if everyone lived like you, how many planets would we need?

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Eli

Super Moderator | Elite Member
Oct 9, 1999
50,419
8
81
Originally posted by: The Boston Dangler
Originally posted by: Vic
Originally posted by: The Boston Dangler
try 7 billion in a decadeor less. the growth is exponential.
Of course. But it can't be exponential forever. Just as in the past, pressures will keep this down. Oddly enough, capitalism provides the best system for this. As population pressures increase the cost of resources, it discourages people from having more children because of the prohibitive financial burden. We've already seen this effect in the past 50-60 years. Once very large families of 8-10 children were common, now they are not. The net effect is a reduction of the growth rate. Remember that every couple with 2 or less children leads to what is effectively a negative growth rate.

But does it really matter exactly how many there are of us? Once the world had only 100 million, and famines were commonplace, and now we have 6 billion and famines are rare.



Right, but there must be a breaking point. Technology will let the population exceed that point, and there will be a very difficult road ahead of us from then on. America throws away more food than the rest of the world eats. This is because we have both the resources and the tech to produce food like it's going out of style. However, this can't be sustained with current tech. Pesticides, fertilizers, energy production, etc. will come back to bite us on the @ss. I don't mind having plenty of food, but I recognize the fact that new ways are needed.
My thoughts exactly....
 

Chompman

Banned
Mar 14, 2003
5,608
0
0
Originally posted by: The Boston Dangler
Originally posted by: Vic
Originally posted by: The Boston Dangler
try 7 billion in a decadeor less. the growth is exponential.
Of course. But it can't be exponential forever. Just as in the past, pressures will keep this down. Oddly enough, capitalism provides the best system for this. As population pressures increase the cost of resources, it discourages people from having more children because of the prohibitive financial burden. We've already seen this effect in the past 50-60 years. Once very large families of 8-10 children were common, now they are not. The net effect is a reduction of the growth rate. Remember that every couple with 2 or less children leads to what is effectively a negative growth rate.

But does it really matter exactly how many there are of us? Once the world had only 100 million, and famines were commonplace, and now we have 6 billion and famines are rare.



Right, but there must be a breaking point. Technology will let the population exceed that point, and there will be a very difficult road ahead of us from then on. America throws away more food than the rest of the world eats. This is because we have both the resources and the tech to produce food like it's going out of style. However, this can't be sustained with current tech. Pesticides, fertilizers, energy production, etc. will come back to bite us on the @ss. I don't mind having plenty of food, but I recognize the fact that new ways are needed.

This is my response to that:

Simple solution. :D
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,422
14,337
136
Originally posted by: Eli
Originally posted by: The Boston Dangler
Right, but there must be a breaking point. Technology will let the population exceed that point, and there will be a very difficult road ahead of us from then on. America throws away more food than the rest of the world eats. This is because we have both the resources and the tech to produce food like it's going out of style. However, this can't be sustained with current tech. Pesticides, fertilizers, energy production, etc. will come back to bite us on the @ss. I don't mind having plenty of food, but I recognize the fact that new ways are needed.
My thoughts exactly....
So... what exactly will happen if the population exceeds this breaking point of yours? There is a scientifically definite answer to this, I'm just checking to see if either of you know.
We can use a neutral person to double-check by PM if you wish.

edit: nm, I pm'ed the answer to Eli.
 
Mar 10, 2005
14,647
2
0
I have no idea what the "breaking point" exactly is, but I'm smart enough to know it's there.

Have you ever heard the term "Don't sh!t where you sleep"?
 

oogabooga

Diamond Member
Jan 14, 2003
7,806
3
81
CATEGORY ACRES
FOOD 6.9
MOBILITY 2.2
SHELTER 3.2
GOODS/SERVICES 4.9
TOTAL FOOTPRINT 17



IN COMPARISON, THE AVERAGE ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT IN YOUR COUNTRY IS 24 ACRES PER PERSON.

WORLDWIDE, THERE EXIST 4.5 BIOLOGICALLY PRODUCTIVE ACRES PER PERSON.



IF EVERYONE LIVED LIKE YOU, WE WOULD NEED 3.9 PLANETS.

hrmm... this can't be good.... ;P
 

DaTT

Garage Moderator
Moderator
Feb 13, 2003
13,295
121
106
CATEGORY GLOBAL HECTARES
FOOD 3.4
MOBILITY 1.9
SHELTER 2.2
GOODS/SERVICES 4.2
TOTAL FOOTPRINT 11.7



IN COMPARISON, THE AVERAGE ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT IN YOUR COUNTRY IS 8.8 GLOBAL HECTARES PER PERSON.

WORLDWIDE, THERE EXIST 1.8 BIOLOGICALLY PRODUCTIVE GLOBAL HECTARES PER PERSON.



IF EVERYONE LIVED LIKE YOU, WE WOULD NEED 6.5 PLANETS.
 

sciwizam

Golden Member
Oct 22, 2004
1,953
0
0
CATEGORY GLOBAL HECTARES
FOOD 0.3
MOBILITY 0
SHELTER 0.4
GOODS/SERVICES 0.1
TOTAL FOOTPRINT 0.8



IN COMPARISON, THE AVERAGE ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT IN YOUR COUNTRY IS 0.8 GLOBAL HECTARES PER PERSON.

