Originally posted by: Viditor
Originally posted by: pm
Originally posted by: Viditor
However we're talking 10 years out, and the ITRS roadmap (AFAIK) only goes 6 years to 2013...
ITRS is supposed to look 15 years ahead. It's their charter. That said, it always amuses me to see all the red "no known solution exists" for everything more than 5 years out, but ITRS does attempt to look ahead ~15 years. The 2006 ITRS roadmap goes to 2020.
For example, picking lithography since it's one of the most interesting to me:
http://www.itrs.net/Links/2006Update/FinalToPost/08_Lithography2006Update.pdf
Thanks for the correction pm...
I agree with you on the "red". I suppose that until new tech is actually demonstrated completely (CNT for instance), it makes sense to stick to a roadmap of known and proven processes.
It also has to do with market applicability. Just because GaAs and SiGe materials were adopted for semiconductor usage and eventaully perfected for production does not mean everything that was once based in Si will benefit by migrating to GaAs or SiGe. Same with CNT's.
CNT's are not a simple "drop-in and realize an across the board improvement" in every metric of relevance to the market that currently relies on Si-based CMOS functions. However that should not deter yours or anyone elses excitement over the prospects of an extending Moore's Law on the back of CNT's or some other magic bullet (HK+MG).