Is it still possible to afford a home?

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Mursilis

Diamond Member
Mar 11, 2001
7,756
11
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Originally posted by: notfred
A statistic I saw yesterday says the average salary (not starting pay, but average overall) for software engineers in california is $90k. That's not bad. If I can make that, and marry a woman who makes even half that, We'd have an annual income of $135k. Spend 1/3 of that on housing, and that's a $3750/mo mortgage payment. A lot of lenders (in CA, anyway) will let you base your monthly payment on up to half your income now, and they're also offering 40 year mortgages, which would let me buy something nicer.

When projecting your future income, don't forget that Uncle Sam is going to take a big ol' chunk of that. Your net is going to be significantly less than your gross.
 

SearchMaster

Diamond Member
Jun 6, 2002
7,791
114
106
Originally posted by: axelfox
Originally posted by: RagingBITCH
Do you not have a clue what you're talking about? How are houses not affordable for most families? And you need to realize the cost of housing depends a great deal on the area that you live in. Affordability depends on down payment and length/monthly cost of your mortgage. A $200K house here in Dallas gets you a brand new 2-story house, or a nice 1 floor 4/5 bedroom house. The "ghetto" around here starts at $50K. My parents live in a 27 year old house that still has it's original carpet and is valued around $85K.

To say one has to be a PhD to afford a house is the stupidest fvcking thing I've ever read.

Winnar. But I've met alot of PhDs that don't make alot of money :D.

There are alot of ways to finance a house, so there is a pay structure for pretty much every income level.

Financing with interest-only or extremely long-term loans doesn't make it any more affordable in reality. I could sell you a brand new car for $150 a month (for life) - interested? Your only hope with "financing options" is that the value of your home appreciates at a rate far greater than inflation...possible in some markets but not all.
 

imported_Tick

Diamond Member
Feb 17, 2005
4,682
1
0
Originally posted by: SarcasticDwarf
Originally posted by: Tick
We who live in tucson laugh at you all. Here there are starter homes for 75k, and very nice homes for 275k. The mansion level homes are only going for 550k.

Heh, my parents live there. The Oro Valley area is nuts, though prices are starting to drop the past few months. Look at the huge developments off the North side of Tangerine.

Oro Valley |= Tucson. And the developments on tangerine are an annomily.
 

Svnla

Lifer
Nov 10, 2003
17,986
1,388
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Originally posted by: RagingBITCH
A $200K house here in Dallas gets you a brand new 2-story house, or a nice 1 floor 4/5 bedroom house.

What is the size of the house <sq. feet> and how many beds/baths for this brand new house? Which area is this, Plano?


Originally posted by: JeffreyLebowski
I just got a house in a North Dallas,TX suburb. 3 bed 2 bath 1500 SQ ft for $108K.

How old is the house? Which area is this?

Darn, and I thought housing in this area is cheap. Look like DFW is the place to be.

The house I live right now is about $180K, 4 beds, 2 baths, 1 story, 1900 sq. ft.
 

PlatinumGold

Lifer
Aug 11, 2000
23,168
0
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Originally posted by: isasir
I wonder how overvalued (if at all) the New York/Long Island/Upstate market is.

I'm looking to buy a house this year (ideally), but the average price of a house in Nassau is $480,000. :(

My alternate option is to buy a co-op now, and hope the market does drop a bit, and invest my money elsewhere in the meantime. Then in a year or two (or longer) buy a house.

tough to say with NYC and North NJ.

Within the next 7 yrs.

NY Mets will build new stadium 1.5 billion project
NY Yankees will build new stadium 1.8 billion project
NY Giants (Jets) in NJ will get new stadium
NJ (soon to be brooklyn) nets get new building
NJ Devils will build new building in Newark NJ
they will rebuild the twin towers.


that is a LOT of major construction happening over the next 10 yrs. hard to see how real estates is going to go down during that period of time.

AFTER that mb.
 