WORLDWIDE, THERE EXIST 1.8 BIOLOGICALLY PRODUCTIVE GLOBAL HECTARES PER PERSON.



IF EVERYONE LIVED LIKE YOU, WE WOULD NEED 1.0 PLANETS.
 

miketheidiot

Lifer
Sep 3, 2004
11,060
1
0
CATEGORY ACRES
FOOD 5.4
MOBILITY 0.2
SHELTER 1.7
GOODS/SERVICES 1.7
TOTAL FOOTPRINT 9



IN COMPARISON, THE AVERAGE ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT IN YOUR COUNTRY IS 24 ACRES PER PERSON.

WORLDWIDE, THERE EXIST 4.5 BIOLOGICALLY PRODUCTIVE ACRES PER PERSON.



IF EVERYONE LIVED LIKE YOU, WE WOULD NEED 2.1 PLANETS.
 

mercanucaribe

Banned
Oct 20, 2004
9,763
1
0
Originally posted by: Vic
Originally posted by: The Boston Dangler
try 7 billion in a decadeor less. the growth is exponential.
Of course. But it can't be exponential forever. Just as in the past, pressures will keep this down. Oddly enough, capitalism provides the best system for this. As population pressures increase the cost of resources, it discourages people from having more children because of the prohibitive financial burden. We've already seen this effect in the past 50-60 years. Once very large families of 8-10 children were common, now they are not. The net effect is a reduction of the growth rate. Remember that every couple with 2 or less children leads to what is effectively a negative growth rate.

But does it really matter exactly how many there are of us? Once the world had only 100 million, and famines were commonplace, and now we have 6 billion and famines are rare.

That's not exactly true. History has shown that scarcity of resources does not result in lower birth rate. Look at the poorest places in the world, Africa and Asia. Those are the regions with the highest birthrates and the most mal nutrition and starvation.
My geology prof had a theory, with good evidence to back it up, that fertility is inversely related to energy availability. The poorest people have many children to work for them, whereas they would not with better technology.

Also, more children only become a liability in a consumer society.
 
Mar 10, 2005
14,647
2
0
Also, people in Ethiopia (natural and artificial famine) had as many children as possible in order to increase the likelyhood of someone surviving. And I thought I had it tough.
 

psiu

Golden Member
Oct 1, 2003
1,629
1
0
CATEGORY ACRES
FOOD 5.4
MOBILITY 0.2
SHELTER 4.2
GOODS/SERVICES 4
TOTAL FOOTPRINT 14

IN COMPARISON, THE AVERAGE ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT IN YOUR COUNTRY IS 24 ACRES PER PERSON.

WORLDWIDE, THERE EXIST 4.5 BIOLOGICALLY PRODUCTIVE ACRES PER PERSON.

IF EVERYONE LIVED LIKE YOU, WE WOULD NEED 3.1 PLANETS.
 

Vic

Elite Member
Jun 12, 2001
50,422
14,337
136
Originally posted by: mercanucaribe
That's not exactly true. History has shown that scarcity of resources does not result in lower birth rate. Look at the poorest places in the world, Africa and Asia. Those are the regions with the highest birthrates and the most mal nutrition and starvation.
My geology prof had a theory, with good evidence to back it up, that fertility is inversely related to energy availability. The poorest people have many children to work for them, whereas they would not with better technology.

Also, more children only become a liability in a consumer society.
I was going to discuss how socialism gives the lower classes incentive to breed, but decided that I didn't want to start a political discussion.
That's why I mentioned the benefits of capitalism on this subject, and didn't bring up the disadvantages of other political systems in this regard.
 

grrl

Diamond Member
Jun 21, 2001
6,204
1
0
That's a rather suspicious questionnaire. I changed countries, kept the same information and my 'needs' nearly doubled?
 

glorygunk

Senior member
Aug 22, 2004
805
1
0
wtf i didn't know we could do this in english units! stupid liters and kilometers

thank goodness for google unit conversions!


anyway...4.5 planets for me
 

aatf510

Golden Member
Nov 13, 2004
1,811
0
0
CATEGORY ACRES
FOOD 6.9
MOBILITY 23.5
SHELTER 30.4
GOODS/SERVICES 61
TOTAL FOOTPRINT 122

27.4 Planets.
 

aatf510

Golden Member
Nov 13, 2004
1,811
0
0
Originally posted by: glorygunk
wtf i didn't know we could do this in english units! stupid liters and kilometers

thank goodness for google unit conversions!


anyway...4.5 planets for me

English units are more stupid.
Almost the entire world has changed from English to Metric already.
 
May 10, 2001
2,669
0
0
CATEGORY ACRES
FOOD 3.2
MOBILITY 0.2
SHELTER 3.5
GOODS/SERVICES 4.2
TOTAL FOOTPRINT 11



IN COMPARISON, THE AVERAGE ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT IN YOUR COUNTRY IS 24 ACRES PER PERSON.

