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So you say, but we are talking about the prediction of Shemon Peres on this thread.
Not only have some of my predictions proven right, and more are likely to become true in the future, but regardless, my predictive ability or lack of it does not in any way drive the future of any mid-east considerations.
One prediction - the fact the Egypt would open the gates. However, it took a long while and were opened/closed multiple times in the process. It was not after you predicted but months later, unrelated to the original events.
- Blockade runners - Nope
- Turkey providing armed escorts - Nope
- Economic embargo by the world - Nope
- Palestinian state by 9/2001 - Not likely
- Palestinians choosing peace over conflict - Nope
- Head guy in Gaza irrelevant- Nope
- Israel crawling to the US - Nope
there may be a few others that I have missed.
You problem is that you do not understand the Middle Eastern mentality, but choose to apply your western values to their concepts.
Its why I have to somewhat shake my head at Israeli fan clubbers, who for some unknown reason feel if they can somehow prove my predictive ability is zero, they can be assured that Israel will retain disputed land forever.
Talk about sticking pins into the wrong Voodoo doll, Israel has to worry about the positions of the quartet, Turkey, and most of all, the stupidity and possible over reaction of Netanyuhu and his nutty settler parties. But honorable mention to the Kadima party who will likely drive the Israeli agenda once the Netanyuhu skate on thin ice coalition falls.
I more regard this whole Israel Palestinian question as a very long chess game now entering the end game. What Netanyuhu did in his speech to the US congress has gotten
Israel stuck in a new rut and a new road. And now Israel will have to give Netanyuhu the ole heave ho, or Israel may, as Peres warns, lose their identity as a Jewish State in the end.
But still in a chess game, its important to note that a major move occurred, and the rest of the world will change as a result. With Israel losing a range of options they had before and now have lost.
As I noted I have deliberately refrained from posting new Israeli threads, but I still feel convinced what Peres said is significant. Even if what Peres said has been said before but now Peres can say it with greater clarity. There will be new significant moves between now and even September, but until they happen they are not worth postings.