Is off-world colonization a reality, or just sci-fi?

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Pocatello

Diamond Member
Oct 11, 1999
9,754
2
76
Why the hell would people want to settle on Mars? Demon spawns are waiting for us up there! According to the Doom universe that is.
 

CZroe

Lifer
Jun 24, 2001
24,195
857
126
Why the hell would people want to settle on Mars? Demon spawns are waiting for us up there! According to the Doom universe that is.
No. Those are on the two moons. Even then, they are actually in Hell as long as we don't do anything stupid, like try to open a portal between the two moons or something.
 

njdevilsfan87

Platinum Member
Apr 19, 2007
2,342
265
126
I've wondered how different our race would be if Venus and/or Mars had very similar conditions to Earth. I assume we would have colonized the neighboring planet by now, and been much more space oriented. The other position is the conditions of the home planet. Because the conditions of Earth are so perfect, there's little desire to leave. But if we had something in between say the current Earth and Mars, we'd maybe be a little bit more interested in leaving (or maybe not as we'd be evolved to those conditions).

I'm guessing having a habitable neighbor nearby has a huge impact on how quickly, or even whether or not a species can conquer space. We don't have that habitable neighbor (Mars is not habitable without a significant amount of work). We do at least the moon though, which is probably the only reason we're even going to have a chance at it. Without it we would never ventured out, and it also provides as a potential significant cost reducing launchpad in the future. And Mars will be doable with its water locked up under its surface.

It's probably good for the sake of other civilizations that we don't have a true Earth-like neighbor. If we did, we'd remain reckless in resource consumption while obtaining the ability to travel space. Or if another species evolved on the neighbor, I'm sure there would be planetary wars and the victor would claim both. We'd certainly turn into an evil type of alien species that is only out to conquer and take other planets. But because we don't have another Earth right next door, we need to figure other things out. :thumbsup:

And I suppose the 2nd part of this question would be, if you believe we could do it, do we have the time and resources to pull it off before we can no longer survive on this rock?
Unfortunately no. I think the furthest we get is colonies on Mars. But those colonies are still going to be dependent on Earth. If Earth goes than so will everything else that we have setup in the solar system. I hope I am wrong.
 
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moonbogg

Lifer
Jan 8, 2011
10,731
3,440
136
I bet people will go through all the work of eventually colonizing mars, and when things really start to get going nicely, earth and mars will go to war and everything will be ruined because people are fucking stupid.
 

ImpulsE69

Lifer
Jan 8, 2010
14,946
1,077
126
I bet people will go through all the work of eventually colonizing mars, and when things really start to get going nicely, earth and mars will go to war and everything will be ruined because people are fucking stupid.

That will only happen if someone finds something of value there...or god hiding under a rock.

I suppose if we did manage to colonize Mars, then our next logical stop might be Europa? I'm still a bit uncertain if the things they are saying about Europa are just wishful thinking.

I agree about the Voyager probes. Simply amazing that they are still out there and still sending data back.
 

moonbogg

Lifer
Jan 8, 2011
10,731
3,440
136
That will only happen if someone finds something of value there...or god hiding under a rock.

I suppose if we did manage to colonize Mars, then our next logical stop might be Europa? I'm still a bit uncertain if the things they are saying about Europa are just wishful thinking.

I agree about the Voyager probes. Simply amazing that they are still out there and still sending data back.

Its easy to see it happen. At first, mars colonies will be like precious little babies and everyone will care for them and help them succeed for the sake of progress. But later, like much later after mars is now boring and things become business as usual, conflicts of interest will arise, and they will spiral out of control. Then, eventually, conflict will come.
When a person is new, learning, and weak, someone stronger is unlikely to attack them, especially if they helped them to learn and grow. But eventually they will grow up and become a competing force. That would be sad, but I wouldn't be surprised at all. Interplanetary politics is guaranteed at some point.
 

JEDIYoda

Lifer
Jul 13, 2005
33,986
3,321
126
Actually the moon gig will never happen....

http://alien-ufo-research.com/alien_moon_bases/

It isn't well known that the Governments have been covering up the fact the aliens have bases on the moon. There are many facts, Pictures, videos, satellite images, and testimonies that create hard evidence of this fact. From well known respected scientists, Astronauts, and military personal we gain a pretty define perspective on this subject.