IronWing

No Lifer
Jul 20, 2001
72,044
32,291
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Originally posted by: Tick
We who live in tucson laugh at you all. Here there are starter homes for 75k, and very nice homes for 275k. The mansion level homes are only going for 550k.

Better check that calendar, the median house price in Tucson in last quarter, 2005 was $220K+, a 29% jump in one year.

http://www.dqnews.com/ZIPAZ.shtm

Starter houses are running $130K+ if you can find one. The new Casa Piñatas are even more expensive, running ~$150+ per sq ft.

Edit: More to the point, median household income for Tucson in 2005 was ~50K (high estimate, estimates run from ~42K-50K), putting the median house price above four times median income. With the ultra low interest rates over the last few years the median household could afford the median house. However as rates rise, unless we we a corresponding drop in prices, the median house will be too expensive for the median household to afford.
 

DougK62

Diamond Member
Mar 28, 2001
8,035
6
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Originally posted by: radioouman
It is diffcult to afford a decent home where I am. My wife and I have a combined income of about $90k, and we are fairly stretched to afford to make our payments on the house that we bought 3 years ago for $149k.

You guys are doing something wrong.

 

EngenZerO

Diamond Member
Dec 24, 2001
5,099
2
0
Originally posted by: daweeze02
all i can say is I am moving out of florida because it is getting way too $$$ to live here, moving to VA :) And yes people have been saying the bubble is going to pop for months but I have yet to see it, I mean the house I bought last year for 135k is worth 210k now maybe even more, and I would never pay that for my house, but there will always be someone moving to Florida who will think its a great deal.

you better pray to god your not moving to northern virginia... the housing prices here are insane
 

Engineer

Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
39,230
701
126
Originally posted by: DougK62
Originally posted by: radioouman
It is diffcult to afford a decent home where I am. My wife and I have a combined income of about $90k, and we are fairly stretched to afford to make our payments on the house that we bought 3 years ago for $149k.

You guys are doing something wrong.

No doubt. Unless they have it on a 10 year note, that should be plenty of income for a house of that level. Of course, other factors may be in place (other debts, etc).
 

SarcasticDwarf

Diamond Member
Jun 8, 2001
9,574
2
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Originally posted by: Tick
Originally posted by: SarcasticDwarf
Originally posted by: Tick
We who live in tucson laugh at you all. Here there are starter homes for 75k, and very nice homes for 275k. The mansion level homes are only going for 550k.

Heh, my parents live there. The Oro Valley area is nuts, though prices are starting to drop the past few months. Look at the huge developments off the North side of Tangerine.

Oro Valley |= Tucson. And the developments on tangerine are an annomily.

True in a limited sense. When someone refers to Phoenix, they are usually referring to Phoenix, Gelndale, Scottsdale, etc. It is the area. Now people who live there *might* distinguish, but it is not required.
 

Slew Foot

Lifer
Sep 22, 2005
12,379
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I sold my 1200 sqft home in San Francisco a year back at 750K. I took the profit and bought a home in Sacramento for 450K. I think the market in the CA central valley is taking a dump right now, there are LOTS of houses for sale and the new developments seem like they're offering really low prices. A house similar to mine is being offered at 360K base.
 

alent1234

Diamond Member
Dec 15, 2002
3,915
0
0
NOVA inventories are exploding. There was an article in the washington post this past weekend about how some condo developments were 25% investor owned and now everyone is selling.

Wait 2 years and you will get a nice deal
 

Demon-Xanth

Lifer
Feb 15, 2000
20,551
2
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Originally posted by: Slew Foot
I sold my 1200 sqft home in San Francisco a year back at 750K. I took the profit and bought a home in Sacramento for 450K. I think the market in the CA central valley is taking a dump right now, there are LOTS of houses for sale and the new developments seem like they're offering really low prices. A house similar to mine is being offered at 360K base.

