Isaac... part deux. Or is it part trois? Guess who found his way back to the GOMEX

[DrPizza]

Haven't had a hurricane prediction thread in about a year. Dave seems to have dropped the ball. Hurricane Isaac? Florida?? Seems that last year at this time, it was Irene in almost the same place. Cat 1-2.

Make your predictions - which name will strike mainland, and storm strength.

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edit update: this thing *might* explode in the next 48 hours. Watch out Gulf Coast.

Sept 5 edit: Lucy! I'm home! Look who's back in the gulf, with the potential to strengthen again. Some of the models predict passing over Florida, some into the other Gulf states. Most have him moving along some erratic paths all over the place, while potentially strengthening. Might become a tropical depression or tropical storm again. Or... who knows?

 

[DrPizza]

Yooohoooo!
Is that an (H) I see a couple days out, around the time Florida is just East of the center of its predicted path?
http://www.weather.com/weather/hurricanecentral/tracker/2012/isaac

Edit, and for what it's worth, it will probably be *hurricane* Isaac when it strikes US mainland somewhere.
Meh, unedit. Unless it stays a little south, the path stays too much over Cuba for too long. Warm water though, but won't have much time to restrengthen. It's not very well organized now.

I saw that H on Weather Channel & jumped the gun. Bah, rain for Florida, rain for Miss., Ala., and Georgia.

 

[Anubis]

hopefully they don't cancel the repub convention and the hurricane kills them all

 

[nanette1985]

hopefully they don't cancel the repub convention and the hurricane kills them all

No, not kills them - that would be a bit much. But If I were a repub I'd be worried with how the government dealt with the victims of that little storm over in new orleans.

 

[DrPizza]

hopefully they don't cancel the repub convention and the hurricane kills them all

Hey, maybe it WILL turn into a hurricane. Isaac is just God's way of saying, "to the dozen of you who claimed I called on you to run for President, I did NOT."

Heyyyyy... I wonder if I could write it up in a clever way on Facebook for people to repost. "Hurricane Isaac is heading directly at Tampa, just in time for the Republican Convention, as God's way of punishing Republicans. Repent now."

No... that would never work. I've deleted all the idiots who repost that crap.

 

[Jeeebus]

Hurricane party at Jebus'. All local ATOT members get choice sleeping arrangements with the danes.

 

[Destiny]

I'm watching the Pacific Typhoons (Typhoon/Cylone = Pacific Hurricanes)... They're much bigger than Atlantic Hurricanes too!

China and Taiwan (South East Asia) are getting pounded like whores this Typhoon season D::

One hit last weekend and is over Vietnam right now (now a tropical depression) and killed about a dozen people in its path, one is over Taiwan, and another bigger one is coming up from behind!

 

[Franz316]

It looks like it is having some trouble getting organized and with Cuba's mountains I doubt it will get past a category 1. It just means some heavy rain and steady wind for Florida.

 

[mmntech]

I'll see what the meteorologists at The Weather Network say about it. I work out of the same building as they do. Let them out of their cage for a bit.

 

[TastesLikeChicken]

Unless something changes I don't see this storm threatening Florida other than possibly some minor winds. imo, it's going to go further west than current forecasts predict and may not even interact with Hispanolia. The mid-level trough that forecasters were looking at to steer this storm more northerly looks to be fading over Florida. That should allow the subtropical ridge to reassert some influence over the storm and help it to continue on a more westerly path. The remains of Joyce also look to be merging with an upper-level low to the northwest and that system could also be further reinforcement to keep Issac on a more westerly path for a couple of days.

 

[Sluggo]

hopefully they don't cancel the repub convention and the hurricane kills them all

I too wish all the people in the world who don't agree with my particular brand of insanity would die.

 

[Rhoxed]

I don't know about you all, but I'm hoping it misses me.

 

[dmcowen674]

Haven't had a hurricane prediction thread in about a year. Dave seems to have dropped the ball. Hurricane Isaac? Florida?? Seems that last year at this time, it was Irene in almost the same place. Cat 1-2.

Make your predictions - which name will strike mainland, and storm strength.

I was reserving saying anything on it until it makes it over Hispanola and Cuba.