Secret Alien Moon Base


First we have this video here which is part of the disclosure project that starts off with a women talking to Military personnel about an image from space that has an Unidentified Flying object in it. She asks, "is that a UFO" and he answered, "I'm not allowed to tell you that". Now we know that he could have even said yes because a UFO doesn't stand for some alien ship it simply means an Unidentified Flying object. But he instead says it's privileged information. When she asks what he`s going to do with this extraordinary information he replies, "it's procedure to air brush these images out before we release them to the public".

Next we have a man sergeant Karl Wolfe in the video, that was brought to Langley air force base where the NSA (National Security Agency) was bringing in information and pictures from the lunar orbiter. At that point one of the Officers said that they had found a base on the back side of the moon. Afterwords sergeant Karl Wolfe was shown images of the base from large towers to spherical domes over half a mile in diameter on a section of the dark side of the moon. He immediately stopped looking at the moon base pictures fearing for his safety. These are real Military personnel not just people off the street. They came forward knowing that they and their family's would be at risk just so they could reveal to the public the truth about UFOs and alien moon bases.
 

mikeford

Diamond Member
Jan 27, 2001
5,671
160
106
Lots of smart sci fi authors have thought about this, consensus is that a moon base is key to lots of other off Earth options. The moon has ice, is totally stable with no moon quakes, no atmosphere so efficient means can be used for surface launching, and its full of raw materials.

Once you have the moon base you can create much of the support items, metals and food for everything else.

OTOH it seems unlikely anybody would be making round trips other than emergencies due to the cost transport and effects of low gravity.

Go / no go, is purely a question of political use of money.
 

vi edit

Elite Member
Super Moderator
Oct 28, 1999
62,484
8,345
126
Lots of smart sci fi authors have thought about this, consensus is that a moon base is key to lots of other off Earth options. The moon has ice, is totally stable with no moon quakes, no atmosphere so efficient means can be used for surface launching, and its full of raw materials.

Wonder how much "stuff" you can remove from the moon before it starts eff'ing with Earth given the various impacts it has on us.
 

moonbogg

Lifer
Jan 8, 2011
10,731
3,440
136
Actually the moon gig will never happen....

(snip)...

I can do you one better...

Year: 3240
Location: Earth/Mars Rendezvous Outpost A

The leader of the FPC (Free Planetary Coalition) boards his craft and embarks on a risky recon mission, with the public watching him, in an attempt to locate elements of a Mars rebellion sabotage team. The public understands his background and realizes that he still loves doing high risk missions, despite being the most valued member and leader of the FPC. They worry for his safety.
25 minutes into the mission, an unidentified craft intercepts and surprises the FPC leader, totally catching him off guard. His heart skips a beat, especially realizing that he did not transfer this thought patters for the entire previous month to the data center, so should anything happen to him, there is critical information stored in his brain that will be lost, putting many critical missions at extreme risk.
The unidentified craft makes themselves known to the FPC leader. Is it a Rebel ship? Perhaps an extra solar adversary? No. Its his old war buddy! He is relieved to see that its his friend, and according to his brazen character, he's right on time and arrived in perfect fashion. He expresses concern that NEITHER of them had taken the time to complete their pattern uploads, but they both laugh it off and venture out to complete the mission together, just like old times.
The anxious public cheers them both on. Its an exciting time to be a citizen of the FPC with such an exciting leader.
That leader's name....is MOONBOGG.
 

CZroe

Lifer
Jun 24, 2001
24,195
857
126
Actually the moon gig will never happen....

http://alien-ufo-research.com/alien_moon_bases/

It isn't well known that the Governments have been covering up the fact the aliens have bases on the moon. There are many facts, Pictures, videos, satellite images, and testimonies that create hard evidence of this fact. From well known respected scientists, Astronauts, and military personal we gain a pretty define perspective on this subject.

Secret Alien Moon Base


First we have this video here which is part of the disclosure project that starts off with a women talking to Military personnel about an image from space that has an Unidentified Flying object in it. She asks, "is that a UFO" and he answered, "I'm not allowed to tell you that". Now we know that he could have even said yes because a UFO doesn't stand for some alien ship it simply means an Unidentified Flying object. But he instead says it's privileged information. When she asks what he`s going to do with this extraordinary information he replies, "it's procedure to air brush these images out before we release them to the public".

