional aid workers ? filling the gaps in ravaged places where shrinking foreign-aid budgets did not reach. Southeast Asia created its own network of obsessives and fanatics and friends, like the Balkans, where Sergio also served.

When Slobodan Milosevic finally capitulated to NATO's bombing campaign in 1999 and pulled Serbian army and police out of the province of Kosovo, Sergio was sent in by Kofi Annan, the United Nations Secretary General, to run the place.

I was already in Pristina, Kosovo's dreary capital, before NATO troops arrived, having secured myself a "suite" in the Grand Hotel, which we regarded as a five-star establishment ? four of them dead, the last blinking. The place was full of angry Serbs, some guilty, many drunk, most of them armed. I gave Sergio his first bed in "liberated" Kosovo, on a cheap couch covered with pink nylon upholstery, when he arrived as the world's plenipotentiary.

The United Nations hadn't a plan: the Americans and British had wanted the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe to run Kosovo, only hadn't won the war decisively enough to achieve that, and Mr. Milosevic was able to throw the future of Kosovo into the hands of the United Nations Security Council, where Serbia had allies. So Sergio was himself thrown into Pristina, into the confusion, to try to create the semblance of an administration.

But he knew he would never get to keep the job, which he would have done wonderfully. He was a Portuguese-speaking Brazilian. Kosovo is, after a fashion, Europe. He knew the politics of the United Nations and the Security Council. He was sure the job would go to a Frenchman.

And so it did, to Bernard Kouchner, the foreign aid activist and former health minister of France, and Sergio was later given another dusty, broken hellhole to run ? East Timor, once colonized by the Portuguese and then the Indonesians.

With Mr. Kouchner came Nadia Younes, the French-speaking, American-educated, Puccini-loving Egyptian, whom Kofi Annan trusted to keep the emotional Mr. Kouchner on line and on course. A former chief of protocol for the United Nations, she was anything but prim.

In long conversations over neat whiskey, marked by scores of cigarettes, sometimes in a cold, blacked-out Kosovo, even in the United Nations headquarters that was once the seat of Belgrade's administration in Pristina, Nadia was, above all, honest about what was possible and what was not.

Blunt, refreshingly cynical, she spoke openly about the realities of Kosovo: the criminality of the Kosovo Liberation Army; the fraud of its "transformation" into a supposedly disarmed civilian conservation corps; the hapless optimism of the Clinton administration; the endless reluctance of the Security Council to finance its responsibilities in Kosovo; the wounded, malign nationalism of the local Serbs; the reverse ethnic cleansing of the province, with most Serbs and Roma and even Muslim, non-Albanian minorities, like the Gorani, pushed out by the ethnic Albanians; the lawlessness of the province, with 80-year-old women murdered in their apartments and no one arrested; the fecklessness of much of the United Nations' own initial efforts.

So why did she persist? Because she thought it mattered. Because she was horrified by what had come before, under Mr. Milosevic. Because it was vital to her that the United Nations not be seen to fail.

Nadia would often have dinner with Mr. Kouchner and French-speaking staff and visitors; Mr. Kouchner is a deft hand at spaghetti. The conversation was extremely funny, especially about the habits and proclivities of the American, British, German and Italian soldiers and diplomats who made up KFOR, the NATO-led army that patrolled the province and generally worked to avoid confrontation with anyone.

Later, after I published a long, frank interview with the head of the Kosovo office of the United Nations high commissioner for refugees, Dennis McNamara, the reaction from United Nations headquarters was appalled. Nadia was asked to refute the article. She couldn't, she told her bosses; all the criticisms were true.

Sergio did such a good job in East Timor that in September of last year, Mr. Annan made him the high commissioner for human rights in Geneva. But the Bush administration, impressed by his professionalism and his acuity, wanted him for post-war Iraq, as Mr. Annan's special representative. Some saw him as Mr. Annan's successor.

Sergio did not want to go to Baghdad. He didn't support the unsanctioned war; he was anxious about the post-war climate; he had personal commitments. We exchanged a number of e-mails about the possibility of his taking the job, and nearly until the day it was announced, and despite my warning to him that he would find himself forced to take the job, he refused to believe he would have to do it. "I can't seriously drop my current (eight-month-old) job and go off on another adventure," he wrote me. "Moreover, the mandate, as far as I can tell, does not look right to me."

But he finally did agree to go, understanding the importance of the task, the need to help the Anglo-Saxons finish what they started in Iraq. He brought Nadia to Baghdad to be his chief of staff.

The day he was named, on May 27, he e-mailed me. "I should always believe journalists!" he said, remembering my warning. "But it's only for four months." He looked forward to a drink in my new apartment, but he was very troubled.

He ended: "All the very best, my friend, and please pray for me."

Sergio and Nadia lived lives of sacrifice and substance. Their deaths both shame and mock the armchair warriors, the television talk-show mudwrestlers, the pontificators, the manipulators and the simplifiers. Their deaths are a reminder that imperium, no matter how benign its intent, is never altruistic, and calls forth its own responses. And their lives are a reminder that it is just possible to do some small good in this rank, sorry, blood-drenched world.

 
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