If it survives it will re-generate off Naples and head to Biloxi area, similar to Katrina but so far no indication of making it to Cat 5.

We'll see once it gets close to Naples.

 

[weadjust]

The stories about Jim Cantore checking in at the Hard Rock in Biloxi are just that, stories.

The famous meteorologist with The Weather Channel was still in Atlanta on Friday afternoon, keeping tabs on Tropical Storm Isaac.

A spokesman for TWC said the company hasn't decided yet where Cantore will be waiting for Isaac to make landfall.

David Blumenthal said anytime there is a tropical system, TWC gets calls that Cantore has been spotted. Because it happens so often, the company made this video spoofing viewers' reactions to Cantore.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48r4IQTB3NE

 

[DrPizza]

edit: Nope. Forecasted track changed for what will be Kirk.

 

[DrPizza]

Holy shit - is anyone paying attention to the potential Isaac has? It's a strong tropical storm; and will affect Florida. BUT, most of the models are now showing it as running further to the west. Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, look out. It's not out of the question for Isaac to go right up the bay into New Orleans. And conditions are excellent for Isaac to strengthen significantly. Some of the models are calling for Cat 3 or more.

 

[TastesLikeChicken]

Things are changing by the hour with this system and there are all kinds of steering factors in play. The NHC came to agreement with my previous claim that the storm would take a more westerly track but I see that changing because the upper-/mid-level low in the central Atlantic is moving away so it will be exerting less influence and I now predict it will go more northerly and easterly than the currently NHC track.

 

[allisolm]

Holy shit - is anyone paying attention to the potential Isaac has?

I guarantee you I am. Right now I'm glad they've moved the projected path a bit west, although we will still be on that nasty northeast side. Lots of rain, flooding, power outages expected at the very least in Tallahassee.

 

[BUTCH1]

Things are changing by the hour with this system and there are all kinds of steering factors in play. The NHC came to agreement with my previous claim that the storm would take a more westerly track but I see that changing because the upper-/mid-level low in the central Atlantic is moving away so it will be exerting less influence and I now predict it will go more northerly and easterly than the currently NHC track.

I kinda agree with this, I'm in Daytona so I'm watching close. Thing is we've had rain like 10 out of the last 11 days, the ground is really, really saturated right now, throw in a "8 rain event in one day and we're fucked with the flooding.
Here is a link to the best radar around IMO, http://www.wesh.com/weather/radar

 

[vi edit]

My sister is in Pensacola and freaking out. Debbie missed them earlier this year but Isaac(My son's name, heh) looks to be a quite a larger threat.

 

[DAPUNISHER]

I guarantee you I am. Right now I'm glad they've moved the projected path a bit west, although we will still be on that nasty northeast side. Lots of rain, flooding, power outages expected at the very least in Tallahassee.

Hang in there. Hopefully it will not be too bad where you are. We will be getting some feeder band action here shortly in Brevard. We should not see Hurricane winds though.

 

[Rubycon]

Here is a link to the best radar around IMO, http://www.wesh.com/weather/radar

Best free radar!

http://weather.cod.edu/buildmap/nexrad_build.php

 

[Herr Kutz]

Damn, I guess using my amazon prime trial to get an SSD in 2 days is out of the question.

FML

 

[MontyAC]

I'm watching the Pacific Typhoons (Typhoon/Cylone = Pacific Hurricanes)... They're much bigger than Atlantic Hurricanes too!

China and Taiwan (South East Asia) are getting pounded like whores this Typhoon season D::

One hit last weekend and is over Vietnam right now (now a tropical depression) and killed about a dozen people in its path, one is over Taiwan, and another bigger one is coming up from behind!

Wow, those storms look real nasty. Hate to be in their shoes.

 

[Capt Caveman]

Holy shit - is anyone paying attention to the potential Isaac has? It's a strong tropical storm; and will affect Florida. BUT, most of the models are now showing it as running further to the west. Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, look out. It's not out of the question for Isaac to go right up the bay into New Orleans. And conditions are excellent for Isaac to strengthen significantly. Some of the models are calling for Cat 3 or more.

Yeah, just heard that it's headed straight for New Orleans and will be stronger than Katrina. They're deciding now if they're going to evacuate the city.