Next we have a man sergeant Karl Wolfe in the video, that was brought to Langley air force base where the NSA (National Security Agency) was bringing in information and pictures from the lunar orbiter. At that point one of the Officers said that they had found a base on the back side of the moon. Afterwords sergeant Karl Wolfe was shown images of the base from large towers to spherical domes over half a mile in diameter on a section of the dark side of the moon. He immediately stopped looking at the moon base pictures fearing for his safety. These are real Military personnel not just people off the street. They came forward knowing that they and their family's would be at risk just so they could reveal to the public the truth about UFOs and alien moon bases.
"I can't tell you that[, but I will tell you something even more sensitive!]" :rolleyes:
 
Mar 10, 2005
14,647
2
0
I can do you one better...

Year: 3240
Location: Earth/Mars Rendezvous Outpost A

The leader of the FPC (Free Planetary Coalition) boards his craft and embarks on a risky recon mission, with the public watching him, in an attempt to locate elements of a Mars rebellion sabotage team. The public understands his background and realizes that he still loves doing high risk missions, despite being the most valued member and leader of the FPC. They worry for his safety.
25 minutes into the mission, an unidentified craft intercepts and surprises the FPC leader, totally catching him off guard. His heart skips a beat, especially realizing that he did not transfer this thought patters for the entire previous month to the data center, so should anything happen to him, there is critical information stored in his brain that will be lost, putting many critical missions at extreme risk.
The unidentified craft makes themselves known to the FPC leader. Is it a Rebel ship? Perhaps an extra solar adversary? No. Its his old war buddy! He is relieved to see that its his friend, and according to his brazen character, he's right on time and arrived in perfect fashion. He expresses concern that NEITHER of them had taken the time to complete their pattern uploads, but they both laugh it off and venture out to complete the mission together, just like old times.
The anxious public cheers them both on. Its an exciting time to be a citizen of the FPC with such an exciting leader.
That leader's name....is MOONBOGG.

the FPC??? F.O.! we're with the coalition of free planets, you wanker.
 

Grooveriding

Diamond Member
Dec 25, 2008
9,147
1,330
126
I think the most likely reality here is we will have wiped ourselves out either via a nuclear war or the continued destruction of the Earth's environment before we ever manage a venture like terra-forming and inhabiting another planet.
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
17,627
15,813
146
Also, I've done the calculation before, but I suppose my calculation may have made an error. Could someone do the calculation of how much energy it would take to reach (and stop) near a star 10 light years away, allowing 200 years for the journey, for a craft (say, the size of the International Space Station that can house half a dozen people)? Ignore having the mass on board for sufficient water & food for those 200 years. Let's presume magic takes care of that.

Now, as energy is a pretty important concern on Earth, how much energy is it that has to be expended to send such a craft to a nearby star (assuming there's a habitable planet there), expressed as a percentage (or multiple of) the annual amount of energy used by humans on Earth each year?

At your service!

Interesting question too.

Assumptions:

T = 200 year trip
D = 10 light years
M = 450,000kg (mass of the ISS)

Constant acceleration. Accelerate for 100 years and 5 LY. Decelerate for 100 years and 5 LY

Ignore gravity and relative velocities of the solar system and the target system.

5LY = .5(A)(T^2)
Acceleration A = 0.009513 meters per second squared

Velocity @ halfway point V = AT
V= 30 million meters per second or .1c

Kinetic Energy of the vehicle Ke = .5(M)(V^2)
Ke=2.025×10^20 joules or .48 the energy consumed by the world in 2001

Total Energy for the trip is doubled due to braking or about equal to the energy consumed by the world in 2001

Constant power P required to meet that energy demand

P =2Ke/T
P =64.21 gigawatts

That's a lot of power. It's about 1/6 of all nuclear power generated currently or .028 the worlds consumption of power.

(Thanks Wolfram Alpha. That site is amazing)
 
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Mar 10, 2005
14,647
2
0
Velocity @ halfway point V = AT
V= 30 million meters per second or .1c

is there any significant time dilation taking place at .1c, and does it matter to the colonists?

