- Oct 11, 1999
- 964
- 101
- 106
the question isn't will iran use a nuke.
a nuclear iran would change the playing field. it would reduce israel's military reach, it could no longer go after hamas or hezbollah without fear of an iranian response.
would USA tolerate a nuclear mexico, that would busy sponsoring two terror groups on both our north and south borders that have killed thousands of our citizens, and at the same time developing a nuclear technology?
A nuclear Iran will not change the playing field. No country leave aside USA, China and Russia, who have thousands of warheads and ICBM technology, can use a nuclear weapon against any other country because it is 99.99% sure thing that their attack will be retaliated by the "Big 3". In this case if Iran attacks Israel because of Hamas etc. a few Iranian cities will be left smoking ash. So on the conventional side your claim is unlikely. The same goes for Mexico.
Rephrasing my previous post, what is being bargained in the name of Iran is "Will the nuclear technology, including fuel production (enrichment) be the monopoly of a few countries or can other countries develop and use this technology for peaceful purposes ?"
Below is the world Uranium enrichment centers
Company Nameplate Capacity (tonnes U as UF6)
Cameco, Port Hope, Ont, Canada 12,500
Cameco, Springfields, UK 6000
JSC Enrichment & Conversion Co (Atomenergoprom), Irkutsk & Seversk, Russia 25,000*
Comurhex (Areva), Pierrelatte, France 14,500
Converdyn, Metropolis, USA 15,000
CNNC, Lanzhou, China 3000
IPEN, Brazil 90
Total 76,090
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