Once and for all, I would like to make it really clear that those of you in this thread who are defending Taiwan as a sovereign country need a serious reality check.
First off, I would like to make it really clear that I grew up in Taiwan and the Republic of China means a lot more to me than the People's Republic of China ever will. However, the pro-independence ideology simply is not realistic nor will it ever work.
I'm currently taking a class on Chinese prison camps since Mao Zedong took over. While Mao has been a cruel, totalitarian dictator and killed thousands upon thousands of political prisoners, his rule propelled China in to the modern age. There is no doubt that China now holds leverage on every major country in the world. The US trade deficit with China is in the billions and can ill afford to have China as its enemy. China's purchasing power is significant leverage on its European counterparts. China has withheld its multi billion dollar order of the Airbus A380 superjet as leverage for Europe to lift its arms ban on China following the Tiananmen Square Massacre in 1989. German car companies are investing billions in China to produce car manufacturing plants. Mercedes, VW already have plants set up with more companies sure to follow.
China is far from perfect, its human rights record is an atrocity, but compare it with the way it was just 20 years ago, the improvement is extraordinary. Yes China is still a communist government, but its economy is, for all intents and purposes, a free market, capitalist economy. It's state wide censorship, while still in place, is lax compared to what it was just a few years. You can even get CNN, BBC, ESPN at any home for the right price.
Since the United States abandoned formal ties with Taiwan and established diplomatic ties with China, Taiwan has had the scales tipped against her. China's economy has grown stronger and stronger while Taiwan's economy has been stagnant to say the least. Taiwanese businessmen numbering in the millions have already taken their businesses to the mainland because it is far more profitable there than it is in Taiwan. Taiwan's money diplomacy simply does not work anymore. The only countries that recognize Taiwan as a country are miniscule, insignificant countries in the Caribean, South America, and Africa. The only reason they recognize Taiwan is million Taiwan has pledged to them. However, for every million Taiwan gives, China is giving ten million and buying products from them with their enormous demands for more products. More and more of these countries are beginning to abandon Taiwan and establish diplomatic ties with China.
Taiwan has everything to lose and nothing to gain from declaring independence from China. If Taiwan declares independence, China would attack and Taiwan would not stand a chance. Bush has already said that if President Chen contradicts Bush and insists on declaring independence, the United States will not have an obligation to defend Taiwan. If Taiwan were to reunited with China, the people that would benefit most from this will be people like us on Anandtech. Think about it, Asus, Gigabyte, Shuttle, Aopen, ECS and many others are all based in Taiwan, yet they have outsourced a good amount of the manufacturing process to China due to its cheap labor. If Taiwan were to reunited, the direct trade routes will be open and all the tech companies will be able to produce all the lastest and greatest computer hardware and ship it out to us faster and cheaper. It's a win-win situation. The People's Republic of China has evolved over the years to the modern era and managed to avoid following the footsteps of the Soviet Union. There's is no reason to assume it will not continue to do so.