Interesting scenario.

techs

Lifer
Sep 26, 2000
28,559
4
0
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/calculator/

at the webpage, on the right click 269-269 tie.

Whats interesting about this is it gives all 4 of Maines votes to Obama. Yet Maine is one of two states (don't remember the other) that actually splits its electoral votes according to congressional districts. This explains why McCain-Palin have been campaigning in Maine, thinking that the one district they may win may decide the election.
If you look at the map, it IS highly possible to end up this way, don't you think?
 

Moonbeam

Elite Member
Nov 24, 1999
74,564
6,708
126
I expect a tidal wave but I think this was mentioned here somewhere else.
 

jonks

Lifer
Feb 7, 2005
13,918
20
81
Not anymore, no. McCain would have to win every single battleground state. Chuck Todd ran a few scenarios where this was possible a month or so ago. 269-269 gives OH, FL and VA to McCain. Not looking likely now with Obama up almost 10pts there.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,720
54,715
136
Originally posted by: techs
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/calculator/

at the webpage, on the right click 269-269 tie.

Whats interesting about this is it gives all 4 of Maines votes to Obama. Yet Maine is one of two states (don't remember the other) that actually splits its electoral votes according to congressional districts. This explains why McCain-Palin have been campaigning in Maine, thinking that the one district they may win may decide the election.
If you look at the map, it IS highly possible to end up this way, don't you think?

Fivethirtyeight.com rates the chances of an electoral college tie at 0.3%. Not really highly possible, no.
 

StageLeft

No Lifer
Sep 29, 2000
70,150
5
0
Extreme circumstances bordering on impossible. This is Obama's win. McCain is wasting yet another month of his twilight years stressing over something he cannot obtain.
 

nageov3t

Lifer
Feb 18, 2004
42,808
83
91
if the undecideds break for Obama, they'll probably do so nationally. if Obama wins any two of the east coast battlegrounds (VA, NC, FL) it probably indicates that he'll be sweeping the mid-west and mountain BG states.
 

Lemon law

Lifer
Nov 6, 2005
20,984
3
0
According to today's noon news, the Obama lead is starting to slip, as the voters seem unsure which set of idiots are responsible for this financial meltdown.
 

jonks

Lifer
Feb 7, 2005
13,918
20
81
Originally posted by: Lemon law
According to today's noon news, the Obama lead is starting to slip, as the voters seem unsure which set of idiots are responsible for this financial meltdown.

links? According to 538, yesterday was Obamas single strongest polling day so far.
 

jpeyton

Moderator in SFF, Notebooks, Pre-Built/Barebones
Moderator
Aug 23, 2003
25,375
142
116
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Obama will get popular, McCain electoral. Period.
LAWL :laugh:

Even most of the die-hards, including ProJo, admit McCain will lose outright.
 

AlricTheMad

Member
Jun 25, 2001
125
0
0
Originally posted by: Lemon law
According to today's noon news, the Obama lead is starting to slip, as the voters seem unsure which set of idiots are responsible for this financial meltdown.

Both???

:p

 

jpeyton

Moderator in SFF, Notebooks, Pre-Built/Barebones
Moderator
Aug 23, 2003
25,375
142
116
Originally posted by: Lemon law
According to today's noon news, the Obama lead is starting to slip, as the voters seem unsure which set of idiots are responsible for this financial meltdown.
Not in the news I watched. CNN says polls released today show Obama making gains in swing states.
 

fskimospy

Elite Member
Mar 10, 2006
87,720
54,715
136
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Obama will get popular, McCain electoral. Period.

I'll mark this post for election day. While McCain still has a month to turn this around, only 1 candidate in modern history has come back to win after being down this much with a month to go. Not impossible, but pretty unlikely. Certainly no reason to make an authoritative statement like that.
 

jonks

Lifer
Feb 7, 2005
13,918
20
81
Originally posted by: eskimospy
Originally posted by: blackangst1
Obama will get popular, McCain electoral. Period.

I'll mark this post for election day. While McCain still has a month to turn this around, only 1 candidate in modern history has come back to win after being down this much with a month to go. Not impossible, but pretty unlikely. Certainly no reason to make an authoritative statement like that.

I'll go one better. I have a new sig.