Russia is using nuclear threats as part of their strategy to annex neighboring lands. That's all I'm pointing out to the person who made a strong statement that nations never use nuclear threats in aggression.
I guess you could take it as Russia's threat is not, I will annex you or else I use nukes against you, rather I have annexed you, if you resist I will use nukes to defend myself. But, really?
Why did we conduct airstrikes against ISIS and not against Russia's invasion forces? Why did we take down Gaddafi and not Kim Jong Il? Russia's military strength and their nuclear arsenal absolutely is a factor in this country's military decision making process.
Bottom line is, nuclear weapons gives Iran's leaders more power in the region to do what they choose to do. Beyond that it's up to them on how they choose to wield that power.
The far larger factor IMO is their conventional strength as well as consequences of victory.
We've fought many proxy wars with the USSR even though we both had nukes. Why? Its a battle that's manageable.
Libya was the same. Weak army, not a high burden of maintaince if we won. Install some strong man and gtfo. No decades long nation building effort. Plus the euros wanted their oil protected and we paid them back for some of our wars.
NK? Nobody was looking to invade them for many decades now, even then their nuclear deterrent is highly questionable, and no threat to us. Why don't we attack?
Why would we? We already had a bloody battle there, and there is nothing to win. They have a huge army and a poor and brainwashed population. Who wants to own that? They have some nuclear capability, but only because it wasn't worth smashing.
Back to Russia. We have nukes. All we need to do to get Putin to leave is make some threats with them? No way. He knows they are hollow, and would continue doing what he's doing. Only way to get him out is with bullets, and even then it's a stretch BC no one wants to start that heavy of a war. Putin has far less to lose, so will always be at advantage.
Convincing others he is crazy is another large advantage. Make people think that *maybe* you would use them, and they will back off. Same reason you run from bees and not butterflies. Neither one is a real threat, but one is a large enough nuisance to not be worth the trouble of a fight.
Being scared and believing Putin gives him power. I refuse to do so when I can clearly see he has little that can effect me