Total Energy for the trip is doubled due to braking or about equal to the energy consumed by the world in 2001

total energy = total energy x2? awkward!
 

MongGrel

Lifer
Dec 3, 2013
38,466
3,067
121
Actually the moon gig will never happen....

http://alien-ufo-research.com/alien_moon_bases/

It isn't well known that the Governments have been covering up the fact the aliens have bases on the moon. There are many facts, Pictures, videos, satellite images, and testimonies that create hard evidence of this fact. From well known respected scientists, Astronauts, and military personal we gain a pretty define perspective on this subject.

Secret Alien Moon Base


First we have this video here which is part of the disclosure project that starts off with a women talking to Military personnel about an image from space that has an Unidentified Flying object in it. She asks, "is that a UFO" and he answered, "I'm not allowed to tell you that". Now we know that he could have even said yes because a UFO doesn't stand for some alien ship it simply means an Unidentified Flying object. But he instead says it's privileged information. When she asks what he`s going to do with this extraordinary information he replies, "it's procedure to air brush these images out before we release them to the public".

Next we have a man sergeant Karl Wolfe in the video, that was brought to Langley air force base where the NSA (National Security Agency) was bringing in information and pictures from the lunar orbiter. At that point one of the Officers said that they had found a base on the back side of the moon. Afterwords sergeant Karl Wolfe was shown images of the base from large towers to spherical domes over half a mile in diameter on a section of the dark side of the moon. He immediately stopped looking at the moon base pictures fearing for his safety. These are real Military personnel not just people off the street. They came forward knowing that they and their family's would be at risk just so they could reveal to the public the truth about UFOs and alien moon bases.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bvzarp5j_T8
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
17,627
15,813
146
is there any significant time dilation taking place at .1c, and does it matter to the colonists?

No. Total energy required is twice the kinetic energy.

total energy = total energy x2? awkward!

Let's find out.

The time dilation of something moving relativistically is

T = t0 / sqrt(1-v2/c2)

So for 200 years at .1c (which our ship would only peak at before slowing. )

T on the ship would be about 199 years.

So not much time dilation at all.
 
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Gibsons

Lifer
Aug 14, 2001
12,530
35
91
At your service!

Interesting question too.

Assumptions:

T = 200 year trip
D = 10 light years
M = 450,000kg (mass of the ISS)
Given the time frame, I would suspect that the mass is inadequate. If you have a really good suspended animation system, by at least ten fold. If you don't? Er.... at least a hundred thousand fold?

My worse than 'back of an envelope' guesses.


edit: yes I know those were the values you were given, I just think it's crazily optimistic best case mass.
Thanks for doing the math though! information=good.
 
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Jeff7

Lifer
Jan 4, 2001
41,596
20
81
1) Send out robots to prep a site on another planet for colonization. Work would probably take quite a few decades.
2) If humans can't be sent in stasis, then:
- Sperm, eggs, and artificial wombs.
- Androids to produce and raise the infants after arrival.
(Big space and mass savings if you do it this way, rather than adults in stasis.)





Lots of smart sci fi authors have thought about this, consensus is that a moon base is key to lots of other off Earth options. The moon has ice, is totally stable with no moon quakes, no atmosphere so efficient means can be used for surface launching, and its full of raw materials.

Once you have the moon base you can create much of the support items, metals and food for everything else.

OTOH it seems unlikely anybody would be making round trips other than emergencies due to the cost transport and effects of low gravity.

Go / no go, is purely a question of political use of money.
Earth's atmosphere could be used for more efficient launches, but it isn't. (Push an airplane through air. It gets lift.) Spaceship One uses this method: Fly up to a high altitude, using the thick atmosphere to efficiently gain altitude, then use the fuel-hungry rockets. It takes a lot of energy to get out of a gravity well, and it doesn't help that you're hauling a full load of fuel while you're also trying to push through the thickest part of the atmosphere.
But we got started down the route of "let's use rockets to get into space," and now we're pretty firmly entrenched with that method.