People doing what you did is what caused a 200k house to become a 350k house in two years.
 

batchusa

Senior member
Aug 5, 2004
595
0
0
Originally posted by: alent1234
NOVA inventories are exploding. There was an article in the washington post this past weekend about how some condo developments were 25% investor owned and now everyone is selling.

Wait 2 years and you will get a nice deal

Doors Close for Real Estate Speculators

Delta Associates, an Alexandria real estate research firm, said there are about 25,853 new condos being marketed locally now. But only about 1,996 new condos were sold from January to March, down from 3,520 in the first three months of last year. And the area's multiple-listing service, which lists mostly previously owned properties, showed about 5,500 condos and co-ops for sale in March in Washington and the close-in suburbs. That was about a fourfold increase from about 1,400 listed in March 2005 with the service, Metropolitan Regional Information Systems Inc.
 

purbeast0

No Lifer
Sep 13, 2001
53,478
6,317
126
Originally posted by: batchusa
Originally posted by: alent1234
NOVA inventories are exploding. There was an article in the washington post this past weekend about how some condo developments were 25% investor owned and now everyone is selling.

Wait 2 years and you will get a nice deal

Doors Close for Real Estate Speculators

Delta Associates, an Alexandria real estate research firm, said there are about 25,853 new condos being marketed locally now. But only about 1,996 new condos were sold from January to March, down from 3,520 in the first three months of last year. And the area's multiple-listing service, which lists mostly previously owned properties, showed about 5,500 condos and co-ops for sale in March in Washington and the close-in suburbs. That was about a fourfold increase from about 1,400 listed in March 2005 with the service, Metropolitan Regional Information Systems Inc.

Since I'm a n00b to real estate, what exactly is that saying?

I've been very vaguely looking at the condo market in Rockville, MD and around the area of Silver Spring, but I haven't really had a chance to check out VA's market. I would love to live in northern VA around arlington or tysons, but from my general knowledge, I know condo's in there are probably ridiculously expensive.

Does this mean the prices will drop pretty soon? or more along the lines of a couple years?

EDIT:

another general mortgage question ... if you do a double payment on a mortgage, does the added extra $ you put in go directly to the principle %100 ?

So like if you have a $1000 mortgage where $800 is going torwards interest and $200 torwards the principle, and pay $2000 for the month, does that mean $1200 goes torwards the principle?
 

Fingolfin269

Lifer
Feb 28, 2003
17,948
31
91
Originally posted by: DougK62
Originally posted by: radioouman
It is diffcult to afford a decent home where I am. My wife and I have a combined income of about $90k, and we are fairly stretched to afford to make our payments on the house that we bought 3 years ago for $149k.

You guys are doing something wrong.

I agree. They should be pulling in about $6000 per month after taxes (depending upon any retirement this number could be a bit different). Let's say you spend $2000 per month on your cars and your house that still leaves you about $4000 per month. WTF does it go? Do you even know? Have you tried writing down every purchase for an entire month to figure out where your money is going?

 

purbeast0

No Lifer
Sep 13, 2001
53,478
6,317
126
Originally posted by: Fingolfin269
Originally posted by: DougK62
Originally posted by: radioouman
It is diffcult to afford a decent home where I am. My wife and I have a combined income of about $90k, and we are fairly stretched to afford to make our payments on the house that we bought 3 years ago for $149k.

You guys are doing something wrong.

I agree. They should be pulling in about $6000 per month after taxes (depending upon any retirement this number could be a bit different). Let's say you spend $2000 per month on your cars and your house that still leaves you about $4000 per month. WTF does it go? Do you even know? Have you tried writing down every purchase for an entire month to figure out where your money is going?

Yah something is definitely not right. I could afford that myself on my salary and I make a little bit more than half of what you guys make combined.
 