WORLDWIDE, THERE EXIST 4.5 BIOLOGICALLY PRODUCTIVE ACRES PER PERSON.



IF EVERYONE LIVED LIKE YOU, WE WOULD NEED 2.5 PLANETS.

bullshit.

seriously.

that or there need to be alot more dead chinamen.
 

Lifted

Diamond Member
Nov 30, 2004
5,748
2
0
Originally posted by: Amused
One can be anti-liberal/pro capitalist without being a religious right wacko. Think about that the next time you feel the urge to bleat political slogans like a mindless sheep.

Heh. He spouts of "anti-liberal" as if the whole meaning of liberal hasn't been mangled by right-wing newspeak, then talks about somebody else using "bleat political slogans like a mindless sheep."

:roll:

From webster.com

liberal: a political philosophy based on belief in progress, the essential goodness of the human race, and the autonomy of the individual and standing for the protection of political and civil liberties

If being against the above defines what you stand for, I feel quite sad for you.

 

Amused

Elite Member
Apr 14, 2001
57,242
19,144
146
Originally posted by: Lifted
Originally posted by: Amused
One can be anti-liberal/pro capitalist without being a religious right wacko. Think about that the next time you feel the urge to bleat political slogans like a mindless sheep.

Heh. He spouts of "anti-liberal" as if the whole meaning of liberal hasn't been mangled by right-wing newspeak, then talks about somebody else using "bleat political slogans like a mindless sheep."

:roll:

From webster.com

liberal: a political philosophy based on belief in progress, the essential goodness of the human race, and the autonomy of the individual and standing for the protection of political and civil liberties

If being against the above defines what you stand for, I feel quite sad for you.

Actually, in American politics "liberal" has come to mean leftist, socialist, nanny-stater and in some cases, authoritarian socialist.

But then, the "true meaning of liberal vs the political meaning" has been debated to death already.
 

Aquila76

Diamond Member
Apr 11, 2004
3,549
2
0
www.facebook.com
Just doing my part. I work close to home (5mi) and bike to work in the summer. My apartment is a postage stamp stacked on top of other postage stamps. I try to get local grown veggies and meats, too.

----------------------------------
CATEGORY ACRES
FOOD 5.7
MOBILITY 0.5
SHELTER 1.5
GOODS/SERVICES 1.7
TOTAL FOOTPRINT 9



IN COMPARISON, THE AVERAGE ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT IN YOUR COUNTRY IS 24 ACRES PER PERSON.

WORLDWIDE, THERE EXIST 4.5 BIOLOGICALLY PRODUCTIVE ACRES PER PERSON.



IF EVERYONE LIVED LIKE YOU, WE WOULD NEED 2.1 PLANETS.
 

Lifted

Diamond Member
Nov 30, 2004
5,748
2
0
Originally posted by: Amused
Originally posted by: Lifted
Originally posted by: Amused
One can be anti-liberal/pro capitalist without being a religious right wacko. Think about that the next time you feel the urge to bleat political slogans like a mindless sheep.

Heh. He spouts of "anti-liberal" as if the whole meaning of liberal hasn't been mangled by right-wing newspeak, then talks about somebody else using "bleat political slogans like a mindless sheep."

:roll:

From webster.com

liberal: a political philosophy based on belief in progress, the essential goodness of the human race, and the autonomy of the individual and standing for the protection of political and civil liberties

If being against the above defines what you stand for, I feel quite sad for you.

Actually, in American politics "liberal" has come to mean leftist, socialist, nanny-stater and in some cases, authoritarian socialist.

But then, the "true meaning of liberal vs the political meaning" has been debated to death already.

Thank you, that is exactly my point. You used the political slogan form of liberal, but in the very same sentence chastized somebody else for using "bleat political slogans like a mindless sheep."

Hi pot. You're black too.

 

Amused

Elite Member
Apr 14, 2001
57,242
19,144
146
Originally posted by: Lifted
Originally posted by: Amused
Originally posted by: Lifted
Originally posted by: Amused
One can be anti-liberal/pro capitalist without being a religious right wacko. Think about that the next time you feel the urge to bleat political slogans like a mindless sheep.

Heh. He spouts of "anti-liberal" as if the whole meaning of liberal hasn't been mangled by right-wing newspeak, then talks about somebody else using "bleat political slogans like a mindless sheep."

:roll:

From webster.com

liberal: a political philosophy based on belief in progress, the essential goodness of the human race, and the autonomy of the individual and standing for the protection of political and civil liberties

If being against the above defines what you stand for, I feel quite sad for you.

Actually, in American politics "liberal" has come to mean leftist, socialist, nanny-stater and in some cases, authoritarian socialist.

But then, the "true meaning of liberal vs the political meaning" has been debated to death already.

Thank you, that is exactly my point. You used the political slogan form of liberal, but in the very same sentence chastized somebody else for using "bleat political slogans like a mindless sheep."

Hi pot. You're black too.

Um, no. I used the commonly accepted term to describe a political ideology.

You have no point.

Go find another nit to pick, OK?