Originally posted by: NewPhone
If think this is a good idea then write a letter to your senator
It isn't a good idea, so I'll write to you instead.
1) 5% interest won't do a thing for many of the troubled mortgages. Consider a fairly common example in California, a 30-year $500k mortgage. Many people can't afford that mortgage, so they got an exotic mortgage.
1a) One possibility was a no interest teaser loan that had skyrocketting interest after a set period. Lets suppose someone got a 0% mortgage that went up to 7% after a year. The initial payment was $1388/month which is quite affordable. After the first year, the payment is $3248 a month. A swing of nearly $2000 a month will put many families under. Your 5% solution will make the payment be $2633/month which is a bit better than $3248/month but probably unaffordable to a family who planned on $1388/month. They will still not be able to afford your solution, especially in this souring economy.
1b) Another common possibility was interest-only loans where the principal wasn't paid for 5 years but the interest was fairly typical (often around 5%). In this case, that $500k mortgage was $2083/month that went up to $2922/month after the 5 year period. That extra $840 caused many foreclosures. Under your plan, the interest isn't changed at all, so they still are at their $2922/month mortgage and aren't helped.
1c) I could go on and on, but I think you get the picture. Millions of families simply are in mortgages that they can NEVER afford without indefinite teaser terms.
2) You'll kill the mortgage industry forever. If the government can step in and take your profit away (profit you delayed in order to give that teaser), then why would you ever make a loan? Or as an investor why would you ever buy a loan? Any good deal you make will be eliminated by the government. You clearly haven't thought about these consequences. It may very well be impossible to ever get a mortgage again if your plan goes through. That'll absolutely destroy the housing market and ruin our economy (GDP change of -20%). The original plan of the government money was to pay the banks and investors their lost profit so that the government can change the mortgage terms WITHOUT forcing anything, it would be done entirely voluntarilly. The banks and investors have crappy mortgages on their hands, and the government was willing to buy them up - everyone in the mortgage business would be happy. Too bad, they never did follow the original plan and instead just handed over money for nothing.
3) 30-year fixed mortgages are now in the mid 4% range and dropping. Why would we want them in 5% mortgages that are not fixed after 5 years? That is a WORSE deal than what is available now. If we are to have the government step in (see my objection in #2), lets have them forced into the currently available 30-year fixed mid 4% loans. That'll be far more helpful than your plan.