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I think even that's being generous, unless ATI comes out with an X1900XL that soundly beats it for ~$400. Barring that, I'd say closer to the end of the year before you can get a 7800GTX or X1800XT for ~$300 (new; refurbs/used ones will be at that price sooner, obviously).
Assuming the top-end G71 *is* actually significantly faster than the 7800GTX512MB, it will also probably debut at $600+ (given recent pricing trends). That kind of pricing will not exert much downwards pressure on the cheaper cards.
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