JackBurton

Lifer
Jul 18, 2000
15,993
14
81
Originally posted by: RagingBITCH
Do you not have a clue what you're talking about? How are houses not affordable for most families? And you need to realize the cost of housing depends a great deal on the area that you live in. Affordability depends on down payment and length/monthly cost of your mortgage. A $200K house here in Dallas gets you a brand new 2-story house, or a nice 1 floor 4/5 bedroom house. The "ghetto" around here starts at $50K. My parents live in a 27 year old house that still has it's original carpet and is valued around $85K.

To say one has to be a PhD to afford a house is the stupidest fvcking thing I've ever read.

Whoah, hold on there. What part of Dallas are you talking about. North Dallas? My brother was looking at a house in North Dallas and it was $200K+ with two bedrooms and no garage. Nice area though. That's pretty much what you are paying for. Like you said, it depends on the area.
 

SarcasticDwarf

Diamond Member
Jun 8, 2001
9,574
2
76
To explain the above:

1) Not as many people are buying. This is because the average moron is slowly coming to realize that the market has shifted. Also, investors are no longer buying.
2) The rate at which houses are put on the market has increased, while the rate at which people buying has decreased.
3) Prices have not really started to fall much because we are still in a transition period.
 

Dulanic

Diamond Member
Oct 27, 2000
9,957
581
136
It is deff not affordable here in New England region. A 2BR Townhome costs 275K.... 3BR... atleast 300K. A house? 3-4BR 350+ unless it is a beater. Between me and my fiancee we make almost 100K, and we can't come close to affording a house right now with these prices.
 

alent1234

Diamond Member
Dec 15, 2002
3,915
0
0
it's pretty simple, there have always been professional home flippers that know how to buy good properties, rehab them and sell at a profit. the last few years it's been the dot com all over again just this time in RE

A lot of so called investors bought up a lot of real estate in NOVA and other parts of the country. Many times the pros were selling to the amateurs. they used the ultra-low creative financing to pay 1% or so until they sell. Now they are all selling. NOVA inventories have quadrupled in the last year and sales are down.

Virginia MLS

The lack of inventory has pushed prices up because you still had people who want to buy a real home compete for property. Now the Donald Trump wanna bees will foreclose since they can't sell what they bought. And since a lot of them used their existing home equity for this madness, they will lose their homes as well.

Now for part 2, how do people afford the crazy prices? In the last few years over 30% of all new mortgages have been adjustable rate, interest only or Option ARM. If you ask a couple making $100,000 how they can afford their $500,000 mortgage and they say their payments are only $1000 a month, they are in for a big shock soon.

Many people bid up prices and took out ARM's since that is the only way they can afford their dream home. A lot of people had the idea of living in a nice home for a few years and when they can't afford it they sell and buy something they can afford. It's like a game of musical chairs, someone is always left standing. This year $300 BILLION worth of loans will adjust. Next year is $1.5 TRILLION and 2008 is also around $1 TRILLION and then it drops off. Current rates are around 5.5% plus 1% or 2% premium. If rates stay the same, then a lot of people's mortgages will go up to 8% or 9% per year in interest. On a $400,000 mortgage you are talking around $3000 a month plus taxes and insurance. And then you need cars, gas and food. $3500 a month home payment translates to a couple making $100,000 per year. Of course the national average and median is a lot less.

This year it's the investors selling in bubble markets. Next year when they foreclose and banks try to sell the extra inventory you will have the stupid people trying to sell and suddenly their equity will vanish. As they can't sell they will foreclose and this will add even more inventory to the 2008 people and so one.

A lot of investors have plans to rent out if they can't sell. Again, it's going to be too much competition. And to top it off, many markets will have huge numbers of new contstruction come online in the next 2 years.
 

SarcasticDwarf

Diamond Member
Jun 8, 2001
9,574
2
76
Originally posted by: alent1234
A lot of investors have plans to rent out if they can't sell. Again, it's going to be too much competition. And to top it off, many markets will have huge numbers of new contstruction come online in the next 2 years.


FYI, most houses being rented out on the bubble markets have long been rented out for a fraction of the monthly mortgage. A house with a $2800/month mortgage is often rented for $1600.