Isaac... part deux. Or is it part trois? Guess who found his way back to the GOMEX

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weadjust

Senior member
Mar 28, 2004
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531017_545427508790_1534817024_n.jpg
 

BUTCH1

Lifer
Jul 15, 2000
20,433
1,769
126
After one has ridden out a Cat 4 or 5 storms, pretenders now of this size become of little concern. You already have everything planned for. Open up a beer and watch the fool's.

Just like the upstate NY people hunker down for the blizzard that comes through once or twice s sesson and get up the next day with hot coffee and the tractors fired up to clear the drive and roads.

No big deal

Charley was a cat 1 storm that got to cat 4-5 in a VERY short time, THEN veered off track, the eye passed within 4 miles of my house, we got some 90 MPH blasts, power out 6 days. I stood on my porch, facing west and watched the grid get pummeled (multiple transformer pops) as the storm approached, one hell of a light show until it got to us and we went dark, the suckage started...
 

EagleKeeper

Discussion Club Moderator<br>Elite Member
Staff member
Oct 30, 2000
42,589
5
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Crap. Are refineries shutting down and we're going to have to deal with higher gas prices?

rigs are being evaced. Refineries will shut down when it gets within a day on land.

Prices went up $0.04 last week when track was identified (possibly?) and up $0.02 this AM in Philly area.
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
rigs are being evaced. Refineries will shut down when it gets within a day on land.

Prices went up $0.04 last week when track was identified (possibly?) and up $0.02 this AM in Philly area.

8-27-2012

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-...upports-extra-growth-measures.html?cmpid=yhoo

Gasoline Jumps With Crude Oil Futures on Supply Threats



Gasoline climbed to the highest in almost four months and oil gained the most in a week after a refinery explosion in Venezuela killed 39 people and Tropical Storm Isaac shut rigs in the Gulf of Mexico.



About 24 percent of U.S. oil production and 8.2 percent of natural gas output from the Gulf of Mexico has been halted as Isaac strengthened.



“The market is reacting to this temporary supply risk” for gasoline and oil, said Carsten Fritsch, an analyst at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt. “The temporary shutdown of refineries in the Gulf will also lower gasoline supplies.”
 

DrPizza

Administrator Elite Member Goat Whisperer
Mar 5, 2001
49,601
167
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www.slatebrookfarm.com
Based on all the evidence I've seen that the meteorologists are using, (along with their opinions), Cat 1 at landfall at best. Winds will not be an issue.

The big issue is, people in drought stricken areas are thinking, "ahhh, at last, rain!" But, the ground is so dry & so much rain is going to hit that there are going to be a lot of flash flood problems. Look at the damage Irene did last year with the flash flooding... (that wasn't due to drought, but rather simply the amount of rain.) Isaac is too big to really intensify that much. But, so big that a lot of rain is going to fall.
 

dmcowen674

No Lifer
Oct 13, 1999
54,889
47
91
www.alienbabeltech.com
The big issue is, people in drought stricken areas are thinking, "ahhh, at last, rain!" But, the ground is so dry & so much rain is going to hit that there are going to be a lot of flash flood problems. Look at the damage Irene did last year with the flash flooding... (that wasn't due to drought, but rather simply the amount of rain.) Isaac is too big to really intensify that much. But, so big that a lot of rain is going to fall.

It will track between a high to the west and one in the Ohio Valley that is sliding south preventing it from doing the normal curve to the East Coast.

Even Chicago and Detroit could see a good deal of rain from this.

But then again ATOT weather experts swear that clouds don't go that far.
 

squirrel dog

Diamond Member
Oct 10, 1999
5,564
48
91
this will be hurricane # 21 for me.Cat 1 storms can ruin your week,if they stall. Gustave chewed on La for three days it seemed like.It's all cool until they power goes out,then even if you have a genset,it's the gas can thing.
 

DrPizza

Administrator Elite Member Goat Whisperer
Mar 5, 2001
49,601
167
111
www.slatebrookfarm.com
Looking at Key West radar at 4pm EST it looks now to be a Hurricane.

Let's see... you called it a hurricane yesterday at 4pm. It's 20 hours later and still NOT a hurricane. Everyone knows it's going to become a hurricane. You'll get it right sooner or later. :p :p

My wife had the weather channel on a little while ago. Holy shit, it's amazing how much the media is hoping for this to become a Katrina II. It's not. Katrina had 185 mph winds at its peak; this has 70mph winds. Katrina's pressure reached almost 900; this is still above 980. And more importantly, Katrina had a HUGE storm surge that this one will not. LOL at the comparison; but that comparison is almost non-stop on television (and a couple people in this thread have made that comparison.)

This one won't have super-destructive winds. The problem with this one will be the flash flooding. Hey, they prayed for rain; be careful what you wish for!
 

JoeyP

Senior member
Aug 2, 2012
386
2
0
Can we all agree that people in this hurricane's path have been given ample warning?