Not having an atmosphere is also an issue for landing. Landing on a planet with atmosphere means that you can use a heat shield and ablate your way to a slower speed, and then deploy a parachute. These things are relatively lightweight and simple to use.
Landing somewhere with no atmosphere means you need to use rockets to slow down, and that means you need to be able to launch that fuel in the first place so that you can haul enough of it to your destination to permit a soft touchdown.
 

Gibsons

Lifer
Aug 14, 2001
12,530
35
91
1) Send out robots to prep a site on another planet for colonization. Work would probably take quite a few decades.
2) If humans can't be sent in stasis, then:
- Sperm, eggs, and artificial wombs.
- Androids to produce and raise the infants after arrival.
(Big space and mass savings if you do it this way, rather than adults in stasis.)
Yeah. Huge weight savings there. You don't just save money on moving full sized humans, you don't necessarily need a life support system.

One issue is how well do robots raise humans, especially given the unknowns of the destination planet. You can certainly do trial runs on Earth, ignoring some ethical issues. (No problem finding volunteer zygote/fetus donors though, hi MTV :( )

Earth's atmosphere could be used for more efficient launches, but it isn't. (Push an airplane through air. It gets lift.) Spaceship One uses this method: Fly up to a high altitude, using the thick atmosphere to efficiently gain altitude, then use the fuel-hungry rockets. It takes a lot of energy to get out of a gravity well, and it doesn't help that you're hauling a full load of fuel while you're also trying to push through the thickest part of the atmosphere.
But we got started down the route of "let's use rockets to get into space," and now we're pretty firmly entrenched with that method.


Not having an atmosphere is also an issue for landing. Landing on a planet with atmosphere means that you can use a heat shield and ablate your way to a slower speed, and then deploy a parachute. These things are relatively lightweight and simple to use.
Landing somewhere with no atmosphere means you need to use rockets to slow down, and that means you need to be able to launch that fuel in the first place so that you can haul enough of it to your destination to permit a soft touchdown.

For something this big, you could possibly do the launch from the moon. Smaller gravity well, etc.

As for the target planet... I'd at least want to have some assurance it had an atmosphere, and preferably not one like Venus's. Otherwise the mission ends pretty quickly, Unless you've somehow packed enough fuel to go the the next star.
 

Paratus

Lifer
Jun 4, 2004
17,627
15,813
146
Given the time frame, I would suspect that the mass is inadequate. If you have a really good suspended animation system, by at least ten fold. If you don't? Er.... at least a hundred thousand fold?

My worse than 'back of an envelope' guesses.


edit: yes I know those were the values you were given, I just think it's crazily optimistic best case mass.
Thanks for doing the math though! information=good.

It's worse than that since this would require an absolutely huge power source.
 

DrPizza

Administrator Elite Member Goat Whisperer
Mar 5, 2001
49,601
167
111
www.slatebrookfarm.com
Given the time frame, I would suspect that the mass is inadequate. If you have a really good suspended animation system, by at least ten fold. If you don't? Er.... at least a hundred thousand fold?

My worse than 'back of an envelope' guesses.


edit: yes I know those were the values you were given, I just think it's crazily optimistic best case mass.
Thanks for doing the math though! information=good.

Thanks for the calculations; if you look elsewhere, they're almost identical to the results I got a few years back. Those calculations indicate: unless we develop fusion power, we are NOT getting out of the solar system.

I'm not against manned space missions in the future - a future where we do have things like fusion power, and maybe, the ability to warp space sufficiently to move a manned vehicle through (or whatever the word is) space at faster than light speed (or simply faster than vehicles we have now.)

Our state of technology at present time is akin to "hey, we're in Europe. We detected there's some land over there called America. Let's go there... in our canoes." Actually, that's a bad analogy - the jump from canoes to ships is fundamentally different than the jump from chemically fueled space ships to space ships that can warp space.

And, for the record, I'm in favor of quadrupling NASA's budget. Just don't fritter it away on extravagant projects. Look at the interest in space the Hubble created. (Of course, that's almost a bad example, since it was "broken" when originally sent to space and required human intervention to fix. Then again, a new Hubble could have been sent up for a fraction of the cost of the manned missions to fix it.) It was fortuitous to put it in low earth orbit, instead of a better place (Lagrangian point), simply because it provided something useful for the Space Shuttle to do besides go in circles.
 
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